Napoli vs Bologna

Prediction • Serie A

Serie A
Serie A
11 May 2026
18:45
high Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Napoli

Napoli

🏠Home
VS
Bologna

Bologna

✈️Away
Odds
11.55
X4.20
25.75
🏟️Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Win Probabilities
⭐Home57%
Draw28%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

“The Oracle sees Napoli's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Bologna, but the hosts' quality should shine through.”

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Napoli and Bologna using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Napoli a 57% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Bologna a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Napoli 57%Draw 28%Bologna 15%BTTS: 35%
Share Prediction

📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Napoli
4/10
Form
Win Rate
40%
Bologna
2/10
Form
Win Rate20%
Momentum Advantage
Napoli+2.0

⭐Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

⭐

Key Battle

F
David Neres
8.2

David Neres

Napoli

VS
Juan Miranda
7.5

Juan Miranda

Bologna

35ATT18
100TEC100
84TAC93
13DEF73
90CRE45

🔥Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
4/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1.4
Avg Scored
1.8
Defense
5/10
Clean Sheets
4/10
1.1
Avg Conceded
0.9
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
7/10
2.1
Avg Cards
1.9
4.9
Avg Corners
6.5

⚽Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
2-0
15.0%
1-0
13.0%
2-1
12.0%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS
35%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.2

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

20°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
16 km/h
Humidity
77%
Rain
1.4 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Confidence

82%
Data Quality100%
Form Reliability33%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Napoli vs Bologna — Expert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees Napoli's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Bologna, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Napoli is predicted to win based on strong odds, superior form, and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Napoli's recent form (DWLDW) shows resilience with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Bologna's form (DLLWW) is inconsistent, averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, failing to score in 4 of last 5.

Key Factors: Napoli's strong defense (3 clean sheets) vs Bologna's poor attack (0.4 avg goals). Napoli's home advantage and higher league position (2nd vs 10th). Bologna's lack of injuries vs Napoli's 4 doubtful players, but none confirmed out.

Conclusion: Napoli's overall superiority in attack (60% vs 40%) and defense (63% vs 38%) per API comparison, combined with home advantage and better form, makes a home win the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Napoli: 57% · Draw: 28% · Bologna: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Napoli wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Bologna wins: 5

Form: Napoli: WDLWD · Bologna: WLLLD

  • R. Højlund vs Bologna's defense: Napoli's top scorer faces a defense that has conceded 1.6 goals per game recently.
  • S. McTominay vs Bologna's midfield: McTominay's box-to-box runs could exploit gaps in Bologna's midfield.
  • R. Orsolini vs Napoli's defense: Bologna's main attacking threat must overcome a defense with 3 clean sheets in 5 games.

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