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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Europa League
  3. SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa

Result • UEFA Europa League·SC Freiburg·Aston Villa

UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League
May 20, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Home
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.50
X3.90
21.62
Stadium
Tüpraş Stadyumu
high Confidence
WINNER
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away
Odds
15.50
X3.90
21.62
Stadium
Tüpraş Stadyumu
Win Probabilities
22%
SC Freiburg
27%
Draw
51%
Aston Villa
Home5.5022%
Draw3.9027%
Away1.6251%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a storm of victories for Aston Villa, their form unbroken. Freiburg's defense falters, and the away side claims the spoils.

Our AI model analyzes this UEFA Europa League fixture between SC Freiburg and Aston Villa using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SC Freiburg a 22% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Aston Villa a 51% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: P. Treu
    5'
    Yellow Card: P. TreuSC Freiburg
  2. 15'
    Yellow Card: E. BuendiaAston Villa
    Yellow Card: E. Buendia
  3. 21'
    Yellow Card: M. CashAston Villa
    Yellow Card: M. Cash
  4. 41'
    Goal: Y. TielemansAston Villa · Assist: M. Rogers
    Goal: Y. TielemansAssist: M. Rogers
  5. 45+3'
    Goal: E. BuendiaAston Villa · Assist: J. McGinn
    Goal: E. BuendiaAssist: J. McGinn
  6. 58'
    Goal: M. RogersAston Villa · Assist: E. Buendia
    Goal: M. RogersAssist: E. Buendia
  7. Substitution: M. RosenfelderOut: P. Lienhart
    61'
    Substitution: M. RosenfelderSC Freiburg · Out: P. Lienhart
  8. Substitution: L. HolerOut: N. Hofler
    61'
    Substitution: L. HolerSC Freiburg · Out: N. Hofler
  9. 66'
    Substitution: A. OnanaAston Villa · Out: V. Lindelof
    Substitution: A. OnanaOut: V. Lindelof
  10. Substitution: D. ScherhantOut: V. Grifo
    73'
    Substitution: D. ScherhantSC Freiburg · Out: V. Grifo
  11. Substitution: J. MakengoOut: L. Kubler
    73'
    Substitution: J. MakengoSC Freiburg · Out: L. Kubler
  12. 81'
    Substitution: J. SanchoAston Villa · Out: E. Buendia
    Substitution: J. SanchoOut: E. Buendia
  13. 81'
    Substitution: I. MaatsenAston Villa · Out: L. Digne
    Substitution: I. MaatsenOut: L. Digne
  14. 84'
    Yellow Card: J. McGinnAston Villa
    Yellow Card: J. McGinn
  15. Substitution: C. GunterOut: J. Beste
    86'
    Substitution: C. GunterSC Freiburg · Out: J. Beste
  16. 88'
    Substitution: T. MingsAston Villa · Out: P. Torres
    Substitution: T. MingsOut: P. Torres
  17. 88'
    Substitution: Douglas LuizAston Villa · Out: Y. Tielemans
    Substitution: Douglas LuizOut: Y. Tielemans
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1V. Grifo vs A. Villa defense: Grifo's creativity vs Villa's organized backline
2O. Watkins vs Freiburg defense: Watkins' finishing vs a leaky defense
3M. Rogers vs Freiburg midfield: Rogers' dribbling vs Freiburg's midfield
Strengths · Weaknesses

SC Freiburg

  • Set pieces
  • Counter-attacks
  • Defensive fragility (no clean sheets in last 5)
  • Inconsistent form

Aston Villa

  • Excellent form (5 wins in a row)
  • Strong attack (2.2 goals per game)
  • Several players doubtful (though likely to play)
  • Potential complacency due to form

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
51%
API-Football
35%
41%
Aston Villa293141

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Aston Villa are strong favorites to win, backed by both market odds (58% implied) and their exceptional form.

Form Analysis: Aston Villa have won all of their last 5 matches, while SC Freiburg have a mixed record (WLDLW). Villa's attack (28 goals) and defense (8 conceded) are superior, and they have a clean sheet in their recent run.

Key Factors: Villa's momentum is overwhelming with a 3-match unbeaten streak and 5 consecutive wins. Freiburg have no clean sheets in their last 5, and their key defender Ginter is doubtful. Villa have 4 players doubtful but all are likely to play.

Conclusion: Aston Villa's form and quality should overcome Freiburg, despite the neutral venue. The odds and model agree on an away win, making this a high-confidence prediction.

Statistical ContextSC Freiburg

Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SC FreiburgAston Villa
50%Strength49%
54%Attacking Potential46%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game49%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SC FreiburgInjuries · Aston VillaLive scores →

Statistical Context

SC Freiburg

DWWWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Werder Bremen4-1
  • WAug 27, 26H · Motherwell4-1

Aston Villa

WWLWD
  • WSep 19, 26A · Tottenham2-3
  • WSep 16, 26A · Coventry1-3
  • LSep 12, 26H · Nottingham Forest1-2
  • WSep 8, 26A · Club Brugge KV2-3
  • DSep 5, 26A · Hull City0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

SC FreiburgAston Villa
Played25
Goals Scored74
Goals Conceded29
Avg Scored3.50.8
Avg Conceded1.01.8
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SC FreiburgAston Villa
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a storm of victories for Aston Villa, their form unbroken. Freiburg's defense falters, and the away side claims the spoils.

Aston Villa are strong favorites to win, backed by both market odds (58% implied) and their exceptional form.

Form Analysis: Aston Villa have won all of their last 5 matches, while SC Freiburg have a mixed record (WLDLW). Villa's attack (28 goals) and defense (8 conceded) are superior, and they have a clean sheet in their recent run.

Key Factors: Villa's momentum is overwhelming with a 3-match unbeaten streak and 5 consecutive wins. Freiburg have no clean sheets in their last 5, and their key defender Ginter is doubtful. Villa have 4 players doubtful but all are likely to play.

Conclusion: Aston Villa's form and quality should overcome Freiburg, despite the neutral venue. The odds and model agree on an away win, making this a high-confidence prediction.

Win Probabilities: SC Freiburg: 22% · Draw: 27% · Aston Villa: 51%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

Form (latest first): SC Freiburg: DWWWW · Aston Villa: WWLWD

  • V. Grifo vs A. Villa defense: Grifo's creativity vs Villa's organized backline
  • O. Watkins vs Freiburg defense: Watkins' finishing vs a leaky defense
  • M. Rogers vs Freiburg midfield: Rogers' dribbling vs Freiburg's midfield

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12.1746%
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Betting Tips

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