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  1. Home
  2. World Cup
  3. USA vs Paraguay

USA vs Paraguay

Result • World Cup·USA·Paraguay

World Cup
World Cup
Jun 13, 2026
01:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
USA

USA

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.10
X3.25
23.70
Stadium
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
medium Confidence
Paraguay

Paraguay

Away
Odds
12.10
X3.25
23.70
Stadium
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Win Probabilities
44%
USA
32%
Draw
24%
Paraguay
Home2.1044%
Draw3.2532%
Away3.7024%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees USA's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Paraguay, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this World Cup fixture between USA and Paraguay using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns USA a 44% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Paraguay a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Own goal: D. Bobadilla (Own goal)
    7'
    Own goal: D. Bobadilla (Own goal)USA
  2. 10'
    Yellow Card: J. CaceresParaguay
    Yellow Card: J. Caceres
  3. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Balogun
    28'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideUSA · F. Balogun
  4. Goal: F. BalogunAssist: C. Pulisic
    31'
    Goal: F. BalogunUSA · Assist: C. Pulisic
  5. Goal: F. BalogunAssist: M. Tillman
    45+5'
    Goal: F. BalogunUSA · Assist: M. Tillman
  6. 46'
    Substitution: MauricioParaguay · Out: D. Bobadilla
    Substitution: MauricioOut: D. Bobadilla
  7. Substitution: S. BerhalterOut: C. Pulisic
    46'
    Substitution: S. BerhalterUSA · Out: C. Pulisic
  8. 53'
    Yellow Card: M. AlmironParaguay
    Yellow Card: M. Almiron
  9. Yellow Card: T. Adams
    59'
    Yellow Card: T. AdamsUSA
  10. 62'
    Substitution: A. ArceParaguay · Out: A. Sanabria
    Substitution: A. ArceOut: A. Sanabria
  11. Substitution: T. WeahOut: S. Dest
    72'
    Substitution: T. WeahUSA · Out: S. Dest
  12. Substitution: R. PepiOut: F. Balogun
    72'
    Substitution: R. PepiUSA · Out: F. Balogun
  13. 73'
    Goal: MauricioParaguay · Assist: J. Enciso
    Goal: MauricioAssist: J. Enciso
  14. 79'
    Yellow Card: D. GomezParaguay
    Yellow Card: D. Gomez
  15. 79'
    Substitution: R. SosaParaguay · Out: M. Almiron
    Substitution: R. SosaOut: M. Almiron
  16. 79'
    Substitution: G. VelazquezParaguay · Out: J. Caceres
    Substitution: G. VelazquezOut: J. Caceres
  17. 80'
    Substitution: KakuParaguay · Out: D. Gomez
    Substitution: KakuOut: D. Gomez
  18. Substitution: G. ReynaOut: M. Tillman
    82'
    Substitution: G. ReynaUSA · Out: M. Tillman
  19. 88'
    Yellow Card: A. ArceParaguay
    Yellow Card: A. Arce
  20. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: J. AlonsoParaguay
    Yellow Card: J. Alonso
  21. Goal: G. ReynaAssist: A. Freeman
    90+8'
    Goal: G. ReynaUSA · Assist: A. Freeman
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1USA's attack vs Paraguay's defense: USA's high scoring rate will test Paraguay's backline.
2Paraguay's counter-attacks vs USA's high line: Paraguay's speed on break could exploit gaps.
3Midfield control: USA's 4-2-3-1 vs Paraguay's 4-4-2 will be crucial for possession.
Strengths · Weaknesses

USA

  • Strong head-to-head record
  • Home advantage
  • Defensive vulnerability (2.4 goals conceded per game)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Paraguay

  • Solid defense (1.0 goals conceded per game)
  • Recent clean sheets (2 in last 5)
  • Poor H2H record against USA
  • Lower average goals scored (1.8)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
44%
API-Football
50%
47%
USA474112

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (47%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

USA is predicted to win based on strong head-to-head dominance and home advantage, supported by both market odds and API model.

Form Analysis: USA has averaged 2.2 goals scored per match but conceded 2.4, while Paraguay has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Paraguay has 2 clean sheets in last 5, but USA's attacking output is higher.

Key Factors: USA leads H2H 3-0 in last 5 meetings. Home advantage at SoFi Stadium is significant. Paraguay's recent form includes a win streak, but USA's overall quality and historical edge are decisive.

Conclusion: USA's superior H2H record and home support should secure a victory, though Paraguay's defense may keep it close.

Statistical ContextUSA

Double chance : USA or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
USAParaguay
80%Strength20%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
80%Goals H2H20%
80%Wins the Game20%
Head-to-head →Injuries · USAInjuries · ParaguayLive scores →

Statistical Context

USA

LWLW
  • LJul 7, 26H · Belgium1-4
  • WJul 2, 26H · Bosnia & Herzegovina2-0
  • LJun 26, 26A · Türkiye3-2
  • WJun 19, 26H · Australia2-0

Paraguay

LDDW
  • LJul 4, 26H · France0-1
  • DJun 29, 26A · Germany1-1
  • DJun 26, 26H · Australia0-0
  • WJun 20, 26A · Türkiye0-1

Head to Head

0
USA
0
Draws
3
Paraguay
  • Nov 15, 25USA – Paraguay2-1
  • Mar 27, 18USA – Paraguay1-0
  • Jun 11, 16USA – Paraguay1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

USAParaguay
Played34
Goals Scored84
Goals Conceded45
Avg Scored2.71.0
Avg Conceded1.31.3
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

USAParaguay
Over 2.5 Goals6/104/10
Both Teams Scored7/104/10
Clean Sheets1/104/10

USA vs Paraguay — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees USA's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Paraguay, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

USA is predicted to win based on strong head-to-head dominance and home advantage, supported by both market odds and API model.

Form Analysis: USA has averaged 2.2 goals scored per match but conceded 2.4, while Paraguay has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Paraguay has 2 clean sheets in last 5, but USA's attacking output is higher.

Key Factors: USA leads H2H 3-0 in last 5 meetings. Home advantage at SoFi Stadium is significant. Paraguay's recent form includes a win streak, but USA's overall quality and historical edge are decisive.

Conclusion: USA's superior H2H record and home support should secure a victory, though Paraguay's defense may keep it close.

Win Probabilities: USA: 44% · Draw: 32% · Paraguay: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: USA wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Paraguay wins: 3

Form (latest first): USA: LWLW · Paraguay: LDDW

  • USA's attack vs Paraguay's defense: USA's high scoring rate will test Paraguay's backline.
  • Paraguay's counter-attacks vs USA's high line: Paraguay's speed on break could exploit gaps.
  • Midfield control: USA's 4-2-3-1 vs Paraguay's 4-4-2 will be crucial for possession.

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