Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls

PredictionMLS

MLS
MLS
24 May 2026
00:30
low Confidence
PREDICTED DRAW
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

🏠Home
VS
PREDICTED DRAW
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

✈️Away
Win Probabilities
Home33%
Draw33%
Away34%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees New York Red Bulls's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sporting Kansas City a 33% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and New York Red Bulls a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Sporting Kansas City 33%Draw 33%New York Red Bulls 34%BTTS: 55%
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📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Sporting Kansas City
6/10
Form
Win Rate
60%
New York Red Bulls
6/10
Form
Win Rate60%
Momentum Advantage
Even Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
1-1
15.0%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
10.0%
Over 2.5
48%
55%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.4

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Confidence

50%
Data Quality68%
Form Reliability13%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red BullsExpert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees New York Red Bulls's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

The match between Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls is expected to be tightly contested, with bookmaker probabilities nearly evenly split. The API-Football model slightly favors the away side, predicting a draw or New York Red Bulls win.

Form Analysis: Sporting Kansas City have lost four of their last five matches (LLLLW), showing poor recent form. New York Red Bulls have a mixed record (LDLWW) but have won two of their last three. Both teams average 1.6 goals scored per game, but New York's defense has conceded more (1.4 vs 1.4).

Key Factors: Head-to-head history slightly favors Sporting Kansas City (4 wins in last 10 meetings), but New York Red Bulls have a higher league position (8th vs 15th) and better overall stats in attack (71% vs 29%) and form (63% vs 38%). Both teams have several doubtful players, but no confirmed absences.

Conclusion: Given the balanced odds and conflicting signals, a draw or narrow away win is most plausible. The data suggests a low-scoring affair with both teams likely to score.

Win Probabilities: Sporting Kansas City: 33% · Draw: 33% · New York Red Bulls: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Sporting Kansas City wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · New York Red Bulls wins: 4

Form: Sporting Kansas City: WWDLW · New York Red Bulls: WWDLW

  • D. Joveljić vs New York defense: Kansas City's top scorer faces a defense that has conceded 19 goals, but New York's overall defensive rating is 44%.
  • J. Hall vs Sporting Kansas City defense: The away team's leading scorer will test a home defense that has kept no clean sheets in the last five matches.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-3-3, so control of the midfield will be crucial. Kansas City's form suggests they may lose this battle.
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