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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Cesena vs Padova

Cesena vs Padova

Result • Serie B·Cesena·Padova

Serie B
Serie B
May 8, 2026
18:30
medium Confidence
Cesena

Cesena

Home
Final Score
3-4
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-4
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.50
X4.75
25.00
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
medium Confidence
WINNER
Padova

Padova

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.75
25.00
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Win Probabilities
47%
Cesena
27%
Draw
26%
Padova
Home1.5047%
Draw4.7527%
Away5.0026%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Cesena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Padova, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Cesena and Padova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cesena a 47% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Padova a 26% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    Goal: L. Di MaggioPadova
    Goal: L. Di Maggio
  2. Goal: C. ShpendiAssist: A. Cerri
    5'
    Goal: C. ShpendiCesena · Assist: A. Cerri
  3. Goal: A. CerriAssist: C. Shpendi
    7'
    Goal: A. CerriCesena · Assist: C. Shpendi
  4. 13'
    Goal: L. Di MaggioPadova · Assist: P. Ghiglione
    Goal: L. Di MaggioAssist: P. Ghiglione
  5. 17'
    Goal: G. CaprariPadova · Assist: P. Fusi
    Goal: G. CaprariAssist: P. Fusi
  6. Goal: C. ShpendiAssist: M. Olivieri
    45+2'
    Goal: C. ShpendiCesena · Assist: M. Olivieri
  7. 46'
    Substitution: G. FavalePadova · Out: P. Fusi
    Substitution: G. FavaleOut: P. Fusi
  8. 50'
    Yellow Card: M. PerrottaPadova
    Yellow Card: M. Perrotta
  9. Yellow Card: M. Mangraviti
    51'
    Yellow Card: M. MangravitiCesena
  10. Substitution: G. VrioniOut: A. Cerri
    62'
    Substitution: G. VrioniCesena · Out: A. Cerri
  11. 62'
    Substitution: C. BuonaiutoPadova · Out: L. Di Maggio
    Substitution: C. BuonaiutoOut: L. Di Maggio
  12. 63'
    Substitution: A. CapelliPadova · Out: P. Ghiglione
    Substitution: A. CapelliOut: P. Ghiglione
  13. Substitution: M. CastagnettiOut: S. Bastoni
    66'
    Substitution: M. CastagnettiCesena · Out: S. Bastoni
  14. 70'
    Yellow Card: G. GiuntiPadova
    Yellow Card: G. Giunti
  15. 74'
    Substitution: A. BoiPadova · Out: M. Perrotta
    Substitution: A. BoiOut: M. Perrotta
  16. Substitution: R. CiervoOut: T. Corazza
    79'
    Substitution: R. CiervoCesena · Out: T. Corazza
  17. 81'
    Substitution: K. VarasPadova · Out: G. Caprari
    Substitution: K. VarasOut: G. Caprari
  18. 84'
    Goal: A. SeghettiPadova
    Goal: A. Seghetti
  19. 87'
    Yellow Card: C. PastinaPadova
    Yellow Card: C. Pastina
  20. Yellow Card: M. Olivieri
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: M. OlivieriCesena
  21. 90+5'
    Yellow Card: J. SilvaPadova
    Yellow Card: J. Silva
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Shpendi vs Padova defense: Cesena's top scorer vs a defense that kept 3 clean sheets in last 5.
2M. Bortolussi vs Cesena defense: Padova's main threat vs a Cesena defense that conceded 1 goal per game recently.
3R. Ciervo vs Padova midfield: Cesena's creative midfielder vs Padova's 3-man midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cesena

  • Home advantage
  • Key player C. Shpendi (10 goals)
  • Poor recent form (DDLLD)
  • Low scoring (0.2 goals per game last 5)

Padova

  • Better recent form (WLWWL)
  • Strong defense (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Lower league position (13th)
  • Away form not specified

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
45%
36%
Padova293636

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (36%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a Cesena win, as bookmaker odds imply a 60% home win probability, and despite the API model favoring Padova, the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: Cesena's recent form is poor (DDLLD) with only 0.2 goals scored per game, while Padova has a better form (WLWWL) with 0.6 goals scored and 3 clean sheets. However, Cesena's home advantage and the odds suggest they can turn it around.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds heavily favor Cesena (60% home win). 2) Padova's away form is not specified, but their overall form is better. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (1 Cesena win, 3 draws, 2 Padova wins). 4) No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Cesena's poor form, the odds are the most reliable predictor. Cesena is expected to win a low-scoring match, likely 1-0 or 2-1.

