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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Santos vs Chapecoense-sc

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc

Result • Série A·Santos·Chapecoense-sc

Série A
Série A
Jul 25, 2026
21:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Santos

Santos

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.39
X4.50
27.90
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
high Confidence
DRAW
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

Away
Odds
11.39
X4.50
27.90
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Win Probabilities
62%
Santos
26%
Draw
12%
Chapecoense-sc
Home1.3962%
Draw4.5026%
Away7.9012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Santos are favored at 63% to win at home against Chapecoense-sc. The draw is rated 22% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Santos and Chapecoense-sc using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Santos a 62% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Chapecoense-sc a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. Goal: NeymarAssist: A. Barreal
    36'
    Goal: NeymarSantos · Assist: A. Barreal
  2. 46'
    Substitution: Bruno MatiasChapecoense-sc · Out: David Antunes
    Substitution: Bruno MatiasOut: David Antunes
  3. 46'
    Substitution: Giovanni AugustoChapecoense-sc · Out: Enio
    Substitution: Giovanni AugustoOut: Enio
  4. 46'
    Substitution: MarcinhoChapecoense-sc · Out: K. Ramirez
    Substitution: MarcinhoOut: K. Ramirez
  5. 51'
    Goal: MarcinhoChapecoense-sc · Assist: Giovanni Augusto
    Goal: MarcinhoAssist: Giovanni Augusto
  6. 54'
    Yellow Card: Camilo ReijersChapecoense-sc
    Yellow Card: Camilo Reijers
  7. 62'
    Own goal: Joao Ananias (Own goal)Chapecoense-sc
    Own goal: Joao Ananias (Own goal)
  8. Substitution: G. CaballeroOut: B. Rollheiser
    63'
    Substitution: G. CaballeroSantos · Out: B. Rollheiser
  9. Substitution: C. OlivaOut: Willian Arao
    63'
    Substitution: C. OlivaSantos · Out: Willian Arao
  10. Substitution: Gabriel MeninoOut: Igor Vinicius
    63'
    Substitution: Gabriel MeninoSantos · Out: Igor Vinicius
  11. Yellow Card: Lucas Verissimo
    68'
    Yellow Card: Lucas VerissimoSantos
  12. 73'
    Yellow Card: Matheus AurelioChapecoense-sc
    Yellow Card: Matheus Aurelio
  13. 75'
    Yellow Card: Bruno TubaraoChapecoense-sc
    Yellow Card: Bruno Tubarao
  14. Yellow Card: Neymar
    76'
    Yellow Card: NeymarSantos
  15. Yellow Card: A. Barreal
    77'
    Yellow Card: A. BarrealSantos
  16. Substitution: ThacianoOut: A. Barreal
    80'
    Substitution: ThacianoSantos · Out: A. Barreal
  17. Substitution: RonyOut: Gabriel Barbosa
    80'
    Substitution: RonySantos · Out: Gabriel Barbosa
  18. 80'
    Substitution: Bruno PachecoChapecoense-sc · Out: Fernando
    Substitution: Bruno PachecoOut: Fernando
  19. 83'
    Substitution: Vinicius BalieiroChapecoense-sc · Out: Camilo Reijers
    Substitution: Vinicius BalieiroOut: Camilo Reijers
  20. 88'
    Yellow Card: Bruno MatiasChapecoense-sc
    Yellow Card: Bruno Matias
  21. Penalty: Neymar (Penalty)
    89'
    Penalty: Neymar (Penalty)Santos
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Gabriel Barbosa vs Chapecoense defence: The Santos striker's movement and finishing will test a fragile backline missing several starters.
2Santos midfield vs Chapecoense midfield: Santos should dominate possession and control the tempo, limiting Chapecoense's chances.
3Set pieces: Santos have height advantage and could score from dead-ball situations against a disorganised defence.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Santos

  • Home advantage at Vila Belmiro
  • Key striker Gabriel Barbosa in form
  • Inconsistent recent form (LWLLW)
  • Several players suspended, including key defenders

Chapecoense-sc

  • None evident from data
  • Worst defence in the league (-18 GD)
  • Winless in five matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
62%
API-Football
45%
54%
Santos533611

Moderate agreement on home win (54%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Santos are clear favourites to win this match, given their superior league position, home advantage, and the dire form of Chapecoense-sc.

Form Analysis: Santos have won two of their last five (LWLLW), while Chapecoense-sc are winless in five (LLLLD) and have lost four straight. The visitors are rooted to the bottom of the table with just 9 points and a -18 goal difference, already relegated in all but name.

