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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham vs Bristol City

Result • Championship·Birmingham·Bristol City

Championship
Championship
Aug 22, 2026
11:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Birmingham

Birmingham

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.75
X3.60
24.20
Stadium
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
high Confidence
DRAW
Bristol City

Bristol City

Away
Odds
11.75
X3.60
24.20
Stadium
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Win Probabilities
53%
Birmingham
28%
Draw
19%
Bristol City
Home1.7553%
Draw3.6028%
Away4.2019%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Birmingham are clear favourites, backed by a five-match unbeaten run and three clean sheets in their last five games, while Bristol City have lost two straight and failed to score in three of their last five. The main risk is Birmingham's injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm, but their defensive solidity should see them through.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Birmingham and Bristol City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Birmingham a 53% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Bristol City a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: B. Osayi-Samuel
    32'
    Yellow Card: B. Osayi-SamuelBirmingham
  2. 33'
    Goal: S. TwineBristol City
    Goal: S. Twine
  3. Own goal: S. Tickle (Own goal)
    42'
    Own goal: S. Tickle (Own goal)Birmingham
  4. Substitution: E. LairdOut: B. Osayi-Samuel
    46'
    Substitution: E. LairdBirmingham · Out: B. Osayi-Samuel
  5. Substitution: P. RobertsOut: Paik Seung-Ho
    62'
    Substitution: P. RobertsBirmingham · Out: Paik Seung-Ho
  6. Substitution: D. GrayOut: C. Vicente
    63'
    Substitution: D. GrayBirmingham · Out: C. Vicente
  7. 65'
    Substitution: D. BallardBristol City · Out: L. Tolaj
    Substitution: D. BallardOut: L. Tolaj
  8. 65'
    Substitution: T. HorvatBristol City · Out: J. Wallace
    Substitution: T. HorvatOut: J. Wallace
  9. 71'
    Substitution: G. YahBristol City · Out: J. Williams
    Substitution: G. YahOut: J. Williams
  10. 71'
    Substitution: S. GreenwoodBristol City · Out: S. Twine
    Substitution: S. GreenwoodOut: S. Twine
  11. Yellow Card: P. Roberts
    78'
    Yellow Card: P. RobertsBirmingham
  12. Substitution: L. VazquezOut: A. Priske
    79'
    Substitution: L. VazquezBirmingham · Out: A. Priske
  13. Substitution: M. DuckschOut: J. Stansfield
    84'
    Substitution: M. DuckschBirmingham · Out: J. Stansfield
  14. 85'
    Goal: D. BallardBristol City · Assist: R. Cardines
    Goal: D. BallardAssist: R. Cardines
  15. 90+1'
    Substitution: R. AtkinsonBristol City · Out: Y. Hirakawa
    Substitution: R. AtkinsonOut: Y. Hirakawa
  16. Penalty: D. Gray (Penalty)
    90+5'
    Penalty: D. Gray (Penalty)Birmingham
  17. 90+7'
    Yellow Card: J. KnightBristol City
    Yellow Card: J. Knight
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1James Beadle vs Lorent Tolaj: Birmingham's goalkeeper has been in excellent form with three clean sheets, while Tolaj will be Bristol City's main attacking threat. Beadle's shot-stopping will be crucial in keeping a clean sheet.
2Tomoki Iwata vs Jason Knight: The midfield battle will be key, with Iwata's defensive discipline against Knight's creativity. If Iwata can nullify Knight, Bristol City's attacking flow will be disrupted.
3Jay Stansfield vs Rob Dickie: Stansfield's movement and finishing will test Dickie's defensive capabilities. If Stansfield can find space, he could be the difference-maker.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Birmingham

  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches, showing resilience and consistency
  • Low scoring output, averaging just 1.2 goals per game
  • Several key players injured, potentially disrupting team cohesion

Bristol City

  • Decent defensive record with 1 clean sheet in last 5 games
  • Have shown ability to score, averaging 1.0 goal per game
  • On a 2-match losing streak, lacking confidence
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 games, showing attacking struggles

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
53%
API-Football
45%
49%
Birmingham493715

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Birmingham enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a solid defensive record and a five-match unbeaten streak. Bristol City, meanwhile, are languishing near the bottom of the table after two consecutive defeats and have struggled to find the net recently.

Form Analysis: Birmingham have been resolute at the back, keeping three clean sheets in their last five outings and conceding just 0.6 goals per game on average. Their unbeaten run has built momentum and confidence. In contrast, Bristol City have lost their last two matches, failed to score in three of their last five, and have conceded an average of 1.0 goal per game. Their attacking output has been poor, and they sit 23rd in the standings with a negative goal difference.

Key Factors: Birmingham's defensive solidity is a major factor; they have kept three clean sheets in five games and have the league's best defensive record in this period. Bristol City's attacking woes are compounded by the suspension of A. Randell and injuries to key players, weakening their midfield and forward options. Historically, Birmingham have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last nine meetings, which gives them a psychological edge.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a home victory. Birmingham's form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Bristol City make them the clear favourites. Bristol City's lack of goals and poor recent form suggest they will struggle to break down a well-organised Birmingham side. Expect a controlled performance from the hosts, who should secure a comfortable win.

