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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. FS Jelgava vs Auda

FS Jelgava vs Auda

Result • Virsliga·FS Jelgava·Auda

Virsliga
Virsliga
Aug 9, 2026
13:00
high Confidence
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.40
X3.40
21.91
Stadium
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
high Confidence
WINNER
Auda

Auda

Away
Odds
13.40
X3.40
21.91
Stadium
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Win Probabilities
26%
FS Jelgava
26%
Draw
48%
Auda
Home3.4026%
Draw3.4026%
Away1.9148%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Auda are clear favourites, backed by superior form, league position, and a perfect head-to-head record. The main risk is a potential upset if Jelgava's recent win sparks a revival.

Our AI model analyzes this Virsliga fixture between FS Jelgava and Auda using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FS Jelgava a 26% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Auda a 48% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

FS Jelgava

  • Recent win may boost morale
  • Playing at home with familiar surroundings
  • Poor recent form with 4 losses in last 5
  • Low league position and negative goal difference

Auda

  • Strong recent form with 4 wins in last 5
  • High league position and positive goal difference
  • Away matches can be challenging
  • Potential complacency due to being favourites

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Auda183647

Moderate agreement on away win (47%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Auda enters this match as the clear favourite. They sit 3rd in the league with 43 points and a positive goal difference, while FS Jelgava languish in 7th with 25 points and a negative goal difference. The away side's recent form (WDLDW) is far superior to the home side's (LLLLW), and they have dominated the head-to-head with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Form Analysis: Auda have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding only 3, showing both attacking potency and defensive solidity. In contrast, FS Jelgava have lost 4 of their last 5, with their only win coming in the most recent match. This momentum strongly favours the visitors.

Key Factors: The most decisive factors are the league standings (Auda 18 points ahead), the head-to-head record (Auda have won all 5 recent meetings), and the stark contrast in recent form. Additionally, Auda are pushing for a Conference League qualification spot, adding extra motivation.

Conclusion: All indicators point to an Auda victory. The data is consistent across form, standings, and head-to-head, making the away win the most probable outcome. However, football can be unpredictable, and FS Jelgava will be desperate to build on their recent win, so a competitive match is expected.

Statistical ContextAuda

Double chance : draw or Auda

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FS JelgavaAuda
34%Strength65%
43%Attacking Potential57%
27%Defensive Potential73%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
47%Goals H2H53%
34%Wins the Game65%

Statistical Context

FS Jelgava

WWLLL
  • WAug 29, 26A · Tukums1-4
  • WAug 22, 26A · Ogre United2-3
  • LAug 1, 26A · BFC Daugavpils2-1
  • LJul 26, 26H · FK Liepaja0-2
  • LJul 20, 26H · Rīgas FS0-1

Auda

DWWLW
  • DAug 29, 26H · Super Nova1-1
  • WAug 25, 26H · FK Liepaja1-0
  • WAug 21, 26H · Tukums3-0
  • LAug 13, 26A · Dinamo Tirana4-0
  • WAug 4, 26H · Dinamo Tirana1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Riga27+5465LDWWW
3Auda27+1753DWWWW
4FK Liepaja28-240WLWWL
5BFC Daugavpils28+137LDWWL
6FS Jelgava28-1531WWLLL
7Super Nova26-1129DDLWL

Head to Head

2
FS Jelgava
3
Draws
5
Auda
  • Jun 13, 26Auda – FS Jelgava1-1
  • Apr 21, 26FS Jelgava – Auda2-3
  • Sep 27, 25FS Jelgava – Auda1-1
  • Jul 5, 25Auda – FS Jelgava2-0
  • May 15, 25FS Jelgava – Auda3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FS JelgavaAuda
Played2727
Goals Scored2844
Goals Conceded4627
Avg Scored1.01.6
Avg Conceded1.71.0
Clean Sheets411

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FS JelgavaAuda
Over 2.5 Goals4/107/10
Both Teams Scored4/106/10
Clean Sheets3/103/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

FS Jelgava

Formation 5-4-1
  1. 30GS. Belaník
  2. 27DK. Alekseiciks
  3. 21DG. Kacanovs
  4. 4DA. Kangars
  5. 13DJegors Novikovs
  6. 19DArmands Petersons
  7. 28MA. Deklavs
  8. 23MA. Dreimanis
  9. 24MFilip Hašek
  10. 11MM. Hašek
  11. 9AR. Becers

Coach: A. Basov

Auda

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 12GN. Aleksandrovs
  2. 80DS. Aranda
  3. 2DT. Hrvoj
  4. 6DR. Kragliks
  5. 4DM. Ouedraogo
  6. 18MA. Arroyo
  7. 8ME. Bongemba
  8. 10MW. Fofana
  9. 7AA. Appiah
  10. 23AMahamoud Fofana
  11. 47AK. Kone

Coach: J. Kalns

FS Jelgava vs Auda — Match Analysis

Auda are clear favourites, backed by superior form, league position, and a perfect head-to-head record. The main risk is a potential upset if Jelgava's recent win sparks a revival.

Based on the data, Auda enters this match as the clear favourite. They sit 3rd in the league with 43 points and a positive goal difference, while FS Jelgava languish in 7th with 25 points and a negative goal difference. The away side's recent form (WDLDW) is far superior to the home side's (LLLLW), and they have dominated the head-to-head with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Form Analysis: Auda have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding only 3, showing both attacking potency and defensive solidity. In contrast, FS Jelgava have lost 4 of their last 5, with their only win coming in the most recent match. This momentum strongly favours the visitors.

Key Factors: The most decisive factors are the league standings (Auda 18 points ahead), the head-to-head record (Auda have won all 5 recent meetings), and the stark contrast in recent form. Additionally, Auda are pushing for a Conference League qualification spot, adding extra motivation.

Conclusion: All indicators point to an Auda victory. The data is consistent across form, standings, and head-to-head, making the away win the most probable outcome. However, football can be unpredictable, and FS Jelgava will be desperate to build on their recent win, so a competitive match is expected.

Win Probabilities: FS Jelgava: 26% · Draw: 26% · Auda: 48%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: FS Jelgava wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Auda wins: 5

Form (latest first): FS Jelgava: WWLLL · Auda: DWWLW

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Sep 512:00
Ogre United
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 514:00
Super Nova
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 615:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 716:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Sep 716:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1016:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 1114:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 1115:00
Auda
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.5618%
25.0020%
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Sep 1211:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Sep 1311:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1516:00
Riga
Early projection
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 1616:00
Ogre United
11.2878%
X6.6715%
214.297%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Sep 1911:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 1913:00
Riga
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 2011:00
Super Nova
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.3523%
22.0848%