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  1. Home
  2. Liga Profesional
  3. Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia

Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia

Result • Liga Profesional·Estudiantes L.P.·Defensa Y Justicia

Liga Profesional
Liga Profesional
Aug 1, 2026
21:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Estudiantes L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.64
X3.45
25.90
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
medium Confidence
Defensa Y Justicia

Defensa Y Justicia

Away
Odds
11.64
X3.45
25.90
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Win Probabilities
54%
Estudiantes L.P.
32%
Draw
14%
Defensa Y Justicia
Home1.6454%
Draw3.4532%
Away5.9014%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Estudiantes L.P. are strong favourites to win, backed by a 56% probability and a stark form contrast: they have won two in a row while Defensa Y Justicia have lost four of their last five. The main risk is that Defensa's individual quality, especially A. Molinas, could spark an upset if Estudiantes are complacent.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga Profesional fixture between Estudiantes L.P. and Defensa Y Justicia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Estudiantes L.P. a 54% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Defensa Y Justicia a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1T. Palacios vs Defensa's central defence: Palacios' movement and finishing will test a backline that has conceded heavily.
2Estudiantes' midfield trio vs A. Molinas: Molinas is the visitors' main creative threat; shutting him down is key.
3L. González vs Defensa's full-backs: González's runs from deep could exploit space left by advanced full-backs.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Estudiantes L.P.

  • Solid defense with 86% defensive rating
  • Strong home record (5W-1D-3L)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Relatively low average goals scored (1.0 per game)

Defensa Y Justicia

  • Individual quality of A. Molinas (3 goals, 4 assists)
  • Even head-to-head record (4 wins each in last 10)
  • Terrible recent form: 4 losses in last 5
  • Defensive fragility: 2.8 goals conceded per game

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
45%
50%
Estudiantes L.P.503912

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Estudiantes L.P. are clear favourites to win this Liga Profesional clash against Defensa Y Justicia, based on overwhelming form and defensive solidity.

Form Analysis: Estudiantes arrive on a two-match winning streak (LWDWW), having kept two clean sheets in their last five and conceding only 0.6 goals per game. In stark contrast, Defensa Y Justicia are winless in five (DLLL), with a porous defence that has shipped 2.8 goals per match and no clean sheets in that span.

Key Factors: The home side's defensive strength (86% in the comparison) versus the visitors' attacking struggles (44%) is a decisive mismatch. Additionally, Estudiantes have a strong home record (5W-1D-3L) and the psychological edge of playing at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. Defensa's poor run and lack of clean sheets make an away upset highly unlikely.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Estudiantes' form, defensive record, and home advantage should prove too much for a struggling Defensa side.

Statistical ContextEstudiantes L.P.

Double chance : Estudiantes L.P. or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia
65%Strength34%
56%Attacking Potential44%
86%Defensive Potential14%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
65%Wins the Game34%

Statistical Context

Estudiantes L.P.

DLWWD
  • DAug 31, 26H · Newells Old Boys0-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Sarmiento Junin2-0
  • WAug 19, 26A · U. Catolica0-3
  • WAug 15, 26H · Gimnasia L.P.4-0
  • DAug 12, 26H · U. Catolica1-1

Defensa Y Justicia

WWDWW
  • WAug 31, 26H · Platense1-0
  • WAug 23, 26A · Belgrano Cordoba1-2
  • DAug 17, 26A · Velez Sarsfield1-1
  • WAug 9, 26H · Newells Old Boys2-1
  • WJul 29, 26H · Deportivo Riestra2-1

Head to Head

4
Estudiantes L.P.
2
Draws
4
Defensa Y Justicia
  • Feb 2, 26Defensa Y Justicia – Estudiantes L.P.0-0
  • Sep 22, 25Estudiantes L.P. – Defensa Y Justicia1-0
  • Mar 9, 25Defensa Y Justicia – Estudiantes L.P.1-0
  • Sep 28, 24Estudiantes L.P. – Defensa Y Justicia1-0
  • Mar 29, 24Defensa Y Justicia – Estudiantes L.P.1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia
Played2322
Goals Scored2626
Goals Conceded1529
Avg Scored1.11.2
Avg Conceded0.71.3
Clean Sheets115

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia
Over 2.5 Goals2/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Estudiantes L.P.

