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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. Riga vs Ogre United

Riga vs Ogre United

Result • Virsliga·Riga·Ogre United

Virsliga
Virsliga
Aug 9, 2026
15:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Riga

Riga

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 3-0
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 3-0
Odds
11.07
X8.50
215.00
Stadium
Skonto stadions
high Confidence
Ogre United

Ogre United

Away
Odds
11.07
X8.50
215.00
Stadium
Skonto stadions
Win Probabilities
82%
Riga
12%
Draw
6%
Ogre United
Home1.0782%
Draw8.5012%
Away15.006%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Riga are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and a 100% win rate in their last five matches. The main risk is complacency, but Ogre United's poor away form and defensive frailties make an upset highly unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this Virsliga fixture between Riga and Ogre United using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Riga a 82% win probability, a 12% chance of a draw, and Ogre United a 6% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-0. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Riga

  • Excellent recent form with five straight wins
  • Strong home record (2 wins in 2 games)
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opposition
  • Occasional defensive lapses (conceded 4 in last 5)

Ogre United

  • Showed resilience in recent away games (won 1 of last 5)
  • Can score on the counter-attack (scored in 3 of last 5)
  • Poor league position and negative goal difference
  • Inconsistent form (DLWLW)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
82%
API-Football
50%
66%
Riga66313

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (66%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Riga enter this Virsliga clash as clear favourites, with the data pointing overwhelmingly in their direction. They sit second in the standings with 61 points and a +52 goal difference, while Ogre United languish in 10th with just 14 points and a -38 goal difference. The 47-point gap between the sides underscores the gulf in quality.

Form Analysis: Riga are in scintillating form, having won their last five matches (WWWWD), scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Their 100% win rate in that stretch highlights their momentum and defensive solidity. Ogre United, by contrast, have been inconsistent, with a record of DLWLW, and they have struggled to string together positive results.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is one-sided, with Riga winning both of the last five meetings and Ogre United failing to win any. Riga also boast a perfect home record this season (2W-0D-0L), and with no significant injuries reported for either side, the home team's strength should be at full capacity. The neutral weather conditions (23.5°C, overcast, light wind) are unlikely to disrupt Riga's game plan.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Riga's superior form, league position, and head-to-head dominance make them overwhelming favourites, and the data suggests they should secure three points with relative ease.

Statistical ContextRiga

Combo Winner : Riga and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
RigaOgre United
80%Strength19%
63%Attacking Potential37%
93%Defensive Potential7%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
89%Goals H2H11%
80%Wins the Game19%

Statistical Context

Riga

WDDDW
  • WAug 27, 26H · KI Klaksvik2-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · Rīgas FS3-3
  • DAug 20, 26A · KI Klaksvik0-0
  • DAug 13, 26A · Gyori ETO FC1-1
  • WAug 6, 26H · Gyori ETO FC1-0

Ogre United

LDLWL
  • LAug 22, 26H · FS Jelgava2-3
  • DJul 27, 26A · Grobiņa2-2
  • LJul 19, 26H · BFC Daugavpils0-4
  • WJul 6, 26A · Super Nova1-2
  • LJun 30, 26A · FK Liepaja4-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FS26+4566DWWWD
2Riga26+5565DWWWW
3Auda26+1752WWWWD
9Tukums27-1420LLWLL
10Ogre United26-4214LLDLW

Head to Head

2
Riga
0
Draws
0
Ogre United
  • Jun 13, 26Ogre United – Riga1-4
  • Apr 22, 26Riga – Ogre United4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

RigaOgre United
Played525
Goals Scored1024
Goals Conceded565
Avg Scored2.01.0
Avg Conceded1.02.6
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

RigaOgre United
Over 2.5 Goals8/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/107/10
Clean Sheets5/100/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Riga

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 44GM. Kazainis
  2. 3DAbner
  3. 27DE. Birka
  4. 28DJ. Blazevics
  5. 34DA. Černomordijs
  6. 40MA. Ankrah
  7. 4MO. Galo
  8. 8MIago Siqueira Augusto
  9. 7AR. Aouani
  10. 19AM. Badamosi
  11. 4AM. Blaubergs

Coach: M. Koņevs

Ogre United

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 20GK. Biscuhis
  2. 13DK. Gulbis
  3. 55DA. Kudeļkins
  4. 37DMartins Lormanis
  5. 77DM. Marusii
  6. 19MK. Čudars
  7. 30MEmin Kujovic
  8. 10MM. Kalnins
  9. 22AL. Estevez Fernandez
  10. 18AE. Evelons
  11. 21AMarkuss Ivulans

Riga vs Ogre United — Match Analysis

Riga are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and a 100% win rate in their last five matches. The main risk is complacency, but Ogre United's poor away form and defensive frailties make an upset highly unlikely.

Riga enter this Virsliga clash as clear favourites, with the data pointing overwhelmingly in their direction. They sit second in the standings with 61 points and a +52 goal difference, while Ogre United languish in 10th with just 14 points and a -38 goal difference. The 47-point gap between the sides underscores the gulf in quality.

Form Analysis: Riga are in scintillating form, having won their last five matches (WWWWD), scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Their 100% win rate in that stretch highlights their momentum and defensive solidity. Ogre United, by contrast, have been inconsistent, with a record of DLWLW, and they have struggled to string together positive results.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is one-sided, with Riga winning both of the last five meetings and Ogre United failing to win any. Riga also boast a perfect home record this season (2W-0D-0L), and with no significant injuries reported for either side, the home team's strength should be at full capacity. The neutral weather conditions (23.5°C, overcast, light wind) are unlikely to disrupt Riga's game plan.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Riga's superior form, league position, and head-to-head dominance make them overwhelming favourites, and the data suggests they should secure three points with relative ease.

Win Probabilities: Riga: 82% · Draw: 12% · Ogre United: 6%

Predicted Score: 3-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 30%

H2H: Riga wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Ogre United wins: 0

Form (latest first): Riga: WDDDW · Ogre United: LDLWL

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Aug 2916:00
Super Nova
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Aug 3014:00
Rīgas FS
120.005%
X7.6913%
21.2282%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Aug 3114:30
Riga
16.6715%
X4.0025%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Sep 512:00
Ogre United
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 514:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 615:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 716:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Sep 716:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1016:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 1114:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.2619%
21.6959%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 1115:00
Auda
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Sep 1211:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Sep 1311:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.0020%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1516:00
Riga
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 1616:00
Ogre United
11.2878%
X6.6715%
214.297%