Based on the data, Motor Lublin is predicted to have a slight edge, with a draw also highly likely. The market probabilities show a near-even split (33% home, 33% draw, 34% away), while the API-Football model strongly favors Motor Lublin or a draw (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Given Motor Lublin's superior form and statistical advantages, the prediction leans towards an away win or draw, aligning with both data sources.
Form Analysis: Widzew Łódź has a 4-game unbeaten streak (DDDWL) but a low average of 0.6 goals scored and conceded per game, failing to score in 3 of their last 5. Motor Lublin is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DWWDW) with 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game, including 3 clean sheets in the last 5. This indicates Motor Lublin has better offensive and defensive form.
Key Factors: 1) Motor Lublin's strong recent form and defensive solidity (3 clean sheets in last 5) contrast with Widzew Łódź's scoring struggles. 2) Head-to-head history shows Motor Lublin winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, with no draws. 3) API-Football comparison data gives Motor Lublin advantages in form (65% vs 35%), attack (67% vs 33%), defense (60% vs 40%), and overall (62.7% vs 37.5%).
Conclusion: The data supports Motor Lublin as the more likely winner or a draw, with Widzew Łódź's home advantage (rating 0.55) and unbeaten streak providing some counterbalance. No significant injuries are reported, so adjustments are minimal, staying within 10% of market probabilities.
