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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC

Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC

Result • MLS·Columbus Crew·Minnesota United FC

MLS
MLS
May 2, 2026
23:30
high Confidence
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.75
X3.90
24.33
Stadium
Lower.com Field
high Confidence
WINNER
Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

Away
Odds
11.75
X3.90
24.33
Stadium
Lower.com Field
Win Probabilities
52%
Columbus Crew
29%
Draw
19%
Minnesota United FC
Home1.7552%
Draw3.9029%
Away4.3319%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Columbus Crew's fire burning bright, their three wins a sign of momentum. Minnesota's recent stumble clouds their path, making a home victory likely.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Columbus Crew and Minnesota United FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Columbus Crew a 52% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Minnesota United FC a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: M. Arfsten
    12'
    Yellow Card: M. ArfstenColumbus Crew
  2. 25'
    Yellow Card: K. DuncanMinnesota United FC
    Yellow Card: K. Duncan
  3. Goal: T. HabrouneAssist: M. Arfsten
    31'
    Goal: T. HabrouneColumbus Crew · Assist: M. Arfsten
  4. Substitution: Y. CheberkoOut: M. Amundsen
    46'
    Substitution: Y. CheberkoColumbus Crew · Out: M. Amundsen
  5. Goal: H. Picard
    56'
    Goal: H. PicardColumbus Crew
  6. 59'
    Goal: K. YeboahMinnesota United FC · Assist: A. Markanich
    Goal: K. YeboahAssist: A. Markanich
  7. Substitution: S. BangouraOut: D. Gazdag
    63'
    Substitution: S. BangouraColumbus Crew · Out: D. Gazdag
  8. 66'
    Goal: K. YeboahMinnesota United FC · Assist: J. Pereyra
    Goal: K. YeboahAssist: J. Pereyra
  9. Yellow Card: R. Camacho
    73'
    Yellow Card: R. CamachoColumbus Crew
  10. 74'
    Goal: A. MarkanichMinnesota United FC · Assist: N. Triantis
    Goal: A. MarkanichAssist: N. Triantis
  11. 75'
    Substitution: W. TrappMinnesota United FC · Out: N. Triantis
    Substitution: W. TrappOut: N. Triantis
  12. 75'
    Substitution: M. BoxallMinnesota United FC · Out: N. Romero
    Substitution: M. BoxallOut: N. Romero
  13. Substitution: N. AkhundzadeOut: H. Picard
    82'
    Substitution: N. AkhundzadeColumbus Crew · Out: H. Picard
  14. 84'
    Yellow Card: J. DiazMinnesota United FC
    Yellow Card: J. Diaz
  15. 89'
    Substitution: M. DiengMinnesota United FC · Out: K. Yeboah
    Substitution: M. DiengOut: K. Yeboah
  16. Substitution: M. FarsiOut: D. Chambost
    90+2'
    Substitution: M. FarsiColumbus Crew · Out: D. Chambost
  17. Substitution: C. AdamsOut: T. Habroune
    90+3'
    Substitution: C. AdamsColumbus Crew · Out: T. Habroune
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1W. Abou Ali vs Minnesota defense: Columbus's top scorer will test Minnesota's strong defensive line.
2Columbus midfield vs Minnesota midfield: Control of the midfield will be crucial for dictating tempo.
3Columbus attack vs Minnesota defense: The key battle between Columbus's potent attack and Minnesota's solid defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Columbus Crew

  • Strong attack (56%)
  • Excellent recent form (3 wins)
  • Defense rated low (38%)
  • Low league position (14th)

Minnesota United FC

  • Strong defense (63%)
  • Higher league position (5th)
  • Recent 2-match losing streak
  • Attack rated lower (44%)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
Columbus Crew493715

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Columbus Crew is predicted to win against Minnesota United FC based on strong home form, head-to-head advantage, and market odds.

Form Analysis: Columbus Crew is on a 3-match winning streak, averaging 2.4 goals scored per game, while Minnesota United FC has lost 2 consecutive matches. Despite Minnesota's higher league position (5th vs 14th), recent form favors Columbus.

