Based on the data, Asteras Tripolis is slightly favored to win or draw, with a narrow edge over Larisa. The market probabilities are nearly even, but the API-Football model strongly supports Asteras Tripolis or a draw, and the team comparison data shows Asteras Tripolis with superior form, attack, defense, and H2H strength.
Form Analysis: Larisa is on a 2-loss streak with form at 29%, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in their last 5 matches. Asteras Tripolis has form at 71%, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with a recent draw streak. Both teams failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games.
Key Factors: 1) API-Football model predicts Asteras Tripolis as winner with 45% away win and 45% draw probability. 2) Team comparison shows Asteras Tripolis with 63.5% overall strength vs. Larisa's 36.7%. 3) H2H history is balanced but slightly favors Asteras Tripolis in recent strength (85% vs. 15%).
Conclusion: The data indicates Asteras Tripolis has a slight advantage, but the close market odds and Larisa's home advantage suggest a competitive match, with a draw or away win as the most likely outcomes.
