Based on the data, Derby is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win. The market probabilities are nearly even, but Derby's superior form, defensive strength, and higher overall rating from API-Football support this outcome.
Form Analysis: Derby has a form rating of 82% compared to Sheffield Utd's 18%, with Derby winning 3 of their last 5 matches (WLWWL) and keeping 3 clean sheets, while Sheffield Utd has lost 4 of their last 5 (LDLDL) with no clean sheets. Derby averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, whereas Sheffield Utd averages 1.2 scored but 1.8 conceded.
Key Factors: 1. Derby's strong defensive form with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games. 2. Sheffield Utd's poor recent form, losing 4 of their last 5 matches. 3. Derby's higher overall rating (58.0% vs 42.0%) and home advantage (rating 0.55).
Conclusion: The data indicates Derby is more likely to avoid defeat, with a win being the most probable outcome given their form and defensive solidity, though a draw is also plausible due to the close market odds.
