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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders

Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders

Result • MLS·Philadelphia Union·Seattle Sounders

MLS
MLS
Jul 25, 2026
23:30
low Confidence
WINNER
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
11.84
X3.85
23.75
Stadium
Subaru Park
low Confidence
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

Away
Odds
11.84
X3.85
23.75
Stadium
Subaru Park
Win Probabilities
33%
Philadelphia Union
31%
Draw
36%
Seattle Sounders
Home1.8433%
Draw3.8531%
Away3.7536%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Seattle Sounders are slight favorites (32% away win) due to their superior league position and overall team strength, but their three-match losing streak and Philadelphia's home advantage make this a tight contest. The main risk is that Philadelphia's injury crisis could leave them vulnerable to a Seattle resurgence.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Philadelphia Union a 33% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Seattle Sounders a 36% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Sery Larsen vs Seattle's central defense: Philadelphia's top scorer will need to be clinical against a Seattle defense that has kept few clean sheets.
2Seattle's midfield vs Philadelphia's midfield: The battle for control in the middle of the park will be crucial, with both teams missing key players.
3Philadelphia's makeshift defense vs Seattle's attack: With several defenders out, Philadelphia's backline must stay organized to prevent Seattle from scoring.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Philadelphia Union

  • Attacking threat from set pieces
  • Home crowd support at Subaru Park
  • Poor defensive record (conceding 2.6 goals per game)
  • Injury crisis with 15 players unavailable

Seattle Sounders

  • Higher league position (6th) and points total (24)
  • Stronger overall team comparison (55% overall rating)
  • Three consecutive losses
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
41%
Seattle Sounders223841

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Based on the data, Seattle Sounders are slight favorites despite their recent poor form, due to their superior league position and stronger overall statistics. However, Philadelphia Union have home advantage and a better head-to-head record in recent meetings, making this a closely contested match.

Form Analysis: Philadelphia Union have lost four of their last five matches (LDLLD), scoring 1.8 goals per game but conceding 2.6. Seattle Sounders have lost three in a row (LLLWD), scoring only 1.0 goal per game and conceding 2.2. Both teams are in poor form, but Seattle's underlying numbers are slightly better.

Key Factors: 1) Seattle Sounders are 9 places and 17 points ahead in the standings, indicating a stronger squad. 2) Philadelphia Union have a poor home record (0W-3D-3L) and are missing 15 players due to injuries/suspensions, including key players like goalkeeper Andre Blake. 3) Head-to-head favors Seattle (5 wins to 3 in last 10), but recent meetings have been tight.

Conclusion: The match is finely balanced. Seattle's quality and league position give them a narrow edge, but Philadelphia's desperation and home crowd could level the playing field. A draw is a very plausible outcome given both teams' struggles.

Statistical ContextSeattle Sounders

Double chance : draw or Seattle Sounders

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
45%Strength55%
64%Attacking Potential36%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
55%Goals H2H45%
45%Wins the Game55%

Statistical Context

Philadelphia Union

DDWWW
  • DAug 23, 26A · Austin1-1
  • DAug 19, 26H · Inter Miami2-2
  • WAug 16, 26A · New York City FC2-3
  • WAug 1, 26H · Atlanta United FC3-2
  • WJul 22, 26H · New York Red Bulls3-1

Seattle Sounders

DLLLL
  • DAug 22, 26A · FC Cincinnati1-1
  • LAug 20, 26H · Austin1-2
  • LAug 17, 26H · Vancouver Whitecaps0-2
  • LAug 2, 26A · Portland Timbers2-1
  • LJul 23, 26A · Austin3-1

Head to Head

3
Philadelphia Union
2
Draws
5
Seattle Sounders
  • May 1, 24Philadelphia Union – Seattle Sounders2-3
  • May 18, 19Philadelphia Union – Seattle Sounders0-0
  • Sep 20, 18Seattle Sounders – Philadelphia Union0-1
  • Oct 1, 17Philadelphia Union – Seattle Sounders2-0
  • Apr 17, 16Seattle Sounders – Philadelphia Union2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
Played2020
Goals Scored3022
Goals Conceded3727
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.91.4
Clean Sheets35

Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders — Match Analysis

Seattle Sounders are slight favorites (32% away win) due to their superior league position and overall team strength, but their three-match losing streak and Philadelphia's home advantage make this a tight contest. The main risk is that Philadelphia's injury crisis could leave them vulnerable to a Seattle resurgence.

Based on the data, Seattle Sounders are slight favorites despite their recent poor form, due to their superior league position and stronger overall statistics. However, Philadelphia Union have home advantage and a better head-to-head record in recent meetings, making this a closely contested match.

Form Analysis: Philadelphia Union have lost four of their last five matches (LDLLD), scoring 1.8 goals per game but conceding 2.6. Seattle Sounders have lost three in a row (LLLWD), scoring only 1.0 goal per game and conceding 2.2. Both teams are in poor form, but Seattle's underlying numbers are slightly better.

Key Factors: 1) Seattle Sounders are 9 places and 17 points ahead in the standings, indicating a stronger squad. 2) Philadelphia Union have a poor home record (0W-3D-3L) and are missing 15 players due to injuries/suspensions, including key players like goalkeeper Andre Blake. 3) Head-to-head favors Seattle (5 wins to 3 in last 10), but recent meetings have been tight.

Conclusion: The match is finely balanced. Seattle's quality and league position give them a narrow edge, but Philadelphia's desperation and home crowd could level the playing field. A draw is a very plausible outcome given both teams' struggles.

Win Probabilities: Philadelphia Union: 33% · Draw: 31% · Seattle Sounders: 36%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Philadelphia Union wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Seattle Sounders wins: 5

Form (latest first): Philadelphia Union: DDWWW · Seattle Sounders: DLLLL

  • J. Sery Larsen vs Seattle's central defense: Philadelphia's top scorer will need to be clinical against a Seattle defense that has kept few clean sheets.
  • Seattle's midfield vs Philadelphia's midfield: The battle for control in the middle of the park will be crucial, with both teams missing key players.
  • Philadelphia's makeshift defense vs Seattle's attack: With several defenders out, Philadelphia's backline must stay organized to prevent Seattle from scoring.

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MLSUSA
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13.3330%
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22.5040%
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
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13.8526%
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22.2245%
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23.0333%
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DC United
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22.1347%
MLSUSA
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MLSUSA
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MLSUSA
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24.1724%
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23.8526%
MLSUSA
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Aug 3002:30
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11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
MLSUSA
San Diego
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11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Aug 3023:00
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12.1347%
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23.7027%