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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice

Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice

Result • Ekstraklasa·Lechia Gdansk·Piast Gliwice

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Apr 20, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Lechia Gdansk

Lechia Gdansk

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.00
X3.60
23.10
Stadium
Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk
high Confidence
DRAW
Piast Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.60
23.10
Stadium
Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk
Win Probabilities
45%
Lechia Gdansk
31%
Draw
24%
Piast Gliwice
Home2.0045%
Draw3.6031%
Away3.1024%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lechia Gdansk's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Piast Gliwice, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Lechia Gdansk and Piast Gliwice using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lechia Gdansk a 45% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Piast Gliwice a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 24'
    Red Card: E. TwumasiPiast Gliwice
    Red Card: E. Twumasi
  2. 28'
    Substitution: F. BorowskiPiast Gliwice · Out: O. Lesniak
    Substitution: F. BorowskiOut: O. Lesniak
  3. 31'
    Yellow Card: I. DrapinskiPiast Gliwice
    Yellow Card: I. Drapinski
  4. Substitution: A. TsarenkoOut: K. Sezonienko
    46'
    Substitution: A. TsarenkoLechia Gdansk · Out: K. Sezonienko
  5. Substitution: B. KludkaOut: T. Wojtowicz
    46'
    Substitution: B. KludkaLechia Gdansk · Out: T. Wojtowicz
  6. 46'
    Substitution: J. CzerwinskiPiast Gliwice · Out: J. Lokilo
    Substitution: J. CzerwinskiOut: J. Lokilo
  7. Substitution: B. ViunnykOut: T. Neugebauer
    62'
    Substitution: B. ViunnykLechia Gdansk · Out: T. Neugebauer
  8. Goal: I. Zhelizko
    63'
    Goal: I. ZhelizkoLechia Gdansk
  9. 67'
    Substitution: H. VallejoPiast Gliwice · Out: G. Tomasiewicz
    Substitution: H. VallejoOut: G. Tomasiewicz
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card: P. DziczekPiast Gliwice
    Yellow Card: P. Dziczek
  11. 76'
    Substitution: S. MuchaPiast Gliwice · Out: L. Sanca
    Substitution: S. MuchaOut: L. Sanca
  12. 76'
    Substitution: A. KatsantonisPiast Gliwice · Out: J. Felix
    Substitution: A. KatsantonisOut: J. Felix
  13. Yellow Card: M. Rodin
    83'
    Yellow Card: M. RodinLechia Gdansk
  14. 85'
    Penalty: P. Dziczek (Penalty)Piast Gliwice
    Penalty: P. Dziczek (Penalty)
  15. 88'
    Yellow Card: J. CzerwinskiPiast Gliwice
    Yellow Card: J. Czerwinski
  16. Substitution: M. KalahurOut: M. Vojtko
    90+5'
    Substitution: M. KalahurLechia Gdansk · Out: M. Vojtko
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1T. Bobček (Lechia) vs Piast's defense: Bobček's goal-scoring ability will test Piast's weak defense, which has conceded frequently.
2Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, making the midfield battle crucial for dictating tempo and creating opportunities.
3Defensive organization: Lechia's stronger defense (63% rating) vs Piast's attack (47% rating) could determine the match outcome.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lechia Gdansk

  • Strong head-to-head record against Piast Gliwice
  • Better defensive rating per API comparison (63%)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Piast Gliwice

  • Slightly higher average goals scored per game (1.6)
  • Recent form includes wins in last 5 matches
  • Poor defensive rating per API comparison (38%)
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Lechia Gdansk453817

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Lechia Gdansk is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities and API-Football model insights.

Form Analysis: Lechia Gdansk has a form of 60% compared to Piast Gliwice's 40%, with recent records of LWWLW and LLWWL respectively. Both teams average 1.4-1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating balanced but leaky defenses. Lechia failed to score in 2 of last 5 games, while Piast has similar defensive issues with no clean sheets in last 5.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head history shows Lechia with 4 wins in last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) API-Football comparison favors Lechia in attack (53% vs 47%) and defense (63% vs 38%), supporting their strength. 3) No significant injuries reported for either team, minimizing disruption.

Conclusion: The data supports Lechia Gdansk as favorites, with a high likelihood of a draw or home win, consistent with market odds and statistical models.

Statistical ContextLechia Gdansk

Double chance : Lechia Gdansk or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Lechia GdanskPiast Gliwice
60%Strength40%
53%Attacking Potential47%
63%Defensive Potential38%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
56%Goals H2H44%
60%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Lechia GdanskInjuries · Piast GliwiceLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lechia Gdansk

LLLLL
  • LMay 23, 26A · Nieciecza3-2
  • LMay 17, 26H · Legia Warszawa1-2
  • LMay 9, 26A · Widzew Łódź3-1
  • LMay 4, 26A · Radomiak Radom3-1
  • LApr 25, 26H · Raków Częstochowa1-2

Piast Gliwice

WWWDL
  • WSep 14, 26A · Radomiak Radom0-2
  • WSep 4, 26H · GKS Katowice3-0
  • WAug 29, 26A · Motor Lublin0-2
  • DAug 22, 26H · Legia Warszawa1-1
  • LAug 15, 26H · Wieczysta Kraków3-4

Head to Head

4
Lechia Gdansk
2
Draws
4
Piast Gliwice
  • Oct 19, 25Piast Gliwice – Lechia Gdansk1-2
  • Apr 26, 25Lechia Gdansk – Piast Gliwice3-1
  • Oct 25, 24Piast Gliwice – Lechia Gdansk3-3
  • Jul 2, 23Piast Gliwice – Lechia Gdansk3-1
  • May 27, 23Piast Gliwice – Lechia Gdansk0-1

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

Lechia GdanskPiast Gliwice
Played337
Goals Scored6013
Goals Conceded6213
Avg Scored1.81.9
Avg Conceded1.91.9
Clean Sheets32

Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lechia Gdansk's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Piast Gliwice, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Lechia Gdansk is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities and API-Football model insights.

Form Analysis: Lechia Gdansk has a form of 60% compared to Piast Gliwice's 40%, with recent records of LWWLW and LLWWL respectively. Both teams average 1.4-1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating balanced but leaky defenses. Lechia failed to score in 2 of last 5 games, while Piast has similar defensive issues with no clean sheets in last 5.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head history shows Lechia with 4 wins in last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) API-Football comparison favors Lechia in attack (53% vs 47%) and defense (63% vs 38%), supporting their strength. 3) No significant injuries reported for either team, minimizing disruption.

Conclusion: The data supports Lechia Gdansk as favorites, with a high likelihood of a draw or home win, consistent with market odds and statistical models.

Win Probabilities: Lechia Gdansk: 45% · Draw: 31% · Piast Gliwice: 24%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Lechia Gdansk wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Piast Gliwice wins: 4

Form (latest first): Lechia Gdansk: LLLLL · Piast Gliwice: WWWDL

  • T. Bobček (Lechia) vs Piast's defense: Bobček's goal-scoring ability will test Piast's weak defense, which has conceded frequently.
  • Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, making the midfield battle crucial for dictating tempo and creating opportunities.
  • Defensive organization: Lechia's stronger defense (63% rating) vs Piast's attack (47% rating) could determine the match outcome.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Sep 2010:15
Pogon Szczecin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Sep 2012:45
Wisla Plock
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Sep 2015:30
Legia Warszawa
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Sep 2018:15
Radomiak Radom
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Oct 1216:00
Motor Lublin
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1218:30
Wieczysta Kraków
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Gornik Zabrze
Oct 1716:00
Piast Gliwice
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%

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