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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. ST Mirren vs Partick

ST Mirren vs Partick

Result • Premiership·ST Mirren·Partick

Premiership
Premiership
May 25, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.75
X3.60
24.50
Stadium
The SMISA Stadium
medium Confidence
Partick

Partick

Away
Odds
11.75
X3.60
24.50
Stadium
The SMISA Stadium
Win Probabilities
42%
ST Mirren
31%
Draw
27%
Partick
Home1.7542%
Draw3.6031%
Away4.5027%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees ST Mirren's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Partick, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between ST Mirren and Partick using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns ST Mirren a 42% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Partick a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 46'
    Substitution: C. LoganPartick · Out: B. McPherson
    Substitution: C. LoganOut: B. McPherson
  2. 49'
    Yellow Card: L. McBethPartick
    Yellow Card: L. McBeth
  3. Yellow Card: S. Tanser
    60'
    Yellow Card: S. TanserST Mirren
  4. Substitution: M. O'HaraOut: A. Campbell
    62'
    Substitution: M. O'HaraST Mirren · Out: A. Campbell
  5. Substitution: R. IdowuOut: J. Young
    62'
    Substitution: R. IdowuST Mirren · Out: J. Young
  6. Goal: M. FraserAssist: M. O'Hara
    65'
    Goal: M. FraserST Mirren · Assist: M. O'Hara
  7. 68'
    Substitution: L. ChalmersPartick · Out: L. McBeth
    Substitution: L. ChalmersOut: L. McBeth
  8. 75'
    Substitution: T. LetsosaPartick · Out: B. Stanway
    Substitution: T. LetsosaOut: B. Stanway
  9. 75'
    Substitution: G. Mackay-StevenPartick · Out: P. Reading
    Substitution: G. Mackay-StevenOut: P. Reading
  10. 83'
    Substitution: K. TurnerPartick · Out: R. Crawford
    Substitution: K. TurnerOut: R. Crawford
  11. Substitution: R. KingOut: J. Richardson
    85'
    Substitution: R. KingST Mirren · Out: J. Richardson
  12. 87'
    Yellow Card: L. AshcroftPartick
    Yellow Card: L. Ashcroft
  13. Substitution: D. N'LunduluOut: K. Phillips
    90'
    Substitution: D. N'LunduluST Mirren · Out: K. Phillips
  14. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: A. SamuelPartick
    Yellow Card: A. Samuel
  15. Yellow Card: A. Gogic
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: A. GogicST Mirren
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1R. King vs Partick defense: King's goal-scoring form will be crucial against a strong defensive unit.
2K. Phillips vs Partick midfield: Phillips' creativity in midfield could unlock the away defense.
3ST Mirren backline vs Partick forwards: The home defense (33% rating) must contain Partick's attack.
Strengths · Weaknesses

ST Mirren

  • Strong H2H record
  • Home advantage
  • Low scoring average (0.8 goals/game)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5

Partick

  • Strong defense (67% rating)
  • Unbeaten in 5 matches
  • Poor H2H record against ST Mirren
  • Limited attacking data

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
42%
API-Football
45%
38%
Draw263836

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (38%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, ST Mirren is favored to win at home with a 53% probability, closely following the bookmaker-implied odds. The API-Football model suggests a different outcome (Partick favored), but the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: ST Mirren has a mixed recent form (DDWLL) but is on a 3-match unbeaten streak, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Partick's form is not fully available, but they have a 5-match unbeaten streak with 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Both teams have similar form strength (50% each per API comparison).

Key Factors: Home advantage (0.55 rating) and strong H2H record (5 wins in last 10 meetings) support ST Mirren. However, Partick has a better defense (67% defensive strength) and the API model favors them. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: The odds and H2H favor ST Mirren, but the API model and defensive stats suggest a tight match. A home win is the most likely outcome, but a draw is possible.

Statistical ContextPartick

Combo Double chance : draw or Partick and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ST MirrenPartick
47%Strength52%
50%Attacking Potential50%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
53%Goals H2H47%
47%Wins the Game52%
Head-to-head →Injuries · ST MirrenInjuries · Partick

Statistical Context

ST Mirren

LLWDW
  • LSep 9, 26A · Rangers1-0
  • LSep 5, 26H · Celtic1-2
  • WSep 2, 26A · Kilmarnock0-1
  • DAug 30, 26H · Motherwell3-3
  • WAug 8, 26H · ST Johnstone1-0

Partick

LWDWD
  • LSep 15, 26A · Stenhousemuir1-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Ayr Utd1-0
  • DMay 21, 26H · ST Mirren1-1
  • WMay 15, 26H · Dunfermline2-1
  • DMay 12, 26A · Dunfermline1-1

Head to Head

5
ST Mirren
2
Draws
3
Partick
  • May 21, 26Partick – ST Mirren1-1
  • Mar 8, 26ST Mirren – Partick2-1
  • Jul 25, 21ST Mirren – Partick2-0
  • Oct 7, 20ST Mirren – Partick4-1
  • Jul 22, 17Partick – ST Mirren5-0

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

ST MirrenPartick
Played53
Goals Scored84
Goals Conceded53
Avg Scored1.61.3
Avg Conceded1.01.0
Clean Sheets30

ST Mirren vs Partick — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees ST Mirren's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Partick, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, ST Mirren is favored to win at home with a 53% probability, closely following the bookmaker-implied odds. The API-Football model suggests a different outcome (Partick favored), but the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: ST Mirren has a mixed recent form (DDWLL) but is on a 3-match unbeaten streak, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Partick's form is not fully available, but they have a 5-match unbeaten streak with 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Both teams have similar form strength (50% each per API comparison).

Key Factors: Home advantage (0.55 rating) and strong H2H record (5 wins in last 10 meetings) support ST Mirren. However, Partick has a better defense (67% defensive strength) and the API model favors them. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: The odds and H2H favor ST Mirren, but the API model and defensive stats suggest a tight match. A home win is the most likely outcome, but a draw is possible.

Win Probabilities: ST Mirren: 42% · Draw: 31% · Partick: 27%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: ST Mirren wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Partick wins: 3

Form (latest first): ST Mirren: LLWDW · Partick: LWDWD

  • R. King vs Partick defense: King's goal-scoring form will be crucial against a strong defensive unit.
  • K. Phillips vs Partick midfield: Phillips' creativity in midfield could unlock the away defense.
  • ST Mirren backline vs Partick forwards: The home defense (33% rating) must contain Partick's attack.

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland12 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Sep 1914:00
Aberdeen
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Sep 1914:00
Dundee Utd
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Sep 1914:00
Motherwell
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Sep 1914:00
Falkirk
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Sep 1916:45
Heart Of Midlothian
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Sep 2011:00
Rangers
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Oct 1014:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 1014:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 1014:00
Hibernian
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 1014:00
Dundee
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 1111:00
Celtic
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1113:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%

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