Based on the data, QPR is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning with the API-Football model's prediction of QPR as the winner and its double chance advice, while the market odds show a very close three-way split.
Form Analysis: QPR has a 4-game unbeaten streak (DWWWL) with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in their last 5 matches, indicating strong recent performance. Derby has a 1-game win streak (WLWWL) with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games, showing defensive solidity but lower scoring (1.2 avg goals scored). QPR's form advantage is supported by the API comparison showing 53% form vs. Derby's 47%.
Key Factors: 1) QPR's recent unbeaten streak and higher goal-scoring average provide momentum. 2) Derby's multiple doubtful injuries (5 players out) could weaken their squad. 3) The API-Football model strongly favors QPR with a 45% home win probability and overall rating of 55.7% vs. 44.3% for Derby, reinforcing QPR's edge despite close market odds.
Conclusion: The data suggests QPR has a slight advantage due to better recent form, fewer injury concerns, and statistical model support, making a home win or draw the most likely outcomes, with a home win slightly favored.
