Based on the data, Raków Częstochowa is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for an away win. The market probabilities are nearly equal, but the API-Football model strongly favors Raków Częstochowa or a draw, and H2H history shows Raków Częstochowa dominating with 7 wins in the last 10 meetings.
Form Analysis: Lechia Gdansk has better recent form (WWLWD, 2-win streak) compared to Raków Częstochowa (DDLWL, 2-draw streak), with higher average goals scored (2.2 vs 1.0) but also higher goals conceded (1.4 vs 1.8). However, API-Football form comparison favors Lechia Gdansk at 67% vs 33%.
Key Factors: 1) H2H dominance: Raków Częstochowa has won 70% of last 10 meetings, with API-Football showing 100% H2H strength. 2) API-Football model predicts Raków Częstochowa as winner with 45% probability for away win and 45% for draw. 3) No significant injuries reported for either team.
Conclusion: Despite Lechia Gdansk's better recent form and home advantage, Raków Częstochowa's strong H2H record and API-Football model support a slight away win or draw prediction, aligning with market probabilities that show no clear favorite.
