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  1. Home
  2. Liga Pro
  3. Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte

Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte

Result • Liga Pro·Mushuc Runa SC·Leones del Norte

Liga Pro
Liga Pro
Sep 8, 2026
00:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Mushuc Runa SC

Mushuc Runa SC

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.10
X3.25
23.50
Stadium
Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa
medium Confidence
DRAW
Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

Away
Odds
12.10
X3.25
23.50
Stadium
Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa
Win Probabilities
45%
Mushuc Runa SC
28%
Draw
27%
Leones del Norte
Home2.1045%
Draw3.2528%
Away3.5027%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Mushuc Runa SC are favoured at 48%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga Pro fixture between Mushuc Runa SC and Leones del Norte using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Mushuc Runa SC a 45% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Leones del Norte a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 47%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 47%

Match Events

  1. 7'
    Goal: Cristhian SolanoLeones del Norte
    Goal: Cristhian Solano
  2. VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedAlex Ibarra
    20'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedMushuc Runa SC · Alex Ibarra
  3. 21'
    Yellow Card: Patricio MaderoLeones del Norte
    Yellow Card: Patricio Madero
  4. Penalty: Alex Ibarra (Penalty)
    22'
    Penalty: Alex Ibarra (Penalty)Mushuc Runa SC
  5. 31'
    Yellow Card: Miguel Yordan Caicedo OrobioLeones del Norte
    Yellow Card: Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio
  6. 45'
    Substitution: Segundo PortocarreroLeones del Norte · Out: Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio
    Substitution: Segundo PortocarreroOut: Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio
  7. 64'
    Substitution: Thomas AmiliviaLeones del Norte · Out: Elian Pepinos
    Substitution: Thomas AmiliviaOut: Elian Pepinos
  8. 64'
    Substitution: A AguasLeones del Norte · Out: Dario Pazmino
    Substitution: A AguasOut: Dario Pazmino
  9. Substitution: Elian CaicedoOut: Nazareno Bazán
    73'
    Substitution: Elian CaicedoMushuc Runa SC · Out: Nazareno Bazán
  10. Substitution: Bryan CorozoOut: Miguel Perea
    73'
    Substitution: Bryan CorozoMushuc Runa SC · Out: Miguel Perea
  11. Substitution: Freddy MinaOut: Tomson Minda
    73'
    Substitution: Freddy MinaMushuc Runa SC · Out: Tomson Minda
  12. 74'
    Substitution: O. CabezaLeones del Norte · Out: T. Coppo
    Substitution: O. CabezaOut: T. Coppo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Mushuc Runa SCInjuries · Leones del NorteLive scores →

Statistical Context

Mushuc Runa SC

DL
  • DSep 20, 26A · Deportivo Cuenca1-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Guayaquil City FC3-1

Leones del Norte

DL
  • DSep 19, 26A · Guayaquil City FC1-1
  • LSep 13, 26H · Tecnico Universitario0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Libertad30-141WLWDL
8Leones del Norte30-139DLDWL
9Guayaquil City FC30-339DWLLW
10Mushuc Runa SC30-338DLDDW
11Emelec30-936LLWDW

Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte — Match Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC are favoured at 48%; our projected score is 1-0.

Mushuc Runa SC host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Tuesday, 8 September 2026. Our model makes Mushuc Runa SC the favourite at 48%, with the draw at 27% and Leones del Norte at 25%.

Form and league position

Mushuc Runa SC sit 9th of 16 with 37 points from 28 games (33 scored, 34 conceded), recent form D-W-D-D-W. Leones del Norte sit 8th of 16 with 38 points from 28 games (30 scored, 30 conceded), recent form W-L-L-W-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.0, about 2.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Mushuc Runa SC at 1.99, the draw at 3.20 and Leones del Norte at 3.75; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Mushuc Runa SC to win (48%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Mushuc Runa SC: 45% · Draw: 28% · Leones del Norte: 27%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (11.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 47%

Form (latest first): Mushuc Runa SC: DL · Leones del Norte: DL

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Liga Pro

Liga Pro

Ecuador15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga ProEcuador
Delfin SC
Oct 1120:00
Mushuc Runa SC
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Liga ProEcuador
Independiente del Valle
Oct 1120:00
Aucas
11.4171%
X6.6715%
27.1414%
Liga ProEcuador
Universidad Catolica
Oct 1120:00
Macara
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Liga ProEcuador
LDU de Quito
Oct 1120:00
Barcelona SC
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Guayaquil City FC
Oct 1120:00
Emelec
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Liga ProEcuador
Manta FC
Oct 1120:00
Tecnico Universitario
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Liga ProEcuador
Orense SC
Oct 1120:00
Deportivo Cuenca
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Liga ProEcuador
Libertad
Oct 1120:00
Leones del Norte
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Liga ProEcuador
Delfin SC
Oct 1820:00
Manta FC
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Liga ProEcuador
Barcelona SC
Oct 1820:00
Universidad Catolica
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Liga ProEcuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Oct 1820:00
Tecnico Universitario
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Macara
Oct 1820:00
Independiente del Valle
13.8526%
X4.7621%
21.8953%
Liga ProEcuador
Aucas
Oct 1820:00
LDU de Quito
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Mushuc Runa SC
Oct 1820:00
Orense SC
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Liga ProEcuador
Libertad
Oct 1820:00
Guayaquil City FC
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%

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