Statistical ContextBirmingham

Combo Double chance : Birmingham or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BirminghamBristol City
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BirminghamInjuries · Bristol CityLive scores →

Statistical Context

Birmingham

WDWLD
  • WOct 10, 26A · West Brom0-1
  • DSep 19, 26H · Middlesbrough2-2
  • WSep 12, 26A · Derby1-2
  • LSep 9, 26A · Norwich2-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Wolves2-2

Bristol City

DWLLW
  • DOct 10, 26A · Charlton1-1
  • WSep 18, 26H · Watford1-0
  • LSep 15, 26H · Lincoln0-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Southampton4-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Burnley1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6QPR9+314DDDDL
7Birmingham9+214WDWLD
8Millwall9+114WDDLW
9West Brom9+114LLDWW
10Bristol City9-114DWLLW
11Southampton9+1013WLWWD

Head to Head

5
Birmingham
1
Draws
3
Bristol City
  • Apr 25, 26Birmingham – Bristol City2-1
  • Oct 25, 25Bristol City – Birmingham1-0
  • Dec 29, 23Birmingham – Bristol City0-0
  • Aug 19, 23Bristol City – Birmingham0-2
  • Jan 14, 23Bristol City – Birmingham4-2

Season Statistics — 2026

BirminghamBristol City
Played88
Goals Scored1211
Goals Conceded1112
Avg Scored1.51.4
Avg Conceded1.41.5
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BirminghamBristol City
Over 2.5 Goals7/103/10
Both Teams Scored6/103/10
Clean Sheets3/104/10

Birmingham vs Bristol City — Match Analysis

Birmingham are clear favourites, backed by a five-match unbeaten run and three clean sheets in their last five games, while Bristol City have lost two straight and failed to score in three of their last five. The main risk is Birmingham's injury list, which could disrupt their rhythm, but their defensive solidity should see them through.

Birmingham enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a solid defensive record and a five-match unbeaten streak. Bristol City, meanwhile, are languishing near the bottom of the table after two consecutive defeats and have struggled to find the net recently.

Form Analysis: Birmingham have been resolute at the back, keeping three clean sheets in their last five outings and conceding just 0.6 goals per game on average. Their unbeaten run has built momentum and confidence. In contrast, Bristol City have lost their last two matches, failed to score in three of their last five, and have conceded an average of 1.0 goal per game. Their attacking output has been poor, and they sit 23rd in the standings with a negative goal difference.

Key Factors: Birmingham's defensive solidity is a major factor; they have kept three clean sheets in five games and have the league's best defensive record in this period. Bristol City's attacking woes are compounded by the suspension of A. Randell and injuries to key players, weakening their midfield and forward options. Historically, Birmingham have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last nine meetings, which gives them a psychological edge.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a home victory. Birmingham's form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Bristol City make them the clear favourites. Bristol City's lack of goals and poor recent form suggest they will struggle to break down a well-organised Birmingham side. Expect a controlled performance from the hosts, who should secure a comfortable win.

Win Probabilities: Birmingham: 53% · Draw: 28% · Bristol City: 19%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 37% · Under 2.5: 63% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Birmingham wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Bristol City wins: 3

Form (latest first): Birmingham: WDWLD · Bristol City: DWLLW

  • James Beadle vs Lorent Tolaj: Birmingham's goalkeeper has been in excellent form with three clean sheets, while Tolaj will be Bristol City's main attacking threat. Beadle's shot-stopping will be crucial in keeping a clean sheet.
  • Tomoki Iwata vs Jason Knight: The midfield battle will be key, with Iwata's defensive discipline against Knight's creativity. If Iwata can nullify Knight, Bristol City's attacking flow will be disrupted.
  • Jay Stansfield vs Rob Dickie: Stansfield's movement and finishing will test Dickie's defensive capabilities. If Stansfield can find space, he could be the difference-maker.

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Oct 1318:45
Bolton
11.5266%
X4.5522%
28.3312%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Oct 1318:45
Watford
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Oct 1318:45
Charlton
11.7956%
X3.8526%
25.5618%
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Oct 1318:45
Blackburn
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Oct 1318:45
Swansea
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Oct 1318:45
West Brom
12.6338%
X3.3330%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Oct 1319:00
Preston
11.6461%
X4.1724%
26.6715%
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Oct 1319:00
Middlesbrough
13.5728%
X3.7027%
22.2245%
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Oct 1418:45
Southampton
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Oct 1418:45
Derby
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Oct 1418:45
Sheffield Utd
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Oct 1419:00
West Ham
16.2516%
X4.3523%
21.6461%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Oct 1619:00
Wolves
13.7027%
X3.4529%
22.2744%
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Oct 1711:30
Charlton
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Oct 1711:30
Lincoln
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%

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