Based on the data, Zaragoza is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win. The market probabilities are nearly equal, but the API-Football model strongly favors Zaragoza (45% home win, 45% draw, 10% away win), and Zaragoza has better defense (62% vs 38%) and H2H strength (62% vs 38%) in the API comparison. Granada CF is on a 2-loss streak, while Zaragoza has a mixed form but better recent defensive record (2 clean sheets in last 5 vs 1 for Granada).
Form Analysis: Zaragoza's form is LDWLW with 1 loss streak, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, and 2 clean sheets in last 5. Granada CF's form is LLWWD with 2 loss streak, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, and 1 clean sheet in last 5. Both teams have 50% form rating in API comparison.
Key Factors: 1) API-Football model strongly predicts Zaragoza win or draw (90% combined probability). 2) Granada CF's 2 consecutive losses indicate momentum issues. 3) Zaragoza's superior defense (62% vs 38%) and H2H strength (62% vs 38%) in API comparison.
Conclusion: The data supports Zaragoza as the more likely winner or at least a draw, aligning with the API model's advice for double chance: Zaragoza or draw. Market odds are close, but concrete evidence from the API model and Granada's losing streak justifies a slight adjustment towards Zaragoza.
