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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière

St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière

Result • Jupiler Pro League·St. Truiden·RAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
WINNER
St. Truiden

St. Truiden

Home
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.65
X3.80
25.00
Stadium
Stayen
high Confidence
RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière

Away
Odds
11.65
X3.80
25.00
Stadium
Stayen
Win Probabilities
55%
St. Truiden
28%
Draw
17%
RAAL La Louvière
Home1.6555%
Draw3.8028%
Away5.0017%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

St. Truiden are clear favourites given their superior form, league position, and perfect head-to-head record against a struggling RAAL La Louvière side that have lost four of their last five. The main risk is that St. Truiden's own scoring has been modest, so a low-scoring upset cannot be entirely ruled out.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns St. Truiden a 55% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and RAAL La Louvière a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    Yellow Card: Mustapha Isah UbandomaRAAL La Louvière
    Yellow Card: Mustapha Isah Ubandoma
  2. Yellow Card: Ilias Sebaoui
    13'
    Yellow Card: Ilias SebaouiSt. Truiden
  3. Goal: Ryan MerlenAssist: Kaito Matsuzawa
    41'
    Goal: Ryan MerlenSt. Truiden · Assist: Kaito Matsuzawa
  4. Substitution: Wolke JanssensOut: Shogo Taniguchi
    45'
    Substitution: Wolke JanssensSt. Truiden · Out: Shogo Taniguchi
  5. Goal: Robert-Jan VanwesemaelAssist: Ryan Merlen
    54'
    Goal: Robert-Jan VanwesemaelSt. Truiden · Assist: Ryan Merlen
  6. 59'
    Substitution: Nolan GillotRAAL La Louvière · Out: Thierry Lutonda
    Substitution: Nolan GillotOut: Thierry Lutonda
  7. 60'
    Substitution: Anas TajaouartRAAL La Louvière · Out: Elias Filet
    Substitution: Anas TajaouartOut: Elias Filet
  8. 61'
    Yellow Card: Shaquil DelosRAAL La Louvière
    Yellow Card: Shaquil Delos
  9. Goal: Samed BaždarAssist: Abdoulaye Sissako
    73'
    Goal: Samed BaždarSt. Truiden · Assist: Abdoulaye Sissako
  10. Substitution: Nelson IshiwatariOut: Ryotaro Araki
    74'
    Substitution: Nelson IshiwatariSt. Truiden · Out: Ryotaro Araki
  11. 74'
    Substitution: Léandro RousseauRAAL La Louvière · Out: Mustapha Isah Ubandoma
    Substitution: Léandro RousseauOut: Mustapha Isah Ubandoma
  12. Substitution: Joedrick PupeOut: Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
    74'
    Substitution: Joedrick PupeSt. Truiden · Out: Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
  13. 74'
    Substitution: Matyas KovacsRAAL La Louvière · Out: Shaquil Delos
    Substitution: Matyas KovacsOut: Shaquil Delos
  14. Goal: Samed BaždarAssist: Abdoulaye Sissako
    78'
    Goal: Samed BaždarSt. Truiden · Assist: Abdoulaye Sissako
  15. Substitution: Nathanael MbukuOut: Ilias Sebaoui
    80'
    Substitution: Nathanael MbukuSt. Truiden · Out: Ilias Sebaoui
  16. Substitution: Oumar DioufOut: Samed Baždar
    84'
    Substitution: Oumar DioufSt. Truiden · Out: Samed Baždar
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. Baždar vs W. Faye: Baždar's movement and finishing will test Faye's defensive positioning, and winning this duel could unlock the away defence.
2O. Diouf vs P. Nkoa: Diouf's pace on the wing will challenge Nkoa's recovery speed, potentially creating chances for St. Truiden.
3R. Araki vs M. Courcoul: Araki's creativity in midfield will be key to breaking down La Louvière's block, and Courcoul's discipline will be vital in limiting his influence.
Strengths · Weaknesses

St. Truiden

  • Solid recent form with only one defeat in five
  • Strong home advantage at Daio Wasabi Stayen
  • Inconsistent scoring, with only four goals in last five
  • Susceptible to conceding, having let in eight in last five

RAAL La Louvière

  • Able to score in three of their last five matches
  • Have a clean sheet in that period
  • Winless in their last five matches, losing four
  • Poor defensive record, conceding eight goals in five games

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
55%
API-Football
50%
53%
St. Truiden52399

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (53%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

St. Truiden enter this match as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a stronger recent run, and a perfect head-to-head record against RAAL La Louvière. The home side sit 11th with five points and a positive goal difference, while the visitors languish in 15th with just one point and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: St. Truiden have shown resilience with a mixed but respectable LWDD record, while RAAL La Louvière are in a dire spell, having lost four of their last five matches (DLLL). The away side have failed to score in two of those games and have conceded eight goals in that period, averaging 1.6 goals against per match. St. Truiden, by contrast, have kept a clean sheet in one of their last five and have a more balanced scoring record.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the visitors' poor form and lack of confidence, compounded by their inability to find the net regularly. Additionally, St. Truiden have won both of the last two meetings between the sides, giving them a psychological edge. The home advantage at Daio Wasabi Stayen further tilts the balance in their favour.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a home victory. St. Truiden's superior form, league standing, and historical dominance make them the clear favourites. RAAL La Louvière's struggles suggest they will find it difficult to turn their season around here, and a comfortable home win is the most probable outcome.

