1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05

Result • Bundesliga

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
16 May 2026
13:30
1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Heidenheim

🏠Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
WINNER
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

✈️Away
Odds
11.91
X4.33
23.30
🏟️Stadium
Voith-Arena
Win Probabilities
Home49%
Draw27%
⭐Away24%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

“The Oracle sees a home victory for Heidenheim, as their form and home advantage outweigh Mainz's struggles. The stars align for a 2-1 outcome.”

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between 1. FC Heidenheim and FSV Mainz 05 using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns 1. FC Heidenheim a 49% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and FSV Mainz 05 a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

1. FC Heidenheim 49%Draw 27%FSV Mainz 05 24%Predicted Score: 2-1BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

⚡

Analysis & Key Battles

1. FC Heidenheim

HOME
✓
Strengths
  • Strong recent form
  • Home advantage
  • Superior attack and defense stats
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Low league position (17th)
  • Multiple injury doubts
  • Poor goal difference (-29)

FSV Mainz 05

AWAY
✓
Strengths
  • Higher league position (10th)
  • Key player N. Amiri with 11 goals
  • Better goal difference (-11)
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Poor recent form (LWLDL)
  • No clean sheets in last 5
  • Defensive frailty (conceding 2.6 avg)

Key Player Battles

⚔️B. Zivzivadze vs Mainz defense: Heidenheim's top scorer faces a leaky defense.
⚔️N. Amiri vs Heidenheim midfield: Mainz's key playmaker must be contained.
⚔️Heidenheim wingers vs Mainz wing-backs: Battle for width and crosses.

Combined Analysis

Multi-source prediction consensus

Medium Agreement

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

1. FC Heidenheim Win47%
Draw36%
FSV Mainz 05 Win17%

Key Insights

Reasoning behind the prediction

AI Analysis
High Confidence

Based on the data, 1. FC Heidenheim is the predicted winner with a 50% probability, closely following the bookmaker-implied odds. The API-Football model also favors Heidenheim, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Heidenheim's recent form (WDWLW) is superior to Mainz's (LWLDL). Heidenheim averages 2.4 goals scored per match, while Mainz concedes 2.6. Heidenheim also has a 3-match unbeaten streak, whereas Mainz is on a 1-match losing streak.

Key Factors: Heidenheim's home advantage (rating 0.55) and stronger attack (63% vs 37%) and defense (59% vs 41%) in the API comparison are decisive. Mainz's poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities (no clean sheets in last 5) further tilt the balance.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Heidenheim victory, supported by form, home advantage, and statistical comparisons.

Statistical Context
1. FC Heidenheim

Double chance : 1. FC Heidenheim or draw

Team Comparison

1. FC HeidenheimFSV Mainz 05
Strength
55%
44%
Attacking Potential
63%
37%
Defensive Potential
59%
41%
Poisson Distribution
50%
50%
H2H Strength
50%
50%
Goals H2H
50%
50%
Wins the Game
55%
44%

1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a home victory for Heidenheim, as their form and home advantage outweigh Mainz's struggles. The stars align for a 2-1 outcome.

Based on the data, 1. FC Heidenheim is the predicted winner with a 50% probability, closely following the bookmaker-implied odds. The API-Football model also favors Heidenheim, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Heidenheim's recent form (WDWLW) is superior to Mainz's (LWLDL). Heidenheim averages 2.4 goals scored per match, while Mainz concedes 2.6. Heidenheim also has a 3-match unbeaten streak, whereas Mainz is on a 1-match losing streak.

Key Factors: Heidenheim's home advantage (rating 0.55) and stronger attack (63% vs 37%) and defense (59% vs 41%) in the API comparison are decisive. Mainz's poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities (no clean sheets in last 5) further tilt the balance.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Heidenheim victory, supported by form, home advantage, and statistical comparisons.

Win Probabilities: 1. FC Heidenheim: 49% · Draw: 27% · FSV Mainz 05: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: 1. FC Heidenheim wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · FSV Mainz 05 wins: 2

Form: 1. FC Heidenheim: WLWDW · FSV Mainz 05: LDLWL

  • B. Zivzivadze vs Mainz defense: Heidenheim's top scorer faces a leaky defense.
  • N. Amiri vs Heidenheim midfield: Mainz's key playmaker must be contained.
  • Heidenheim wingers vs Mainz wing-backs: Battle for width and crosses.

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