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 12GR. Borzone
  2. 13DG. Benedetti
  3. 26DR. Funes Mori
  4. 14DL. González
  5. 40DE. Mancuso
  6. 32MM. Amondarain
  7. 22MA. Castro
  8. 11MF. Farías
  9. 28AB. Aguirre
  10. 27AL. Alario
  11. 17AJ. Burgos

Coach: E. Domínguez

Defensa Y Justicia

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 36GL. Amadé
  2. 6DE. Amor
  3. 29DD. Fernández
  4. 28DV. Loza
  5. 2DE. Lucero
  6. 16MA. Portillo
  7. 23MMateo Aguiar
  8. 44MJonas Cabrera Maximo
  9. 17MA. Hausch
  10. 5MJ. López
  11. 43AE. Cantero

Coach: P. de Muner

Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia — Match Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. are strong favourites to win, backed by a 56% probability and a stark form contrast: they have won two in a row while Defensa Y Justicia have lost four of their last five. The main risk is that Defensa's individual quality, especially A. Molinas, could spark an upset if Estudiantes are complacent.

Estudiantes L.P. are clear favourites to win this Liga Profesional clash against Defensa Y Justicia, based on overwhelming form and defensive solidity.

Form Analysis: Estudiantes arrive on a two-match winning streak (LWDWW), having kept two clean sheets in their last five and conceding only 0.6 goals per game. In stark contrast, Defensa Y Justicia are winless in five (DLLL), with a porous defence that has shipped 2.8 goals per match and no clean sheets in that span.

Key Factors: The home side's defensive strength (86% in the comparison) versus the visitors' attacking struggles (44%) is a decisive mismatch. Additionally, Estudiantes have a strong home record (5W-1D-3L) and the psychological edge of playing at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. Defensa's poor run and lack of clean sheets make an away upset highly unlikely.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Estudiantes' form, defensive record, and home advantage should prove too much for a struggling Defensa side.

Win Probabilities: Estudiantes L.P.: 54% · Draw: 32% · Defensa Y Justicia: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Estudiantes L.P. wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Defensa Y Justicia wins: 4

Form (latest first): Estudiantes L.P.: DLWWD · Defensa Y Justicia: WWDWW

  • T. Palacios vs Defensa's central defence: Palacios' movement and finishing will test a backline that has conceded heavily.
  • Estudiantes' midfield trio vs A. Molinas: Molinas is the visitors' main creative threat; shutting him down is key.
  • L. González vs Defensa's full-backs: González's runs from deep could exploit space left by advanced full-backs.

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Liga Profesional

Liga Profesional

Argentina15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Sep 419:45
Sarmiento Junin
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Belgrano Cordoba
Sep 422:00
Huracan
12.0848%
X2.9434%
25.5618%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Platense
Sep 422:00
Deportivo Riestra
13.0333%
X2.8635%
23.1332%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Aldosivi
Sep 516:30
Banfield
12.8635%
X3.1332%
23.0333%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Gimnasia L.P.
Sep 517:30
Tigre
12.5639%
X3.1332%
23.4529%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Gimnasia M.
Sep 519:30
Boca Juniors
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
San Lorenzo
Sep 522:00
Talleres Cordoba
12.5040%
X2.9434%
23.8526%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Velez Sarsfield
Sep 600:15
Estudiantes L.P.
12.4441%
X2.7836%
24.3523%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Rosario Central
Sep 617:45
Newells Old Boys
11.8953%
X3.1332%
26.6715%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Lanus
Sep 620:00
Defensa Y Justicia
12.5040%
X2.9434%
23.8526%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Sep 620:00
Independiente
15.0020%
X3.1332%
22.0848%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
River Plate
Sep 622:15
Independ. Rivadavia
12.2744%
X3.1332%
24.1724%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Racing Club
Sep 700:30
Atletico Tucuman
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Barracas Central
Sep 722:00
Argentinos JRS
15.0020%
X2.9434%
22.1746%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Union Santa Fe
Sep 800:15
Instituto Cordoba
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%