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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense

Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense

Result • Série A·Palmeiras·Atletico Paranaense

Série A
Série A
Apr 19, 2026
21:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.60
X3.60
26.50
Stadium
Allianz Parque
high Confidence
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

Away
Odds
11.60
X3.60
26.50
Stadium
Allianz Parque
Win Probabilities
55%
Palmeiras
31%
Draw
14%
Atletico Paranaense
Home1.6055%
Draw3.6031%
Away6.5014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Palmeiras' fortress standing strong, with shadows of doubt lingering over the visitors. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where home soil and history tilt the scales in favor of the leaders.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Palmeiras and Atletico Paranaense using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Palmeiras a 55% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Atletico Paranaense a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: G. Gomez
    15'
    Goal: G. GomezPalmeiras
  2. 23'
    Yellow Card: J. PortillaAtletico Paranaense
    Yellow Card: J. Portilla
  3. Yellow Card: Murilo
    30'
    Yellow Card: MuriloPalmeiras
  4. 42'
    Yellow Card: JadsonAtletico Paranaense
    Yellow Card: Jadson
  5. Yellow Card: Murilo
    47'
    Yellow Card: MuriloPalmeiras
  6. Red Card: Murilo
    47'
    Red Card: MuriloPalmeiras
  7. Substitution: Bruno FuchsOut: J. Lopez
    51'
    Substitution: Bruno FuchsPalmeiras · Out: J. Lopez
  8. 53'
    Substitution: Joao CruzAtletico Paranaense · Out: Jadson
    Substitution: Joao CruzOut: Jadson
  9. 56'
    Yellow Card: Joao CruzAtletico Paranaense
    Yellow Card: Joao Cruz
  10. 60'
    Substitution: B. ZapelliAtletico Paranaense · Out: J. Portilla
    Substitution: B. ZapelliOut: J. Portilla
  11. 60'
    Substitution: ChiquetiAtletico Paranaense · Out: Dudu Kogitzki
    Substitution: ChiquetiOut: Dudu Kogitzki
  12. 63'
    Yellow Card: L. EsquivelAtletico Paranaense
    Yellow Card: L. Esquivel
  13. Yellow Card: R. Sosa
    71'
    Yellow Card: R. SosaPalmeiras
  14. Substitution: Lucas EvangelistaOut: Andreas Pereira
    72'
    Substitution: Lucas EvangelistaPalmeiras · Out: Andreas Pereira
  15. 80'
    Substitution: LeoAtletico Paranaense · Out: F. Aguirre
    Substitution: LeoOut: F. Aguirre
  16. 80'
    Substitution: Renan PeixotoAtletico Paranaense · Out: Luiz Gustavo
    Substitution: Renan PeixotoOut: Luiz Gustavo
  17. Substitution: Vitor RoqueOut: R. Sosa
    83'
    Substitution: Vitor RoquePalmeiras · Out: R. Sosa
  18. Substitution: BenedettiOut: Allan Elias
    83'
    Substitution: BenedettiPalmeiras · Out: Allan Elias
  19. Substitution: Felipe AndersonOut: J. Arias
    83'
    Substitution: Felipe AndersonPalmeiras · Out: J. Arias
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs N/A: Key midfield battle for control and possession
2N/A vs N/A: Defensive matchup to handle attacking threats
3N/A vs N/A: Set-piece specialists could influence the outcome
Strengths · Weaknesses

Palmeiras

  • Strong defensive record with 67% defense rating in API comparison
  • Top of the league with 26 points and +11 goal difference
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches
  • Two players listed as doubtful, potentially affecting squad depth

Atletico Paranaense

  • Higher attack rating of 56% in API comparison
  • Two clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Four players listed as doubtful, which could impact team selection and performance
  • Lower defense rating of 33% in API comparison

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
55%
API-Football
45%
50%
Palmeiras503812

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Palmeiras is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 59% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model also predicts Palmeiras as the winner with a double chance advice, reinforcing this outcome. The data indicates a strong likelihood of Palmeiras securing a victory, supported by their top league position, recent unbeaten streak, and historical dominance in head-to-head encounters.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DWWWW), scoring 21 goals and conceding 10 in their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Atletico Paranaense has a mixed form (WLLWW), scoring 17 and conceding 13, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Palmeiras shows better defensive stability and consistency.

