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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez

Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez

Result • Liga MX·Guadalajara Chivas·FC Juarez

Liga MX
Liga MX
Jul 25, 2026
23:07
high Confidence
WINNER
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.41
X4.50
27.30
Stadium
Estadio Akron
high Confidence
FC Juarez

FC Juarez

Away
Odds
11.41
X4.50
27.30
Stadium
Estadio Akron
Win Probabilities
59%
Guadalajara Chivas
27%
Draw
14%
FC Juarez
Home1.4159%
Draw4.5027%
Away7.3014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Guadalajara Chivas are strong favourites with a 59% win probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (5 wins in last 10 meetings). The main risk is their occasional scoring struggles, having failed to score in two of their last five matches.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga MX fixture between Guadalajara Chivas and FC Juarez using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Guadalajara Chivas a 59% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and FC Juarez a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 48%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 48%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Chivas defence vs Juarez attack: Chivas' solid backline will test Juarez's scoring form.
2Midfield control: Chivas' midfield trio will look to dominate possession and dictate tempo.
3Set-piece duels: Chivas may target Juarez's defensive weaknesses from dead-ball situations.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Guadalajara Chivas

  • Strong defensive record (100% defensive rating)
  • Excellent head-to-head record against Juarez
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Coming off a loss

FC Juarez

  • Decent recent form (3 wins in last 5)
  • Averaging 1.6 goals scored per game
  • Poor head-to-head record against Chivas
  • Weak defensive rating (0%)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
59%
API-Football
50%
55%
Guadalajara Chivas54397

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Guadalajara Chivas are clear favourites to win this Liga MX clash against FC Juarez, backed by strong historical dominance and a solid defensive record.

Form Analysis: Chivas have won four of their last five matches, though they come off a loss. They have kept two clean sheets in that span. FC Juarez have also been decent with three wins in five, but their defensive numbers are weaker, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Chivas, who have won five of the last ten meetings and lost only once. Additionally, Chivas boast a 71% overall strength advantage per the statistical comparison, and their defence is rated at 100% versus Juarez's 0%. The home side also failed to score in two of their last five, which tempers expectations of a high-scoring affair.

Conclusion: With odds and model both pointing to a home win, and a strong H2H record, Chivas are expected to secure three points, though the match may be low-scoring given both teams' recent goal output.

Statistical ContextGuadalajara Chivas

Combo Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw and -2.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
71%Strength29%
50%Attacking Potential50%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
71%Goals H2H29%
71%Wins the Game29%

Statistical Context

Guadalajara Chivas

WWDLW
  • WAug 22, 26H · Club Tijuana5-2
  • WAug 17, 26A · Santos Laguna0-1
  • DAug 1, 26A · Puebla1-1
  • LJul 19, 26H · Toluca0-2
  • WMay 10, 26H · Tigres UANL2-0

FC Juarez

LLLLL
  • LAug 22, 26H · Club America1-2
  • LAug 16, 26A · Monterrey6-1
  • LAug 1, 26H · U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-5
  • LJul 18, 26H · Puebla0-1
  • LApr 11, 26H · Club Tijuana1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Toluca5+410WDWLW
4Guadalajara Chivas5+310WWDWL
5Puebla5+210WWDLW
17Santos Laguna5-70LLLLL
18FC Juarez5-120LLLLL

Head to Head

5
Guadalajara Chivas
4
Draws
1
FC Juarez
  • Jan 14, 26FC Juarez – Guadalajara Chivas0-1
  • Aug 16, 25Guadalajara Chivas – FC Juarez1-2
  • Mar 16, 25FC Juarez – Guadalajara Chivas1-1
  • Aug 31, 24Guadalajara Chivas – FC Juarez5-0
  • Feb 10, 24Guadalajara Chivas – FC Juarez2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
Played55
Goals Scored83
Goals Conceded515
Avg Scored1.60.6
Avg Conceded1.03.0
Clean Sheets20

Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez — Match Analysis

Guadalajara Chivas are strong favourites with a 59% win probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (5 wins in last 10 meetings). The main risk is their occasional scoring struggles, having failed to score in two of their last five matches.

Guadalajara Chivas are clear favourites to win this Liga MX clash against FC Juarez, backed by strong historical dominance and a solid defensive record.

Form Analysis: Chivas have won four of their last five matches, though they come off a loss. They have kept two clean sheets in that span. FC Juarez have also been decent with three wins in five, but their defensive numbers are weaker, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Chivas, who have won five of the last ten meetings and lost only once. Additionally, Chivas boast a 71% overall strength advantage per the statistical comparison, and their defence is rated at 100% versus Juarez's 0%. The home side also failed to score in two of their last five, which tempers expectations of a high-scoring affair.

Conclusion: With odds and model both pointing to a home win, and a strong H2H record, Chivas are expected to secure three points, though the match may be low-scoring given both teams' recent goal output.

Win Probabilities: Guadalajara Chivas: 59% · Draw: 27% · FC Juarez: 14%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 48%

H2H: Guadalajara Chivas wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · FC Juarez wins: 1

Form (latest first): Guadalajara Chivas: WWDLW · FC Juarez: LLLLL

  • Chivas defence vs Juarez attack: Chivas' solid backline will test Juarez's scoring form.
  • Midfield control: Chivas' midfield trio will look to dominate possession and dictate tempo.
  • Set-piece duels: Chivas may target Juarez's defensive weaknesses from dead-ball situations.

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Aug 2901:00
Cruz Azul
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Aug 2901:00
Leon
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Aug 2903:10
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.2744%
X3.2331%
24.0025%
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Aug 2923:00
Club Queretaro
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Aug 2923:00
Guadalajara Chivas
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Aug 3001:05
Puebla
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Aug 3003:10
Tigres UANL
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Aug 3100:00
FC Juarez
11.3972%
X5.0020%
212.508%
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Aug 3102:10
Atletico San Luis
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 501:00
Toluca
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 503:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 523:00
Monterrey
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 523:00
Guadalajara Chivas
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 601:00
Necaxa
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 601:00
Club Tijuana
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%