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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Super League 1
  3. Larisa vs Atromitos

Larisa vs Atromitos

Result • Super League 1·Larisa·Atromitos

Super League 1
Super League 1
May 16, 2026
16:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Larisa

Larisa

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.50
X3.25
22.80
Stadium
AEL FC Arena
medium Confidence
Atromitos

Atromitos

Away
Odds
12.50
X3.25
22.80
Stadium
AEL FC Arena
Win Probabilities
31%
Larisa
33%
Draw
36%
Atromitos
Home2.5031%
Draw3.2533%
Away2.8036%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Atromitos's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League 1 fixture between Larisa and Atromitos using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Larisa a 31% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Atromitos a 36% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Y. Macon
    13'
    Goal: Y. MaconLarisa
  2. Goal: L. TuptaAssist: A. Sagal
    34'
    Goal: L. TuptaLarisa · Assist: A. Sagal
  3. 38'
    Yellow Card: D. TsakmakisAtromitos
    Yellow Card: D. Tsakmakis
  4. Yellow Card: L. Rosic
    48'
    Yellow Card: L. RosicLarisa
  5. 68'
    Substitution: M. BakuAtromitos · Out: S. Tsiloulis
    Substitution: M. BakuOut: S. Tsiloulis
  6. 68'
    Substitution: S. PnevmonidisAtromitos · Out: P. Tsantilas
    Substitution: S. PnevmonidisOut: P. Tsantilas
  7. 71'
    Yellow Card: G. MitoglouAtromitos
    Yellow Card: G. Mitoglou
  8. 78'
    Substitution: T. van WeertAtromitos · Out: G. Tzovaras
    Substitution: T. van WeertOut: G. Tzovaras
  9. Substitution: Z. ChatzistravosOut: A. Sagal
    83'
    Substitution: Z. ChatzistravosLarisa · Out: A. Sagal
  10. 86'
    Yellow Card: S. MoutoussamyAtromitos
    Yellow Card: S. Moutoussamy
  11. 87'
    Substitution: S. AmpartzidisAtromitos · Out: S. Moutoussamy
    Substitution: S. AmpartzidisOut: S. Moutoussamy
  12. 87'
    Substitution: QuiniAtromitos · Out: E. Ukaki
    Substitution: QuiniOut: E. Ukaki
  13. Substitution: L. GarateOut: G. Pasas
    89'
    Substitution: L. GarateLarisa · Out: G. Pasas
  14. 90'
    Goal: M. BakuAtromitos · Assist: A. Karamanis
    Goal: M. BakuAssist: A. Karamanis
  15. Substitution: T. IliadisOut: L. Rosic
    90+3'
    Substitution: T. IliadisLarisa · Out: L. Rosic
  16. 90+10'
    Yellow Card: S. AmpartzidisAtromitos
    Yellow Card: S. Ampartzidis
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Á. Sagal vs Atromitos defense: Larisa's top scorer must find space against a defense that has kept 2 clean sheets recently.
2P. Michorl vs J. Atanasov: Michorl's creativity in midfield will test Atanasov's defensive discipline.
3M. Baku vs Larisa backline: Baku's 7 goals pose a constant threat; Larisa must contain his runs.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Larisa

  • Defensive organization at home
  • Set-piece threat from Sagal
  • Lack of goalscoring form
  • Poor recent results

Atromitos

  • Strong attacking form
  • Momentum from recent wins
  • Defensive lapses (conceded 1.4 avg)
  • Inconsistent away form

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
41%
Atromitos213941

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is an away win for Atromitos, supported by superior form, attacking strength, and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Atromitos enters with 2 wins in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.4 goals scored per match, while Larisa is winless in 5 (DDDLD) with only 0.8 goals per game. Atromitos also has 2 clean sheets in that span.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors Atromitos (4 wins, 1 draw in last 5). The API-Football model gives Atromitos a 45% win probability and predicts them as winner. Larisa's defensive struggles (conceded 1.0 avg) against Atromitos' attack (2.4 avg) create a clear mismatch.

