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Matches
PlayNEW
News
Accuracy Stats
Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Cesena vs Padova

Cesena vs Padova

Result • Serie B·Cesena·Padova

Serie B
Serie B
May 8, 2026
18:30
medium Confidence
Cesena

Cesena

Home
Final Score
3-4
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-4
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.50
X4.75
25.00
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
medium Confidence
WINNER
Padova

Padova

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.75
25.00
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Win Probabilities
47%
Cesena
27%
Draw
26%
Padova
Home1.5047%
Draw4.7527%
Away5.0026%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Cesena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Padova, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Cesena and Padova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cesena a 47% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Padova a 26% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Shpendi vs Padova defense: Cesena's top scorer vs a defense that kept 3 clean sheets in last 5.
2M. Bortolussi vs Cesena defense: Padova's main threat vs a Cesena defense that conceded 1 goal per game recently.
3R. Ciervo vs Padova midfield: Cesena's creative midfielder vs Padova's 3-man midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cesena

  • Home advantage
  • Key player C. Shpendi (10 goals)
  • Poor recent form (DDLLD)
  • Low scoring (0.2 goals per game last 5)

Padova

  • Better recent form (WLWWL)
  • Strong defense (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Lower league position (13th)
  • Away form not specified

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
45%
36%
Padova293636

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (36%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a Cesena win, as bookmaker odds imply a 60% home win probability, and despite the API model favoring Padova, the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: Cesena's recent form is poor (DDLLD) with only 0.2 goals scored per game, while Padova has a better form (WLWWL) with 0.6 goals scored and 3 clean sheets. However, Cesena's home advantage and the odds suggest they can turn it around.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds heavily favor Cesena (60% home win). 2) Padova's away form is not specified, but their overall form is better. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (1 Cesena win, 3 draws, 2 Padova wins). 4) No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Cesena's poor form, the odds are the most reliable predictor. Cesena is expected to win a low-scoring match, likely 1-0 or 2-1.

Statistical ContextPadova

Combo Double chance : draw or Padova and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CesenaPadova
40%Strength59%
25%Attacking Potential75%
38%Defensive Potential63%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
40%Wins the Game59%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · CesenaInjuries · Padova</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Cesena

DWDLD
  • DSep 6, 26H · Mantova1-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Virtus Entella1-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Sampdoria1-1
  • LAug 17, 26A · Sassuolo3-0
  • DMay 1, 26A · Carrarese0-0

Padova

LDWLW
  • LSep 6, 26A · Cremonese3-1
  • DAug 29, 26H · Hellas Verona1-1
  • WAug 23, 26A · Pisa0-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Udinese1-0
  • WMay 1, 26H · Pescara1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Modena3+36LWW
9Cesena3+15DWD
10Hellas Verona3+44WDL
11Padova3-14LDW
12Vicenza Virtus3-24DLW

Head to Head

1
Cesena
3
Draws
2
Padova
  • Dec 8, 25Padova – Cesena1-1
  • Aug 4, 24Cesena – Padova3-1
  • Feb 28, 21Padova – Cesena0-0
  • Nov 2, 20Cesena – Padova0-2
  • Feb 9, 20Cesena – Padova1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

CesenaPadova
Played33
Goals Scored43
Goals Conceded34
Avg Scored1.31.0
Avg Conceded1.01.3
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CesenaPadova
Over 2.5 Goals5/103/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets3/103/10

Cesena vs Padova — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Cesena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Padova, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

The predicted outcome is a Cesena win, as bookmaker odds imply a 60% home win probability, and despite the API model favoring Padova, the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: Cesena's recent form is poor (DDLLD) with only 0.2 goals scored per game, while Padova has a better form (WLWWL) with 0.6 goals scored and 3 clean sheets. However, Cesena's home advantage and the odds suggest they can turn it around.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds heavily favor Cesena (60% home win). 2) Padova's away form is not specified, but their overall form is better. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (1 Cesena win, 3 draws, 2 Padova wins). 4) No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Cesena's poor form, the odds are the most reliable predictor. Cesena is expected to win a low-scoring match, likely 1-0 or 2-1.

Win Probabilities: Cesena: 47% · Draw: 27% · Padova: 26%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Cesena wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Padova wins: 2

Form (latest first): Cesena: DWDLD · Padova: LDWLW

  • C. Shpendi vs Padova defense: Cesena's top scorer vs a defense that kept 3 clean sheets in last 5.
  • M. Bortolussi vs Cesena defense: Padova's main threat vs a Cesena defense that conceded 1 goal per game recently.
  • R. Ciervo vs Padova midfield: Cesena's creative midfielder vs Padova's 3-man midfield.

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Empoli
Sep 1117:00
Arezzo
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Sep 1119:00
Hellas Verona
14.0025%
X2.9434%
22.4441%
Serie BItaly
Pisa
Sep 1119:00
Virtus Entella
11.7258%
X3.4529%
27.6913%
Serie BItaly
Padova
Sep 1213:00
Ascoli
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Serie BItaly
Sudtirol
Sep 1213:00
Modena
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
Serie BItaly
Vicenza Virtus
Sep 1213:00
Juve Stabia
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Serie BItaly
Catanzaro
Sep 1215:15
Carrarese
12.1746%
X3.5728%
23.8526%
Serie BItaly
Cesena
Sep 1217:30
Cremonese
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Sep 1315:15
Palermo
13.8526%
X3.1332%
22.3842%
Serie BItaly
Mantova
Sep 1315:15
Sampdoria
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Serie BItaly
Juve Stabia
Sep 1818:30
Cesena
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Serie BItaly
Cremonese
Sep 1913:00
Virtus Entella
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Serie BItaly
Palermo
Sep 1913:00
Padova
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.8817%
25.5618%
Serie BItaly
Carrarese
Sep 1913:00
Benevento
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Sep 1915:15
Catanzaro
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%

Betting Tips

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