Based on the data, Atromitos is predicted to win with a slight edge, as indicated by both the market probabilities (34% away win) and the API-Football model (45% away win, predicted winner: Atromitos). The odds show no clear favorite, with all outcomes within 1% of each other, but the model reinforces Atromitos as the more likely winner.
Form Analysis: Both teams are in poor form, with Asteras Tripolis recording DWLDL and Atromitos DDLDD in their last five matches. Asteras Tripolis has averaged 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game, while Atromitos has averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both have struggled to score recently, with Asteras Tripolis failing to score in 2 of 5 games and Atromitos in 3 of 5.
Key Factors: 1. Atromitos has a better overall standing (9th place, 29 points, -4 GD) compared to Asteras Tripolis (14th place, 17 points, -19 GD), indicating stronger season performance. 2. The API-Football comparison shows Atromitos with advantages in defense (56% vs 44%) and H2H strength (62% vs 38%), supporting their edge. 3. No significant injuries are reported, so adjustments are minimal.
Conclusion: The data points to Atromitos as the slight favorite, with a low-scoring match likely given both teams' recent scoring struggles and the model's under 3.5 goals prediction.
