Based on the data, Rizespor is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a slight edge for Rizespor (34% away win vs. 33% home win and 33% draw), and the API-Football model strongly favors Rizespor with 45% away win probability and a predicted winner of Rizespor. While Kayserispor has a strong head-to-head record, Rizespor's better form, superior statistical metrics, and Kayserispor's relegation struggles and injury concerns tilt the balance toward the away team.
Form Analysis: Kayserispor's form is poor with LWLLD in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, and they failed to score in 2 of those games. Rizespor has better form with WLLWW, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, and is on a 1-win streak. The API-Football comparison shows Rizespor with 69% form, 75% attack, and 64% defense advantages, and an overall 63.2% vs. 36.8% edge.
Key Factors: 1) Rizespor's superior form and statistical metrics (attack, defense, overall) from API-Football. 2) Kayserispor's relegation position (16th place, -29 GD) and poor recent form, including goal-scoring issues. 3) Both teams have multiple doubtful players, but Kayserispor has 4 out vs. Rizespor's 3, potentially impacting depth.
Conclusion: The data supports Rizespor as the favorite, aligning with both market odds and the API-Football model. Kayserispor's home advantage and strong H2H record (4 wins in last 5 meetings) provide some counterbalance, but not enough to override the current form and statistical disparities. A close match is expected, with Rizespor slightly more likely to secure the victory.
