Oviedo vs Alaves

PredictionLa Liga

La Liga
La Liga
17 May 2026
16:00
medium Confidence
PREDICTED DRAW
Oviedo

Oviedo

🏠Home
VS
PREDICTED DRAW
Alaves

Alaves

✈️Away
🏟️Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Win Probabilities
Home35%
Draw35%
Away30%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees a stalemate brewing under the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere lights, where defensive walls meet attacking waves, but neither force prevails. Ancient wisdom reveals a balanced clash destined for shared points.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Oviedo and Alaves using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Oviedo a 35% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and Alaves a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Oviedo 35%Draw 35%Alaves 30%BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Oviedo
6/10
Form
Win Rate
60%
Alaves
2/10
Form
Win Rate20%
Momentum Advantage
Oviedo+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
1-1
20.0%
1-0
15.0%
0-0
12.0%
Over 2.5
40%
45%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.2

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Confidence

64%
Data Quality78%
Form Reliability87%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Oviedo vs AlavesExpert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees a stalemate brewing under the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere lights, where defensive walls meet attacking waves, but neither force prevails. Ancient wisdom reveals a balanced clash destined for shared points.

Based on the data, the match is predicted to be a draw, with Oviedo having a slight edge due to defensive strength and home advantage, but Alaves showing resilience in recent form.

Form Analysis: Oviedo has a strong recent form with WWLWD, including 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating excellent defense. Alaves has DDWDL, with a 4-game unbeaten streak but no clean sheets, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Oviedo's avg goals conceded is 1.0 vs Alaves's 2.4, highlighting a defensive advantage for Oviedo.

Key Factors: 1. Oviedo's defensive solidity with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games. 2. Alaves's high-scoring but leaky defense, averaging 2.4 goals conceded. 3. Balanced head-to-head record with 1 win each and 2 draws in last 5 meetings.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match likely to end in a draw, with Oviedo's defense potentially neutralizing Alaves's attack, but neither team showing clear dominance to secure a win.

Win Probabilities: Oviedo: 35% · Draw: 35% · Alaves: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Oviedo wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Alaves wins: 1

Form: Oviedo: DWLWW · Alaves: LDWDD

  • F. Viñas vs Alaves defense: Viñas will look to break through Alaves's defensive line, which has conceded frequently, testing their organization.
  • Carlos Vicente vs Oviedo defense: Vicente's attacking prowess will challenge Oviedo's strong defense, key to unlocking their clean sheet record.
  • Midfield battle: Oviedo's 4-2-3-1 midfield vs Alaves's 5-3-2 setup will determine control and transition opportunities in a tight match.
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