Based on the data, Castellón is predicted to have a slight edge, with a draw also highly plausible. The market probabilities show a near-even split, but the API-Football model strongly favors Castellón or a draw, and statistical comparisons support Castellón's superiority.
Form Analysis: AD Ceuta FC has poor recent form (LDWLL, 1 loss streak, 0 clean sheets in last 5, avg goals conceded 2.4). Castellón has better form (WWDDL, 4 unbeaten streak, 1 clean sheet, avg goals scored 1.6). Castellón's form is stronger, with more goals scored and fewer conceded on average.
Key Factors: 1) API-Football model predicts Castellón as winner with 45% away win probability and advises double chance draw or Castellón. 2) Statistical comparison shows Castellón favored in form (67% vs 33%), attack (57% vs 43%), defense (60% vs 40%), and H2H strength (71% vs 29%). 3) Standings context: Castellón is 5th with +15 GD, AD Ceuta FC is 10th with -13 GD, a 9-point difference favoring Castellón.
Conclusion: The data indicates Castellón is more likely to win or secure a draw, with AD Ceuta FC's poor defensive record and weaker overall stats making an away win or draw the probable outcomes. No significant injuries or extreme streaks override the odds, so probabilities stay close to market values with slight adjustment toward Castellón/draw based on model and stats.
