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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati

Result • MLS·Columbus Crew·FC Cincinnati

MLS
MLS
Jul 25, 2026
23:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.04
X3.75
23.25
Stadium
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
medium Confidence
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Away
Odds
12.04
X3.75
23.25
Stadium
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Win Probabilities
44%
Columbus Crew
27%
Draw
29%
FC Cincinnati
Home2.0444%
Draw3.7527%
Away3.2529%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Columbus Crew are slight favorites (52% probability) due to home advantage and FC Cincinnati's extensive injury list, including top scorer K. Denkey. The main risk is Cincinnati's higher league position and their ability to grind out results despite absences.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Columbus Crew a 44% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and FC Cincinnati a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Columbus Crew's midfield vs FC Cincinnati's depleted midfield: The home side's midfield trio will look to dominate possession against a Cincinnati side missing key players, potentially controlling the game's tempo.
2Columbus Crew's defense vs FC Cincinnati's attack: Despite missing Denkey, Cincinnati still have attacking threats, but Columbus's defense, with 2 clean sheets in last 5, will aim to keep them at bay.
3Set pieces: Both teams have players capable of scoring from set pieces, and with several injuries, dead-ball situations could be decisive.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Columbus Crew

  • Home advantage with 3 wins in 7 home games
  • Defensive resilience with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Inconsistent form with 3 losses in last 5
  • Missing key players due to injuries

FC Cincinnati

  • Higher league position (7th vs 10th)
  • Strong attack with 36 goals scored
  • Extensive injury list with 16 players out
  • Poor defensive record (37 goals conceded)

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
44%
API-Football
35%
40%
Columbus Crew403130

Moderate agreement on home win (40%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the home side holding a slight edge according to the odds. Columbus Crew have a strong home record (3W-2D-2L) and a 4-match unbeaten streak, while FC Cincinnati sit higher in the standings but have a poor recent form (WDLDW) and are missing several key players due to suspensions and injuries.

Form Analysis: Columbus Crew have shown resilience with a 4-match unbeaten run, though their last five matches include three losses. FC Cincinnati have a mixed form with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. The away side's attack has been potent (36 goals scored) but their defense has leaked 37 goals, indicating vulnerability.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the extensive injury list for FC Cincinnati, with 16 players out including top scorer K. Denkey and key defender G. Valenzuela. Columbus Crew also have injuries but to a lesser extent. Head-to-head is perfectly balanced (4 wins each in last 10), but home advantage and Cincinnati's depleted squad tilt the balance.

Conclusion: Columbus Crew are slight favorites due to home advantage and Cincinnati's injury crisis, but the match is expected to be tight. A low-scoring affair with both teams scoring is possible, but the home side's defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in last 5) could be decisive.

Statistical ContextColumbus Crew

Combo Double chance : Columbus Crew or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
49%Strength51%
29%Attacking Potential71%
58%Defensive Potential42%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
63%Goals H2H38%
49%Wins the Game51%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Columbus CrewInjuries · FC Cincinnati</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Columbus Crew

LLWLL
  • LSep 12, 26H · New York Red Bulls0-1
  • LSep 9, 26A · DC United2-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Colorado Rapids3-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · New England Revolution1-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · Nashville SC3-2

FC Cincinnati

DLLDW
  • DSep 12, 26H · Charlotte3-3
  • LSep 9, 26A · Philadelphia Union5-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · Nashville SC4-0
  • DAug 22, 26H · Seattle Sounders1-1
  • WAug 19, 26H · New York City FC2-1

Head to Head

4
Columbus Crew
2
Draws
4
FC Cincinnati
  • Nov 8, 25FC Cincinnati – Columbus Crew2-1
  • Nov 2, 25Columbus Crew – FC Cincinnati4-0
  • Oct 27, 25FC Cincinnati – Columbus Crew1-0
  • Jul 12, 25FC Cincinnati – Columbus Crew2-4
  • May 17, 25Columbus Crew – FC Cincinnati1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
Played2323
Goals Scored3449
Goals Conceded3956
Avg Scored1.52.1
Avg Conceded1.72.4
Clean Sheets42

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati — Match Analysis

Columbus Crew are slight favorites (52% probability) due to home advantage and FC Cincinnati's extensive injury list, including top scorer K. Denkey. The main risk is Cincinnati's higher league position and their ability to grind out results despite absences.

The match between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the home side holding a slight edge according to the odds. Columbus Crew have a strong home record (3W-2D-2L) and a 4-match unbeaten streak, while FC Cincinnati sit higher in the standings but have a poor recent form (WDLDW) and are missing several key players due to suspensions and injuries.

Form Analysis: Columbus Crew have shown resilience with a 4-match unbeaten run, though their last five matches include three losses. FC Cincinnati have a mixed form with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. The away side's attack has been potent (36 goals scored) but their defense has leaked 37 goals, indicating vulnerability.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the extensive injury list for FC Cincinnati, with 16 players out including top scorer K. Denkey and key defender G. Valenzuela. Columbus Crew also have injuries but to a lesser extent. Head-to-head is perfectly balanced (4 wins each in last 10), but home advantage and Cincinnati's depleted squad tilt the balance.

Conclusion: Columbus Crew are slight favorites due to home advantage and Cincinnati's injury crisis, but the match is expected to be tight. A low-scoring affair with both teams scoring is possible, but the home side's defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in last 5) could be decisive.

Win Probabilities: Columbus Crew: 44% · Draw: 27% · FC Cincinnati: 29%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Columbus Crew wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · FC Cincinnati wins: 4

Form (latest first): Columbus Crew: LLWLL · FC Cincinnati: DLLDW

  • Columbus Crew's midfield vs FC Cincinnati's depleted midfield: The home side's midfield trio will look to dominate possession against a Cincinnati side missing key players, potentially controlling the game's tempo.
  • Columbus Crew's defense vs FC Cincinnati's attack: Despite missing Denkey, Cincinnati still have attacking threats, but Columbus's defense, with 2 clean sheets in last 5, will aim to keep them at bay.
  • Set pieces: Both teams have players capable of scoring from set pieces, and with several injuries, dead-ball situations could be decisive.

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USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Chicago Fire
Sep 1321:30
New England Revolution
12.2245%
X3.7027%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sep 1322:30
Austin
11.3077%
X6.2516%
214.297%
MLSUSA
San Diego
Sep 1401:00
Philadelphia Union
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Sep 1823:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1923:30
Los Angeles FC
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Sep 1923:30
Orlando City SC
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 1923:30
Columbus Crew
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1923:30
Charlotte
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 2000:30
Austin
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2000:30
FC Cincinnati
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 2000:30
Philadelphia Union
15.5618%
X3.5728%
21.8554%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Sep 2000:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 2000:30
Toronto FC
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2001:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 2001:30
Seattle Sounders
12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%

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