Conclusion: Despite home advantage, Larisa's poor form and Atromitos' momentum make an away win the most likely outcome, though the odds suggest a competitive match.

Statistical ContextAtromitos

Winner : Atromitos

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LarisaAtromitos
30%Strength69%
25%Attacking Potential75%
58%Defensive Potential42%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
25%Goals H2H75%
30%Wins the Game69%
Head-to-head →Injuries · LarisaInjuries · Atromitos

Statistical Context

Larisa

WDLDD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Zakynthos1-0
  • DSep 6, 26H · Anagennisi Karditsas1-1
  • LMay 21, 26A · Kifisia3-2
  • DMay 12, 26A · Panetolikos1-1
  • DMay 9, 26H · Asteras Tripolis1-1

Atromitos

DDLLW
  • DSep 12, 26A · Iraklis 19081-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Kalamata1-1
  • LAug 30, 26H · PAOK1-2
  • LAug 22, 26A · Olympiakos Piraeus1-0
  • WMay 21, 26H · Panserraikos6-0

Head to Head

1
Larisa
5
Draws
4
Atromitos
  • Apr 18, 26Atromitos – Larisa3-2
  • Dec 21, 25Larisa – Atromitos0-0
  • Dec 3, 25Larisa – Atromitos0-1
  • Sep 29, 25Atromitos – Larisa1-1
  • Jan 16, 24Atromitos – Larisa4-0

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

LarisaAtromitos
Played353
Goals Scored322
Goals Conceded534
Avg Scored0.90.7
Avg Conceded1.51.3
Clean Sheets60

Larisa vs Atromitos — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Atromitos's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

The predicted outcome is an away win for Atromitos, supported by superior form, attacking strength, and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Atromitos enters with 2 wins in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.4 goals scored per match, while Larisa is winless in 5 (DDDLD) with only 0.8 goals per game. Atromitos also has 2 clean sheets in that span.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors Atromitos (4 wins, 1 draw in last 5). The API-Football model gives Atromitos a 45% win probability and predicts them as winner. Larisa's defensive struggles (conceded 1.0 avg) against Atromitos' attack (2.4 avg) create a clear mismatch.

Conclusion: Despite home advantage, Larisa's poor form and Atromitos' momentum make an away win the most likely outcome, though the odds suggest a competitive match.

Win Probabilities: Larisa: 31% · Draw: 33% · Atromitos: 36%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Larisa wins: 1 · Draws: 5 · Atromitos wins: 4

Form (latest first): Larisa: WDLDD · Atromitos: DDLLW

  • Á. Sagal vs Atromitos defense: Larisa's top scorer must find space against a defense that has kept 2 clean sheets recently.
  • P. Michorl vs J. Atanasov: Michorl's creativity in midfield will test Atanasov's defensive discipline.
  • M. Baku vs Larisa backline: Baku's 7 goals pose a constant threat; Larisa must contain his runs.

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Super League 1

Super League 1

Greece13 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super League 1Greece
Atromitos
Sep 1916:00
Kifisia
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Sep 1916:30
Iraklis 1908
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
Super League 1Greece
Levadiakos
Sep 2014:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
110.0010%
X4.1724%
21.5266%
Super League 1Greece
Volos NFC
Sep 2015:00
AEK Athens FC
111.119%
X4.7621%
21.4370%
Super League 1Greece
Kalamata
Sep 2016:30
Panathinaikos
15.2619%
X4.1724%
21.7557%
Super League 1Greece
Panetolikos
Sep 2018:00
PAOK
17.6913%
X3.8526%
21.6461%
Super League 1Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
Oct 1015:00
Panathinaikos
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Super League 1Greece
AEK Athens FC
Oct 1015:00
OFI
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Super League 1Greece
PAOK
Oct 1015:00
Kalamata
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Super League 1Greece
Asteras Tripolis
Oct 1015:00
Atromitos
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 1015:00
Volos NFC
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
Super League 1Greece
Kifisia
Oct 1015:00
Panetolikos
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Super League 1Greece
Iraklis 1908
Oct 1015:00
Levadiakos
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%

Betting Tips

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