Based on the data, Beşiktaş is predicted to win, with a 40% probability, aligning closely with market odds and supported by statistical models and key factors.
Form Analysis: Beşiktaş has a form rating of 56% compared to Fatih Karagümrük's 44%, with recent results showing LWWLW versus WLWDL. Beşiktaş averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, while Fatih Karagümrük averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Beşiktaş is in 4th place with 52 points and a +17 GD, whereas Fatih Karagümrük is 18th with 20 points and a -22 GD, indicating a significant standings gap.
Key Factors: 1. Head-to-head dominance: Beşiktaş has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, with an 85% H2H strength rating. 2. Injuries: Fatih Karagümrük has 5 players out, potentially weakening their squad. 3. API-Football model prediction: It favors Beşiktaş with a 45% home win probability and a double chance advice for Beşiktaş or draw.
Conclusion: The data supports a Beşiktaş victory, with adjustments made for form and injuries, staying within 10% of market probabilities.
