Spezia host Livorno in the Serie C Girone B on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes Spezia the favourite at 46%, with the draw at 24% and Livorno at 30%.
Form and league position
Spezia sit 4th of 20 with 7 points from 3 games (4 scored, 2 conceded), recent form W-L-D-D-W. Livorno sit 5th of 20 with 7 points from 3 games (3 scored, 1 conceded).
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.9–0.8, about 1.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 33%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
The market has not priced this fixture yet. Until odds arrive the probabilities come from the team-strength model and are re-anchored automatically once bookmakers open the match.
Prediction
Spezia to win (46%), most likely score 1-0.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
