Who Will Win Bundesliga?
2,000 season simulations · 9 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Bundesliga 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Bayern München wins Bundesliga in 42.4% of 2,000 season simulations.
Borussia Dortmund — 26.6% title chance.
SC Paderborn 07 goes down in 45.9% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 0 | 0 | 42.4% | 43% | 0.2% | 2 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 26.6% | 44.9% | 0.4% | 2 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 13.4% | 45.2% | 0.3% | 2 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 9.7% | 32.1% | 0.7% | 1 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 30.1% | 1.6% | 1 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 1.9% | 29.8% | 2.7% | 1 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 1.7% | 41.1% | 3% | 2 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0.7% | 24.3% | 9.3% | 1 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0.3% | 28.2% | 12.5% | 2 |
| 10 |  Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0.3% | 21.9% | 13.1% | 2 |
| 11 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0.2% | 23.9% | 13.1% | 2 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0.2% | 8.4% | 31.4% | 1 |
| 13 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0.1% | 10.7% | 24.9% | 1 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 | <0.1% | 8.2% | 24.1% | 2 |
| 15 |  SV Elversberg | 0 | 0 | <0.1% | 1.9% | 31.3% | 2 |
| 16 |  Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | <0.1% | 2.9% | 42.7% | 1 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | <0.1% | 3% | 43.1% | 1 |
| 18 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 45.9% | 1 |
Next Bundesliga fixtures — with AI predictions
- Bayern München – VfB StuttgartFri, Aug 28AI prediction →
- FSV Mainz 05 – SC Paderborn 07Sat, Aug 29AI prediction →
- RB Leipzig – Borussia MönchengladbachSat, Aug 29AI prediction →
- Union Berlin – Eintracht FrankfurtSat, Aug 29AI prediction →
- 1. FC Köln – 1899 HoffenheimSat, Aug 29AI prediction →
- SV Elversberg – Bayer LeverkusenSat, Aug 29AI prediction →
- Borussia Dortmund – Hamburger SVSat, Aug 29AI prediction →
- SC Freiburg – Werder BremenSun, Aug 30AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Bundesliga fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Bundesliga in 2026/27?
Bayern München wins Bundesliga in 42.4% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.