Key Factors: Santos have a strong home record at Vila Belmiro and face a Chapecoense side that has struggled all season. The visitors are also missing several key players through suspension, including top scorer Doma. Santos' Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals, 2 assists) is a constant threat.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Santos should dominate possession and create numerous chances against a porous Chapecoense defence.

Statistical ContextSantos

Double chance : Santos or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SantosChapecoense-sc
65%Strength35%
62%Attacking Potential38%
53%Defensive Potential47%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
53%Goals H2H47%
65%Wins the Game35%

More information

Brazil Série A predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3410/10Head-to-headSantos – Chapecoense-scInjuriesSantosInjuriesChapecoense-scLive scores

Statistical Context

Santos

DDWLD
  • DOct 28, 26H · Palmeiras0-0
  • DOct 25, 26H · Bahia1-1
  • WOct 18, 26A · Fluminense1-2
  • LOct 11, 26A · Atletico-MG2-1
  • DOct 8, 26H · Flamengo2-2

Chapecoense-sc

LWLLL
  • LOct 28, 26A · RB Bragantino3-0
  • WOct 24, 26H · Fluminense2-1
  • LOct 17, 26A · Botafogo1-0
  • LOct 12, 26H · Atletico Paranaense1-4
  • LOct 7, 26A · Vitoria4-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Atletico-MG33+550LLWWD
8Santos33+247DDWLD
9RB Bragantino33+444WLDWD
19Remo33-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-sc32-3421LWLLL

Head to Head

5
Santos
1
Draws
4
Chapecoense-sc
  • Jan 28, 26Chapecoense-sc – Santos4-2
  • Oct 16, 24Chapecoense-sc – Santos3-2
  • Jul 2, 24Santos – Chapecoense-sc1-0
  • Nov 17, 21Santos – Chapecoense-sc2-0
  • Aug 1, 21Chapecoense-sc – Santos0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SantosChapecoense-sc
Played3231
Goals Scored4932
Goals Conceded4763
Avg Scored1.51.0
Avg Conceded1.52.0
Clean Sheets62

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc — Match Analysis

Santos are favored at 63% to win at home against Chapecoense-sc. The draw is rated 22% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Santos are clear favourites to win this match, given their superior league position, home advantage, and the dire form of Chapecoense-sc.

Form Analysis: Santos have won two of their last five (LWLLW), while Chapecoense-sc are winless in five (LLLLD) and have lost four straight. The visitors are rooted to the bottom of the table with just 9 points and a -18 goal difference, already relegated in all but name.

Key Factors: Santos have a strong home record at Vila Belmiro and face a Chapecoense side that has struggled all season. The visitors are also missing several key players through suspension, including top scorer Doma. Santos' Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals, 2 assists) is a constant threat.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Santos should dominate possession and create numerous chances against a porous Chapecoense defence.

Win Probabilities: Santos: 62% · Draw: 26% · Chapecoense-sc: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Santos wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Chapecoense-sc wins: 4

Form (latest first): Santos: DDWLD · Chapecoense-sc: LWLLL

  • Gabriel Barbosa vs Chapecoense defence: The Santos striker's movement and finishing will test a fragile backline missing several starters.
  • Santos midfield vs Chapecoense midfield: Santos should dominate possession and control the tempo, limiting Chapecoense's chances.
  • Set pieces: Santos have height advantage and could score from dead-ball situations against a disorganised defence.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Oct 3023:00
Mirassol
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Oct 3119:00
Vitoria
12.2744%
X3.1332%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Nov 223:00
Santos
12.7836%
X3.2331%
23.0333%
Série ABrazil
Chapecoense-sc
Nov 322:30
Mirassol
14.0025%
X3.1332%
22.3343%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Nov 400:30
Coritiba
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Nov 422:30
Gremio
11.2878%
X6.2516%
216.676%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Nov 422:30
Vasco DA Gama
12.6338%
X3.2331%
23.2331%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Nov 500:30
Atletico-MG
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Nov 500:30
Corinthians
12.1347%
X3.1332%
24.7621%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Nov 522:30
Remo
11.2779%
X6.6715%
216.676%
Série ABrazil
Cruzeiro
Nov 600:30
Bahia
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Nov 623:00
Fluminense
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Nov 1821:00
Fluminense
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Nov 1821:00
Atletico Paranaense
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Nov 1821:00
Bahia
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%

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