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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Result • La Liga·Atletico Madrid·Celta Vigo

La Liga
La Liga
May 9, 2026
16:30
high Confidence
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.15
X3.50
23.30
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
high Confidence
WINNER
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Away
Odds
12.15
X3.50
23.30
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Win Probabilities
45%
Atletico Madrid
32%
Draw
23%
Celta Vigo
Home2.1545%
Draw3.5032%
Away3.3023%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Atletico Madrid's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Celta Vigo, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Atletico Madrid a 45% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Celta Vigo a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 19'
    Yellow Card: I. MoribaCelta Vigo
    Yellow Card: I. Moriba
  2. Substitution: R. Le NormandOut: J. M. Gimenez
    20'
    Substitution: R. Le NormandAtletico Madrid · Out: J. M. Gimenez
  3. Substitution: T. AlmadaOut: A. Griezmann
    60'
    Substitution: T. AlmadaAtletico Madrid · Out: A. Griezmann
  4. Substitution: N. MolinaOut: A. Lookman
    60'
    Substitution: N. MolinaAtletico Madrid · Out: A. Lookman
  5. 62'
    Goal: B. IglesiasCelta Vigo · Assist: W. Swedberg
    Goal: B. IglesiasAssist: W. Swedberg
  6. Yellow Card: A. Baena
    66'
    Yellow Card: A. BaenaAtletico Madrid
  7. 68'
    Substitution: F. JutglaCelta Vigo · Out: B. Iglesias
    Substitution: F. JutglaOut: B. Iglesias
  8. 68'
    Substitution: I. AspasCelta Vigo · Out: P. Duran
    Substitution: I. AspasOut: P. Duran
  9. 68'
    Substitution: S. CarreiraCelta Vigo · Out: A. Nunez
    Substitution: S. CarreiraOut: A. Nunez
  10. Substitution: O. VargasOut: A. Baena
    69'
    Substitution: O. VargasAtletico Madrid · Out: A. Baena
  11. Substitution: M. CuboOut: R. Le Normand
    69'
    Substitution: M. CuboAtletico Madrid · Out: R. Le Normand
  12. 77'
    Yellow Card: F. LopezCelta Vigo
    Yellow Card: F. Lopez
  13. 77'
    Substitution: H. AlvarezCelta Vigo · Out: W. Swedberg
    Substitution: H. AlvarezOut: W. Swedberg
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Sørloth vs Celta defense: Sørloth's 12 goals pose a major threat to a vulnerable Celta backline.
2Borja Iglesias vs Atletico defense: Iglesias is Celta's main scoring hope, but Atletico's defense has been inconsistent.
3Midfield battle: Atletico's midfield must control the game to prevent Celta from creating chances.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Atletico Madrid

  • Strong head-to-head record against Celta
  • Solid home form
  • Recent poor form with three consecutive losses
  • Defensive vulnerability conceding 1.4 goals per game

Celta Vigo

  • Recent win in last match
  • Decent attacking threat with Borja Iglesias
  • Poor head-to-head record against Atletico
  • Weak defense conceding 2.0 goals per game on average

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Atletico Madrid453917

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Atletico Madrid are predicted to win this La Liga encounter against Celta Vigo, based on strong head-to-head dominance and superior league position.

Form Analysis: Atletico Madrid have lost three of their last five matches (WWLLL), while Celta Vigo have two wins in five (DWLLW). However, Atletico's home form and overall quality remain superior, as reflected in their 4th place standing with 63 points compared to Celta's 6th place with 47 points.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Atletico, with 7 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 meetings, and Celta failing to win any. Atletico also have a significant home advantage at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Celta's defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game in recent matches, while Atletico's attack averages 1.6 goals per game. Additionally, Celta have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating potential offensive struggles.

Conclusion: The combination of Atletico's historical dominance, home advantage, and Celta's defensive frailties points to a home win. The odds and API model both favor Atletico, reinforcing this prediction.

Statistical ContextAtletico Madrid

Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
63%Strength36%
56%Attacking Potential44%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
78%Goals H2H22%
63%Wins the Game36%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Atletico MadridInjuries · Celta Vigo

Statistical Context

Atletico Madrid

WLLWD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Real Sociedad0-3
  • LSep 9, 26A · Liverpool2-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Athletic Club3-0
  • WAug 29, 26A · Sevilla1-3
  • DAug 23, 26H · Villarreal2-2

Celta Vigo

DDDLL
  • DSep 13, 26H · Malaga1-1
  • DSep 7, 26A · Getafe1-1
  • DSep 3, 26A · Real Sociedad0-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Athletic Club0-2
  • LAug 27, 26H · Osasuna1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Alaves5+610LWWDW
5Atletico Madrid5+410WLWDW
6Sevilla5+210WDLWW
14Getafe5-35DDLWL
15Celta Vigo6-34DDDLL
16Rayo Vallecano5-64LWLDL

Head to Head

7
Atletico Madrid
3
Draws
0
Celta Vigo
  • Oct 5, 25Celta Vigo – Atletico Madrid1-1
  • Feb 15, 25Atletico Madrid – Celta Vigo1-1
  • Sep 26, 24Celta Vigo – Atletico Madrid0-1
  • May 12, 24Atletico Madrid – Celta Vigo1-0
  • Oct 21, 23Celta Vigo – Atletico Madrid0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
Played45
Goals Scored72
Goals Conceded65
Avg Scored1.80.4
Avg Conceded1.51.0
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored4/105/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Atletico Madrid's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Celta Vigo, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Atletico Madrid are predicted to win this La Liga encounter against Celta Vigo, based on strong head-to-head dominance and superior league position.

Form Analysis: Atletico Madrid have lost three of their last five matches (WWLLL), while Celta Vigo have two wins in five (DWLLW). However, Atletico's home form and overall quality remain superior, as reflected in their 4th place standing with 63 points compared to Celta's 6th place with 47 points.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Atletico, with 7 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 meetings, and Celta failing to win any. Atletico also have a significant home advantage at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Celta's defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game in recent matches, while Atletico's attack averages 1.6 goals per game. Additionally, Celta have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating potential offensive struggles.

Conclusion: The combination of Atletico's historical dominance, home advantage, and Celta's defensive frailties points to a home win. The odds and API model both favor Atletico, reinforcing this prediction.

Win Probabilities: Atletico Madrid: 45% · Draw: 32% · Celta Vigo: 23%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Atletico Madrid wins: 7 · Draws: 3 · Celta Vigo wins: 0

Form (latest first): Atletico Madrid: WLLWD · Celta Vigo: DDDLL

  • A. Sørloth vs Celta defense: Sørloth's 12 goals pose a major threat to a vulnerable Celta backline.
  • Borja Iglesias vs Atletico defense: Iglesias is Celta's main scoring hope, but Atletico's defense has been inconsistent.
  • Midfield battle: Atletico's midfield must control the game to prevent Celta from creating chances.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 1517:00
Espanyol
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Sep 1518:00
Valencia
12.3343%
X3.3330%
23.7027%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Sep 1519:30
Real Madrid
112.508%
X5.2619%
21.3773%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 1617:00
Osasuna
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 1617:00
Sevilla
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Sep 1619:30
Racing Santander
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Sep 1619:30
Athletic Club
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Sep 1717:00
Getafe
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Sep 1719:30
Villarreal
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Sep 1819:00
Elche
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Sep 1912:00
Rayo Vallecano
12.1746%
X3.0333%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Sep 1914:15
Alaves
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Sep 1916:30
Racing Santander
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Sep 1919:00
Barcelona
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Sep 2012:00
Malaga
12.1347%
X3.0333%
25.0020%

Betting Tips

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