Leganes vs Albacete

Result • Copa del Rey

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
4 Dec 2025
18:00
Leganes

Leganes

🏠Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-1
WINNER
Albacete

Albacete

✈️Away
🏟️Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Win Probabilities
Home33%
Draw33%
⭐Away34%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

“The Oracle sees a tight contest where Albacete's firepower may edge out Leganes' resilience. Ancient wisdom reveals that goals will flow, but defense decides the fate.”

Our AI model analyzes this Copa del Rey fixture between Leganes and Albacete using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Leganes a 33% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Albacete a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Leganes 33%Draw 33%Albacete 34%Predicted Score: 1-1BTTS: 50%
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

⚡

Analysis & Key Battles

Leganes

HOME
✓
Strengths
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Defensive solidity with 3 goals against in last 5 matches
  • Head-to-head record includes 3 wins in last 5 meetings
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Inconsistent form with WLDDL
  • Low scoring with 5 goals in last 5 matches
  • Model prediction gives only 10% home win probability

Albacete

AWAY
✓
Strengths
  • Key players like Jon Morcillo (5 goals, 3 assists) and Agus Medina (6 goals)
  • Higher scoring with 26 goals in last 5 matches
  • Head-to-head advantage with 4 wins in last 5 meetings
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Defensive vulnerabilities with 34 goals against in last 5 matches
  • Form of LDLWL shows inconsistency
  • No significant home advantage in this match

Key Player Battles

⚔️N/A vs Jon Morcillo: Leganes defenders must contain Morcillo's goal contributions.
⚔️N/A vs Agus Medina: Midfield battle to limit Medina's scoring opportunities.
⚔️N/A vs Antonio Puertas: Defensive focus on Puertas to reduce attacking threats.

Leganes vs Albacete — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Albacete's firepower may edge out Leganes' resilience. Ancient wisdom reveals that goals will flow, but defense decides the fate.

Based on the data, Albacete is predicted to win with a slight edge, as indicated by the market probabilities (34% away win) and model probabilities (45% away win, predicted winner: Albacete).

Form Analysis: Leganes has a form of WLDDL with 5 goals for and 3 against, showing inconsistency. Albacete has a form of LDLWL with 26 goals for and 34 against, indicating higher scoring but defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors: 1. Market and model consensus slightly favors Albacete. 2. Albacete has key players like Jon Morcillo (5 goals, 3 assists) and Agus Medina (6 goals). 3. Head-to-head history shows Albacete with 4 wins vs Leganes' 3 wins in last 5 meetings.

Conclusion: The data suggests a close match with Albacete having a marginal advantage, supported by statistical models and key player contributions.

Win Probabilities: Leganes: 33% · Draw: 33% · Albacete: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Leganes wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Albacete wins: 3

Form: Leganes: LDDLW · Albacete: WWLDL

  • N/A vs Jon Morcillo: Leganes defenders must contain Morcillo's goal contributions.
  • N/A vs Agus Medina: Midfield battle to limit Medina's scoring opportunities.
  • N/A vs Antonio Puertas: Defensive focus on Puertas to reduce attacking threats.

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