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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Palmeiras vs Santos

Palmeiras vs Santos

Result • Série A·Palmeiras·Santos

Série A
Série A
May 2, 2026
21:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.55
X3.90
26.50
Stadium
Allianz Parque
high Confidence
DRAW
Santos

Santos

Away
Odds
11.55
X3.90
26.50
Stadium
Allianz Parque
Win Probabilities
57%
Palmeiras
30%
Draw
13%
Santos
Home1.5557%
Draw3.9030%
Away6.5013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Palmeiras's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Santos, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Palmeiras and Santos using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Palmeiras a 57% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Santos a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 26'
    Goal: B. RollheiserSantos
    Goal: B. Rollheiser
  2. 32'
    Yellow Card: Gabriel BrazaoSantos
    Yellow Card: Gabriel Brazao
  3. Substitution: Allan EliasOut: Khellven
    46'
    Substitution: Allan EliasPalmeiras · Out: Khellven
  4. Substitution: R. SosaOut: Lucas Evangelista
    60'
    Substitution: R. SosaPalmeiras · Out: Lucas Evangelista
  5. Goal: MauricioAssist: Andreas Pereira
    64'
    Goal: MauricioPalmeiras · Assist: Andreas Pereira
  6. 68'
    Substitution: Willian AraoSantos · Out: C. Oliva
    Substitution: Willian AraoOut: C. Oliva
  7. Substitution: PaulinhoOut: Mauricio
    74'
    Substitution: PaulinhoPalmeiras · Out: Mauricio
  8. Substitution: Luis PachecoOut: Andreas Pereira
    74'
    Substitution: Luis PachecoPalmeiras · Out: Andreas Pereira
  9. Substitution: E. MartinezOut: G. Gomez
    80'
    Substitution: E. MartinezPalmeiras · Out: G. Gomez
  10. 81'
    Substitution: MoisesSantos · Out: A. Barreal
    Substitution: MoisesOut: A. Barreal
  11. 81'
    Substitution: RonySantos · Out: Gabriel Barbosa
    Substitution: RonyOut: Gabriel Barbosa
  12. 86'
    Substitution: Mateus XavierSantos · Out: B. Rollheiser
    Substitution: Mateus XavierOut: B. Rollheiser
  13. 86'
    Substitution: Ze RafaelSantos · Out: Gabriel Bontempo
    Substitution: Ze RafaelOut: Gabriel Bontempo
  14. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballJ. Arias
    90+3'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - handballPalmeiras · J. Arias
  15. Yellow Card: Luis Pacheco
    90+9'
    Yellow Card: Luis PachecoPalmeiras
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Palmeiras defense vs Santos attack: Palmeiras' strong defense (80% rating) faces Santos' decent attack (57% rating).
2Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so midfield battle will be crucial for possession and transitions.
3Set pieces: Palmeiras' height and organization could be decisive against Santos' shaky defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Palmeiras

  • Excellent defense (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Strong home form
  • Doubtful player Mauricio
  • Attack not elite (43% attack rating)

Santos

  • Better attack rating (57%) than Palmeiras
  • Capable of scoring
  • Poor defense (20% rating)
  • Low league position (17th)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Palmeiras503812

Moderate agreement on home win (51%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Palmeiras is predicted to win based on strong odds, superior form, and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWDWW) with 3 clean sheets, while Santos has only 1 win in 5 (DLWLW) and poor defense.

Key Factors: Palmeiras leads the league with 32 points, Santos is 17th with 14 points. H2H favors Palmeiras (6 wins in last 10). Santos has 2 doubtful players.

Conclusion: Palmeiras' strong defense and Santos' struggles make a home win highly likely.

Statistical ContextPalmeiras

Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PalmeirasSantos
70%Strength29%
43%Attacking Potential57%
80%Defensive Potential20%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
78%Goals H2H22%
70%Wins the Game29%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PalmeirasInjuries · Santos

Statistical Context

Palmeiras

WWDDD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Sao Paulo2-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · LDU de Quito1-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Botafogo0-0
  • DSep 3, 26A · Santos0-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · Mirassol1-1

Santos

WLWDW
  • WSep 13, 26H · Cruzeiro2-1
  • LSep 9, 26A · Atletico-MG2-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Internacional2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Palmeiras0-0
  • WAug 30, 26A · Corinthians0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Flamengo27+3157WWWWL
2Palmeiras27+2656WDDWL
3Atletico Paranaense27+1046DLDWD
9RB Bragantino26+336DLLWD
10Santos26035WWWDW
11Sao Paulo26+133LWWLD

Head to Head

6
Palmeiras
1
Draws
3
Santos
  • Aug 27, 26Palmeiras – Santos3-0
  • May 2, 26Palmeiras – Santos1-1
  • Jan 14, 26Palmeiras – Santos1-0
  • Nov 16, 25Santos – Palmeiras1-0
  • Nov 7, 25Palmeiras – Santos2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

PalmeirasSantos
Played2625
Goals Scored4537
Goals Conceded2138
Avg Scored1.71.5
Avg Conceded0.81.5
Clean Sheets106

Palmeiras vs Santos — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Palmeiras's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Santos, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Palmeiras is predicted to win based on strong odds, superior form, and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Palmeiras is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWDWW) with 3 clean sheets, while Santos has only 1 win in 5 (DLWLW) and poor defense.

Key Factors: Palmeiras leads the league with 32 points, Santos is 17th with 14 points. H2H favors Palmeiras (6 wins in last 10). Santos has 2 doubtful players.

Conclusion: Palmeiras' strong defense and Santos' struggles make a home win highly likely.

Win Probabilities: Palmeiras: 57% · Draw: 30% · Santos: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Palmeiras wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Santos wins: 3

Form (latest first): Palmeiras: WWDDD · Santos: WLWDW

  • Palmeiras defense vs Santos attack: Palmeiras' strong defense (80% rating) faces Santos' decent attack (57% rating).
  • Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so midfield battle will be crucial for possession and transitions.
  • Set pieces: Palmeiras' height and organization could be decisive against Santos' shaky defense.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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