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  1. Home
  2. Primera Nacional
  3. Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu

Result • Primera Nacional·Almagro·Deportivo Maipu

Primera Nacional
Primera Nacional
Sep 12, 2026
18:30
low Confidence
DRAW
Almagro

Almagro

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.45
X2.70
23.20
Stadium
Estadio Tres de Febrero
low Confidence
DRAW
Deportivo Maipu

Deportivo Maipu

Away
Odds
12.45
X2.70
23.20
Stadium
Estadio Tres de Febrero
Win Probabilities
40%
Almagro
31%
Draw
29%
Deportivo Maipu
Home2.4540%
Draw2.7031%
Away3.2029%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Almagro are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera Nacional fixture between Almagro and Deportivo Maipu using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Almagro a 40% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Deportivo Maipu a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 43%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 43%

Match Events

  1. 16'
    Goal: M. BonfigliDeportivo Maipu · Assist: J. Vera
    Goal: M. BonfigliAssist: J. Vera
  2. Goal: F. De La VegaAssist: J. Marchioni
    18'
    Goal: F. De La VegaAlmagro · Assist: J. Marchioni
  3. Goal: F. De La VegaAssist: E. Martinez
    31'
    Goal: F. De La VegaAlmagro · Assist: E. Martinez
  4. 39'
    Goal: M. BonfigliDeportivo Maipu
    Goal: M. Bonfigli
  5. Substitution: J. BustosOut: T. Dornell
    46'
    Substitution: J. BustosAlmagro · Out: T. Dornell
  6. 58'
    Substitution: J. GiaconeDeportivo Maipu · Out: L. Cabrera
    Substitution: J. GiaconeOut: L. Cabrera
  7. 58'
    Substitution: D. Yavante GaitanDeportivo Maipu · Out: T. Silva
    Substitution: D. Yavante GaitanOut: T. Silva
  8. 58'
    Substitution: J. C. ArnoDeportivo Maipu · Out: J. Vera
    Substitution: J. C. ArnoOut: J. Vera
  9. Yellow Card: B. Negro
    74'
    Yellow Card: B. NegroAlmagro
  10. Substitution: C. SaltoOut: F. De La Vega
    74'
    Substitution: C. SaltoAlmagro · Out: F. De La Vega
  11. Substitution: T. CanaleOut: E. Martinez
    74'
    Substitution: T. CanaleAlmagro · Out: E. Martinez
  12. Yellow Card: N. Tolosa
    78'
    Yellow Card: N. TolosaAlmagro
  13. 80'
    Substitution: M. ViguetDeportivo Maipu · Out: M. Bonfigli
    Substitution: M. ViguetOut: M. Bonfigli
  14. Substitution: E. SilcanOut: N. Tolosa
    81'
    Substitution: E. SilcanAlmagro · Out: N. Tolosa
  15. Substitution: J. FernandesOut: T. Macies
    81'
    Substitution: J. FernandesAlmagro · Out: T. Macies
  16. 90+1'
    Substitution: N. FernandezDeportivo Maipu · Out: J. de la Reta
    Substitution: N. FernandezOut: J. de la Reta
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · AlmagroInjuries · Deportivo MaipuLive scores →

Statistical Context

Almagro

L
  • LSep 6, 26H · Gimnasia Jujuy1-2

Deportivo Maipu

D
  • DSep 6, 26H · Patronato0-0

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu — Match Analysis

Almagro are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-0.

Almagro host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes Almagro the favourite at 39%, with the draw at 30% and Deportivo Maipu at 31%.

Form and league position

Almagro sit 12th of 36 with 34 points from 28 games (23 scored, 31 conceded). Deportivo Maipu sit 8th of 36 with 39 points from 28 games (34 scored, 28 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.0, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams to score at 43%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Almagro at 2.60, the draw at 2.82 and Deportivo Maipu at 2.95; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Almagro to win (39%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Almagro: 40% · Draw: 31% · Deportivo Maipu: 29%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 34% · Under 2.5: 66% · BTTS: 43%

Form (latest first): Almagro: L · Deportivo Maipu: D

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Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Argentina15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera NacionalArgentina
Acassuso
Sep 1918:00
Atletico Mitre
12.5639%
X3.3330%
23.2331%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Ferro Carril Oeste
Sep 1918:30
Ciudad de Bolívar
11.6162%
X4.3523%
26.6715%
Primera NacionalArgentina
San Telmo
Sep 1918:30
CA Estudiantes
13.3330%
X3.2331%
22.5639%
Primera NacionalArgentina
San Miguel
Sep 1918:30
All Boys
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Temperley
Sep 1919:00
Almagro
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Atletico DE Rafaela
Sep 1919:00
San Martin Tucuman
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Agropecuario
Sep 2018:00
Gimnasia Y Tiro
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Chacarita Juniors
Sep 2018:00
Quilmes
13.1332%
X2.8635%
23.0333%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Deportivo Moron
Sep 2018:00
Godoy Cruz
12.0449%
X3.5728%
24.3523%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Deportivo Madryn
Sep 2019:00
Racing Cordoba
11.8255%
X3.8526%
25.2619%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Deportivo Maipu
Sep 2019:30
Gimnasia Jujuy
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Colon Santa Fe
Sep 2019:30
Los Andes
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
Primera NacionalArgentina
San Martin S.J.
Sep 2020:00
Colegiales
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Chaco For Ever
Sep 2020:00
Almirante Brown
12.2744%
X3.0333%
24.3523%
Primera NacionalArgentina
Central Norte
Sep 2020:00
Defensores De Belgrano
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%

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