Key Factors: 1) Palmeiras leads the league standings by 7 points and 5 places, indicating superior season performance. 2) Head-to-head history favors Palmeiras with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3) Atletico Paranaense has more players listed as doubtful (4 vs. 2 for Palmeiras), potentially weakening their squad.

Conclusion: The combination of odds, model predictions, form, standings, and injuries points to a Palmeiras win as the most probable outcome, with a draw as a secondary possibility given the balanced draw probability in the data.

Statistical ContextPalmeiras

Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PalmeirasAtletico Paranaense
63%Strength36%
44%Attacking Potential56%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
62%Goals H2H38%
63%Wins the Game36%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PalmeirasInjuries · Atletico Paranaense

Statistical Context

Palmeiras

WWDDD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · LDU de Quito1-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Botafogo0-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Santos0-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · Mirassol1-1

Atletico Paranaense

DLDWD
  • DSep 12, 26A · Coritiba3-3
  • LSep 6, 26A · Cruzeiro3-1
  • DAug 30, 26H · Fluminense3-3
  • WAug 24, 26A · Botafogo2-3
  • DAug 15, 26H · RB Bragantino1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Flamengo27+3157WWWWL
2Palmeiras27+2656WDDWL
3Atletico Paranaense27+1046DLDWD
4Bahia27+946WWWWD

Head to Head

4
Palmeiras
3
Draws
3
Atletico Paranaense
  • Sep 1, 24Atletico Paranaense – Palmeiras0-2
  • May 12, 24Palmeiras – Atletico Paranaense0-2
  • Nov 5, 23Palmeiras – Atletico Paranaense1-0
  • Jul 2, 23Atletico Paranaense – Palmeiras2-2
  • Oct 26, 22Atletico Paranaense – Palmeiras1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

PalmeirasAtletico Paranaense
Played2626
Goals Scored4538
Goals Conceded2128
Avg Scored1.71.5
Avg Conceded0.81.1
Clean Sheets108

Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Palmeiras' fortress standing strong, with shadows of doubt lingering over the visitors. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where home soil and history tilt the scales in favor of the leaders.

Based on the structured data, Palmeiras is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 59% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model also predicts Palmeiras as the winner with a double chance advice, reinforcing this outcome. The data indicates a strong likelihood of Palmeiras securing a victory, supported by their top league position, recent unbeaten streak, and historical dominance in head-to-head encounters.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DWWWW), scoring 21 goals and conceding 10 in their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Atletico Paranaense has a mixed form (WLLWW), scoring 17 and conceding 13, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Palmeiras shows better defensive stability and consistency.

Key Factors: 1) Palmeiras leads the league standings by 7 points and 5 places, indicating superior season performance. 2) Head-to-head history favors Palmeiras with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3) Atletico Paranaense has more players listed as doubtful (4 vs. 2 for Palmeiras), potentially weakening their squad.

Conclusion: The combination of odds, model predictions, form, standings, and injuries points to a Palmeiras win as the most probable outcome, with a draw as a secondary possibility given the balanced draw probability in the data.

Win Probabilities: Palmeiras: 55% · Draw: 31% · Atletico Paranaense: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Palmeiras wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Atletico Paranaense wins: 3

Form (latest first): Palmeiras: WWDDD · Atletico Paranaense: DLDWD

  • N/A vs N/A: Key midfield battle for control and possession
  • N/A vs N/A: Defensive matchup to handle attacking threats
  • N/A vs N/A: Set-piece specialists could influence the outcome

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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