Based on the data, Real Madrid is predicted to win, but with moderate confidence due to conflicting signals between market odds and the API-Football model.
Form Analysis: Real Madrid has a 2-loss streak but a stronger overall form (64% vs 36% in API comparison) and better attack (53% vs 47%) and defense (61% vs 39%). Alaves is on a 3-game unbeaten streak but has poorer form and a -11 GD. Real Madrid's recent losses are a concern, but their statistical superiority and home advantage support a win.
Key Factors: 1. Extreme H2H dominance: Real Madrid has won 9 of the last 10 meetings, with a 100% H2H strength in API comparison. 2. Standings gap: Real Madrid is 2nd with 69 points and +36 GD, while Alaves is 15th with 32 points and -11 GD. 3. No significant injuries reported for either team, eliminating a key deviation factor.
Conclusion: The data favors Real Madrid due to historical dominance, statistical edge, and home advantage, despite recent form concerns. The market odds show a close contest, but the API model strongly supports Real Madrid, leading to a moderate confidence prediction.