Statistical ContextPadova

Combo Double chance : draw or Padova and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CesenaPadova
40%Strength59%
25%Attacking Potential75%
38%Defensive Potential63%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
40%Wins the Game59%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CesenaInjuries · PadovaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Cesena

LDLDD
  • LOct 24, 26A · Modena3-0
  • DOct 18, 26H · Avellino1-1
  • LOct 10, 26A · Benevento2-0
  • DSep 18, 26A · Juve Stabia1-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Cremonese2-2

Padova

WLLLW
  • WOct 24, 26A · Avellino0-1
  • LOct 17, 26H · Virtus Entella1-2
  • LOct 11, 26H · Carrarese0-2
  • LSep 19, 26A · Palermo2-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Ascoli1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Avellino8+311LDWLD
9Padova8-310WLLLW
10Arezzo8-910LWDLW
11Hellas Verona8+29DDLWL
12Virtus Entella8+19LWDDW
13Vicenza Virtus8-49WDLLD
14Juve Stabia8+18WWDDD
15Cesena8-48LDLDD
16Empoli8-67LDLLL

Head to Head

1
Cesena
3
Draws
2
Padova
  • Dec 8, 25Padova – Cesena1-1
  • Aug 4, 24Cesena – Padova3-1
  • Feb 28, 21Padova – Cesena0-0
  • Nov 2, 20Cesena – Padova0-2
  • Feb 9, 20Cesena – Padova1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

CesenaPadova
Played88
Goals Scored87
Goals Conceded1210
Avg Scored1.00.9
Avg Conceded1.51.3
Clean Sheets03

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CesenaPadova
Over 2.5 Goals5/103/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets3/103/10

Cesena vs Padova — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Cesena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Padova, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

The predicted outcome is a Cesena win, as bookmaker odds imply a 60% home win probability, and despite the API model favoring Padova, the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: Cesena's recent form is poor (DDLLD) with only 0.2 goals scored per game, while Padova has a better form (WLWWL) with 0.6 goals scored and 3 clean sheets. However, Cesena's home advantage and the odds suggest they can turn it around.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds heavily favor Cesena (60% home win). 2) Padova's away form is not specified, but their overall form is better. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (1 Cesena win, 3 draws, 2 Padova wins). 4) No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Cesena's poor form, the odds are the most reliable predictor. Cesena is expected to win a low-scoring match, likely 1-0 or 2-1.

Win Probabilities: Cesena: 47% · Draw: 27% · Padova: 26%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Cesena wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Padova wins: 2

Form (latest first): Cesena: LDLDD · Padova: WLLLW

  • C. Shpendi vs Padova defense: Cesena's top scorer vs a defense that kept 3 clean sheets in last 5.
  • M. Bortolussi vs Cesena defense: Padova's main threat vs a Cesena defense that conceded 1 goal per game recently.
  • R. Ciervo vs Padova midfield: Cesena's creative midfielder vs Padova's 3-man midfield.

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Oct 2718:00
Catanzaro
11.8255%
X3.7027%
25.5618%
Serie BItaly
Ascoli
Oct 2719:00
Sampdoria
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
Serie BItaly
Cesena
Oct 2719:00
Empoli
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Serie BItaly
Virtus Entella
Oct 2719:00
Avellino
12.3842%
X3.2331%
23.7027%
Serie BItaly
Padova
Oct 2719:00
Sudtirol
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Vicenza Virtus
Oct 2719:00
Modena
13.8526%
X3.1332%
22.3842%
Serie BItaly
Mantova
Oct 2719:00
Cremonese
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Serie BItaly
Pisa
Oct 2818:00
Palermo
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Juve Stabia
Oct 2819:00
Hellas Verona
14.3523%
X3.1332%
22.2245%
Serie BItaly
Carrarese
Oct 2819:00
Arezzo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Serie BItaly
Cremonese
Oct 3114:00
Benevento
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
Serie BItaly
Modena
Oct 3114:00
Mantova
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
Serie BItaly
Sudtirol
Oct 3114:00
Cesena
12.2744%
X3.0333%
24.3523%
Serie BItaly
Catanzaro
Oct 3116:15
Padova
12.7037%
X3.2331%
23.1332%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Oct 3118:30
Virtus Entella
12.9434%
X3.0333%
23.0333%

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