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Matches
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Santos vs Chapecoense-sc

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc

Result • Série A·Santos·Chapecoense-sc

Série A
Série A
Jul 25, 2026
21:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Santos

Santos

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.39
X4.50
27.90
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
high Confidence
DRAW
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

Away
Odds
11.39
X4.50
27.90
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Win Probabilities
62%
Santos
26%
Draw
12%
Chapecoense-sc
Home1.3962%
Draw4.5026%
Away7.9012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Santos are favored at 63% to win at home against Chapecoense-sc. The draw is rated 22% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Santos and Chapecoense-sc using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Santos a 62% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Chapecoense-sc a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Gabriel Barbosa vs Chapecoense defence: The Santos striker's movement and finishing will test a fragile backline missing several starters.
2Santos midfield vs Chapecoense midfield: Santos should dominate possession and control the tempo, limiting Chapecoense's chances.
3Set pieces: Santos have height advantage and could score from dead-ball situations against a disorganised defence.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Santos

  • Home advantage at Vila Belmiro
  • Key striker Gabriel Barbosa in form
  • Inconsistent recent form (LWLLW)
  • Several players suspended, including key defenders

Chapecoense-sc

  • None evident from data
  • Worst defence in the league (-18 GD)
  • Winless in five matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
62%
API-Football
45%
54%
Santos533611

Moderate agreement on home win (54%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Santos are clear favourites to win this match, given their superior league position, home advantage, and the dire form of Chapecoense-sc.

Form Analysis: Santos have won two of their last five (LWLLW), while Chapecoense-sc are winless in five (LLLLD) and have lost four straight. The visitors are rooted to the bottom of the table with just 9 points and a -18 goal difference, already relegated in all but name.

Key Factors: Santos have a strong home record at Vila Belmiro and face a Chapecoense side that has struggled all season. The visitors are also missing several key players through suspension, including top scorer Doma. Santos' Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals, 2 assists) is a constant threat.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Santos should dominate possession and create numerous chances against a porous Chapecoense defence.

Statistical ContextSantos

Double chance : Santos or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SantosChapecoense-sc
65%Strength35%
62%Attacking Potential38%
53%Defensive Potential47%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
53%Goals H2H47%
65%Wins the Game35%

Statistical Context

Santos

LDDWW
  • LAug 27, 26A · Palmeiras3-0
  • DAug 23, 26H · Mirassol1-1
  • DAug 20, 26A · Macara0-0
  • WAug 16, 26A · Vasco DA Gama0-3
  • WAug 13, 26H · Macara2-1

Chapecoense-sc

WDLLD
  • WAug 23, 26H · Sao Paulo1-0
  • DAug 16, 26H · Bahia3-3
  • LAug 8, 26A · Coritiba2-1
  • LAug 5, 26A · Cruzeiro2-0
  • DAug 2, 26H · Cruzeiro0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
13Sao Paulo23027LDLDL
14Santos23-326DWLDL
15Gremio23-725LLWDL
16Internacional24-425DDDDL
17Mirassol23-1024DLLWD
18Remo24-1123LDDLW
19Vasco DA Gama23-1422LLDDL
20Chapecoense-sc23-2214WDLDL

Head to Head

5
Santos
1
Draws
4
Chapecoense-sc
  • Jan 28, 26Chapecoense-sc – Santos4-2
  • Oct 16, 24Chapecoense-sc – Santos3-2
  • Jul 2, 24Santos – Chapecoense-sc1-0
  • Nov 17, 21Santos – Chapecoense-sc2-0
  • Aug 1, 21Chapecoense-sc – Santos0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SantosChapecoense-sc
Played422
Goals Scored323
Goals Conceded046
Avg Scored0.81.1
Avg Conceded0.02.1
Clean Sheets41

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc — Match Analysis

Santos are favored at 63% to win at home against Chapecoense-sc. The draw is rated 22% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Santos are clear favourites to win this match, given their superior league position, home advantage, and the dire form of Chapecoense-sc.

Form Analysis: Santos have won two of their last five (LWLLW), while Chapecoense-sc are winless in five (LLLLD) and have lost four straight. The visitors are rooted to the bottom of the table with just 9 points and a -18 goal difference, already relegated in all but name.

Key Factors: Santos have a strong home record at Vila Belmiro and face a Chapecoense side that has struggled all season. The visitors are also missing several key players through suspension, including top scorer Doma. Santos' Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals, 2 assists) is a constant threat.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Santos should dominate possession and create numerous chances against a porous Chapecoense defence.

Win Probabilities: Santos: 62% · Draw: 26% · Chapecoense-sc: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Santos wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Chapecoense-sc wins: 4

Form (latest first): Santos: LDDWW · Chapecoense-sc: WDLLD

  • Gabriel Barbosa vs Chapecoense defence: The Santos striker's movement and finishing will test a fragile backline missing several starters.
  • Santos midfield vs Chapecoense midfield: Santos should dominate possession and control the tempo, limiting Chapecoense's chances.
  • Set pieces: Santos have height advantage and could score from dead-ball situations against a disorganised defence.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Aug 2923:00
RB Bragantino
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Aug 3000:20
Cruzeiro
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Aug 3014:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Aug 3019:00
Botafogo
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Aug 3019:00
Santos
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Aug 3021:30
Chapecoense-sc
11.5963%
X4.0025%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Aug 3021:30
Palmeiras
15.0020%
X3.1332%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Aug 3022:30
Internacional
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Aug 3123:00
Coritiba
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 222:30
Mirassol
11.3574%
X5.5618%
212.508%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Sep 519:00
Bahia
12.7836%
X3.1332%
23.1332%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 521:30
Atletico-MG
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Série ABrazil
Fluminense
Sep 600:00
Vasco DA Gama
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Sep 614:00
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Sep 619:00
Santos
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%