Who Will Win Premier League?
2,000 season simulations · 20 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Premier League 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Arsenal wins Premier League in 15.5% of 2,000 season simulations.
Aston Villa — 14.5% title chance.
Sunderland goes down in 25% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 15.5% | 31.6% | 7.8% | 3 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 14.5% | 28.4% | 7.7% | 3 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 0 | 0 | 9.7% | 24.9% | 9.5% | 3 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 9.6% | 27.2% | 9% | 3 |
| 5 |  Brentford | 0 | 0 | 8.8% | 27.6% | 9.2% | 3 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 8% | 25.5% | 10.6% | 3 |
| 7 |  Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 5.6% | 21.5% | 12.2% | 3 |
| 8 |  Everton | 0 | 0 | 5.4% | 21.4% | 12.9% | 3 |
| 9 |  Coventry | 0 | 0 | 4.4% | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3 |
| 10 |  Fulham | 0 | 0 | 3.3% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 3 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 3 |
| 12 |  Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 2.2% | 18% | 16.3% | 3 |
| 13 |  Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 2.2% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 3 |
| 14 |  Nottingham Forest | 0 | 0 | 1.7% | 14% | 21.4% | 3 |
| 15 |  Leeds | 0 | 0 | 1.5% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 3 |
| 16 |  Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 1.4% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 3 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 1.2% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 3 |
| 18 |  Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 1.2% | 13.2% | 25% | 3 |
| 19 |  Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0.9% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 3 |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0.6% | 13.2% | 23.3% | 3 |
Next Premier League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Arsenal – CoventryFri, Aug 21AI prediction →
- Hull City – Manchester UnitedSat, Aug 22AI prediction →
- Everton – Crystal PalaceSat, Aug 22AI prediction →
- Ipswich – SunderlandSat, Aug 22AI prediction →
- Nottingham Forest – LeedsSat, Aug 22AI prediction →
- Brentford – TottenhamSat, Aug 22AI prediction →
- Manchester City – BournemouthSun, Aug 23AI prediction →
- Brighton – Aston VillaSun, Aug 23AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Premier League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Premier League in 2026/27?
Arsenal wins Premier League in 15.5% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.