Statistical ContextSt. Truiden

Double chance : St. Truiden or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
St. TruidenRAAL La Louvière
71%Strength29%
67%Attacking Potential33%
62%Defensive Potential38%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
67%Goals H2H33%
71%Wins the Game29%
Head-to-head →Injuries · St. TruidenInjuries · RAAL La LouvièreLive scores →

Statistical Context

St. Truiden

LLLWL
  • LSep 20, 26H · KVC Westerlo0-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · SK Beveren2-0
  • LSep 2, 26H · Union St. Gilloise0-3
  • WAug 30, 26A · Antwerp1-4
  • LAug 27, 26A · Omonia Nicosia4-2

RAAL La Louvière

LWDLL
  • LSep 19, 26A · OH Leuven2-0
  • WSep 13, 26H · Kortrijk3-0
  • DAug 29, 26H · KV Mechelen2-2
  • LAug 21, 26A · Standard Liege2-0
  • LAug 16, 26H · Gent1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Genk7+19LDDWD
11St. Truiden708LLWLW
12Lommel United7-28DLLWW
13Antwerp7-47LLLLD
14RAAL La Louvière7-74LWLDL
15OH Leuven7-84WDLLL

Head to Head

2
St. Truiden
0
Draws
0
RAAL La Louvière
  • Jan 24, 26RAAL La Louvière – St. Truiden1-2
  • Aug 17, 25St. Truiden – RAAL La Louvière2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

St. TruidenRAAL La Louvière
Played77
Goals Scored127
Goals Conceded1214
Avg Scored1.71.0
Avg Conceded1.72.0
Clean Sheets11

St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière — Match Analysis

St. Truiden are clear favourites given their superior form, league position, and perfect head-to-head record against a struggling RAAL La Louvière side that have lost four of their last five. The main risk is that St. Truiden's own scoring has been modest, so a low-scoring upset cannot be entirely ruled out.

St. Truiden enter this match as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a stronger recent run, and a perfect head-to-head record against RAAL La Louvière. The home side sit 11th with five points and a positive goal difference, while the visitors languish in 15th with just one point and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: St. Truiden have shown resilience with a mixed but respectable LWDD record, while RAAL La Louvière are in a dire spell, having lost four of their last five matches (DLLL). The away side have failed to score in two of those games and have conceded eight goals in that period, averaging 1.6 goals against per match. St. Truiden, by contrast, have kept a clean sheet in one of their last five and have a more balanced scoring record.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the visitors' poor form and lack of confidence, compounded by their inability to find the net regularly. Additionally, St. Truiden have won both of the last two meetings between the sides, giving them a psychological edge. The home advantage at Daio Wasabi Stayen further tilts the balance in their favour.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a home victory. St. Truiden's superior form, league standing, and historical dominance make them the clear favourites. RAAL La Louvière's struggles suggest they will find it difficult to turn their season around here, and a comfortable home win is the most probable outcome.

Win Probabilities: St. Truiden: 55% · Draw: 28% · RAAL La Louvière: 17%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 53% · Under 2.5: 47% · BTTS: 56%

H2H: St. Truiden wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · RAAL La Louvière wins: 0

Form (latest first): St. Truiden: LLLWL · RAAL La Louvière: LWDLL

  • S. Baždar vs W. Faye: Baždar's movement and finishing will test Faye's defensive positioning, and winning this duel could unlock the away defence.
  • O. Diouf vs P. Nkoa: Diouf's pace on the wing will challenge Nkoa's recovery speed, potentially creating chances for St. Truiden.
  • R. Araki vs M. Courcoul: Araki's creativity in midfield will be key to breaking down La Louvière's block, and Courcoul's discipline will be vital in limiting his influence.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
SK Beveren
Oct 918:45
Lommel United
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Oct 1014:00
Anderlecht
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 1016:15
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Oct 1018:45
Gent
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 1018:45
Kortrijk
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Oct 1111:30
Charleroi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Union St. Gilloise
Oct 1114:00
OH Leuven
Early projection
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Oct 1116:30
Antwerp
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KV Mechelen
Oct 1117:15
St. Truiden
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Oct 2318:45
KV Mechelen
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Oct 2414:00
Charleroi
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.6715%
21.3972%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
OH Leuven
Oct 2416:15
Lommel United
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Oct 2418:45
SK Beveren
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 2418:45
Zulte Waregem
Early projection
14.5522%
X4.7621%
21.7557%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 2512:30
Standard Liege
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%

Betting Tips

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