Key Factors: (1) Columbus Crew has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, with only 1 loss. (2) Columbus Crew's attack (56% vs 44%) and overall strength (53.3% vs 46.8%) edge over Minnesota. (3) Minnesota's defense is rated higher (63% vs 38%), but their recent defensive record (conceding 1.2 avg) is not dominant.

Conclusion: The data supports a Columbus Crew victory, with market odds (54% home win) and API model (predicted winner Columbus Crew) in agreement. The draw is possible but less likely given Columbus's momentum.

Statistical ContextColumbus Crew

Double chance : Columbus Crew or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Columbus CrewMinnesota United FC
53%Strength46%
56%Attacking Potential44%
38%Defensive Potential63%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
64%H2H Strength36%
54%Goals H2H46%
53%Wins the Game46%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Columbus CrewInjuries · Minnesota United FC

Statistical Context

Columbus Crew

LLWLL
  • LSep 12, 26H · New York Red Bulls0-1
  • LSep 9, 26A · DC United2-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Colorado Rapids3-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · New England Revolution1-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · Nashville SC3-2

Minnesota United FC

LLLDW
  • LSep 13, 26A · St. Louis City4-2
  • LSep 10, 26H · FC Dallas1-2
  • LSep 6, 26A · Portland Timbers5-4
  • DAug 30, 26H · Orlando City SC3-3
  • WAug 23, 26A · San Jose Earthquakes1-5

Head to Head

1
Columbus Crew
3
Draws
3
Minnesota United FC
  • Mar 2, 24Minnesota United FC – Columbus Crew1-1
  • Aug 5, 23Columbus Crew – Minnesota United FC3-3
  • Sep 23, 20Columbus Crew – Minnesota United FC2-1
  • Jul 29, 20Columbus Crew – Minnesota United FC1-1
  • May 19, 19Minnesota United FC – Columbus Crew1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Columbus CrewMinnesota United FC
Played2325
Goals Scored3437
Goals Conceded3943
Avg Scored1.51.5
Avg Conceded1.71.7
Clean Sheets45

Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Columbus Crew's fire burning bright, their three wins a sign of momentum. Minnesota's recent stumble clouds their path, making a home victory likely.

Columbus Crew is predicted to win against Minnesota United FC based on strong home form, head-to-head advantage, and market odds.

Form Analysis: Columbus Crew is on a 3-match winning streak, averaging 2.4 goals scored per game, while Minnesota United FC has lost 2 consecutive matches. Despite Minnesota's higher league position (5th vs 14th), recent form favors Columbus.

Key Factors: (1) Columbus Crew has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, with only 1 loss. (2) Columbus Crew's attack (56% vs 44%) and overall strength (53.3% vs 46.8%) edge over Minnesota. (3) Minnesota's defense is rated higher (63% vs 38%), but their recent defensive record (conceding 1.2 avg) is not dominant.

Conclusion: The data supports a Columbus Crew victory, with market odds (54% home win) and API model (predicted winner Columbus Crew) in agreement. The draw is possible but less likely given Columbus's momentum.

Win Probabilities: Columbus Crew: 52% · Draw: 29% · Minnesota United FC: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Columbus Crew wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Minnesota United FC wins: 3

Form (latest first): Columbus Crew: LLWLL · Minnesota United FC: LLLDW

  • W. Abou Ali vs Minnesota defense: Columbus's top scorer will test Minnesota's strong defensive line.
  • Columbus midfield vs Minnesota midfield: Control of the midfield will be crucial for dictating tempo.
  • Columbus attack vs Minnesota defense: The key battle between Columbus's potent attack and Minnesota's solid defense.

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MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Sep 1823:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1923:30
Los Angeles FC
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Sep 1923:30
Orlando City SC
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 1923:30
Columbus Crew
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1923:30
Charlotte
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 2000:30
Austin
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2000:30
FC Cincinnati
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 2000:30
Philadelphia Union
15.5618%
X3.5728%
21.8554%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Sep 2000:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 2000:30
Toronto FC
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2001:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 2001:30
Seattle Sounders
12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Sep 2001:30
Chicago Fire
11.8554%
X3.4529%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Sep 2002:30
Atlanta United FC
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 2023:00
San Diego
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%

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