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  1. Home
  2. First League
  3. CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali

Result • First League·CSKA Sofia·Arda Kardzhali

First League
First League
Sep 12, 2026
18:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.80
X3.20
24.00
Stadium
National Stadium Vasil Levski
medium Confidence
Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali

Away
Odds
11.80
X3.20
24.00
Stadium
National Stadium Vasil Levski
Win Probabilities
52%
CSKA Sofia
26%
Draw
22%
Arda Kardzhali
Home1.8052%
Draw3.2026%
Away4.0022%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

CSKA Sofia are favoured at 58%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this First League fixture between CSKA Sofia and Arda Kardzhali using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns CSKA Sofia a 52% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Arda Kardzhali a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    Goal: Birsent KaragarenArda Kardzhali
    Goal: Birsent Karagaren
  2. 34'
    Yellow Card: Dominik YankovArda Kardzhali
    Yellow Card: Dominik Yankov
  3. Penalty: Stefano Sensi (Penalty)
    41'
    Penalty: Stefano Sensi (Penalty)CSKA Sofia
  4. 42'
    Yellow Card: Vyacheslav VelevArda Kardzhali
    Yellow Card: Vyacheslav Velev
  5. Yellow Card: Jean-Philippe Gbamin
    45'
    Yellow Card: Jean-Philippe GbaminCSKA Sofia
  6. Substitution: Leonardo Augusto dos Santos PereiraOut: Cătălin Itu
    46'
    Substitution: Leonardo Augusto dos Santos PereiraCSKA Sofia · Out: Cătălin Itu
  7. 46'
    Substitution: Adama Ardile TraoreArda Kardzhali · Out: Dominik Yankov
    Substitution: Adama Ardile TraoreOut: Dominik Yankov
  8. Goal: Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira
    48'
    Goal: Leonardo Augusto dos Santos PereiraCSKA Sofia
  9. Goal: Joel·Zwarts
    53'
    Goal: Joel·ZwartsCSKA Sofia
  10. Substitution: petko panayotovOut: Stefano Sensi
    66'
    Substitution: petko panayotovCSKA Sofia · Out: Stefano Sensi
  11. Substitution: mohamed brahimiOut: James Eto'o
    66'
    Substitution: mohamed brahimiCSKA Sofia · Out: James Eto'o
  12. 66'
    Substitution: Atanas KabovArda Kardzhali · Out: Birsent Karagaren
    Substitution: Atanas KabovOut: Birsent Karagaren
  13. 66'
    Substitution: Preslav·BachevArda Kardzhali · Out: Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov
    Substitution: Preslav·BachevOut: Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov
  14. Substitution: Santiago GodoyOut: Joel·Zwarts
    71'
    Substitution: Santiago GodoyCSKA Sofia · Out: Joel·Zwarts
  15. Penalty: Ioannis Pittas (Penalty)
    72'
    Penalty: Ioannis Pittas (Penalty)CSKA Sofia
  16. Substitution: Barry CotterOut: David Samuel Custódio Lima
    82'
    Substitution: Barry CotterCSKA Sofia · Out: David Samuel Custódio Lima
  17. 85'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardArda Kardzhali
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
  18. 86'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardArda Kardzhali
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
  19. 89'
    Substitution: Dimitar VelkovskiArda Kardzhali · Out: Viktor Popov
    Substitution: Dimitar VelkovskiOut: Viktor Popov
  20. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardArda Kardzhali
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · CSKA SofiaInjuries · Arda KardzhaliLive scores →

Statistical Context

CSKA Sofia

DLWDW
  • DOct 22, 26A · FC Nordsjaelland2-2
  • LOct 15, 26H · Monaco1-2
  • WOct 11, 26A · CSKA 19482-3
  • DSep 20, 26A · Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1
  • WSep 16, 26A · Lokomotiv Sofia0-2

Arda Kardzhali

LD
  • LOct 12, 26A · Ludogorets5-0
  • DSep 19, 26H · Cherno More Varna1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Levski Sofia10+1928WDWWW
2CSKA Sofia11+1827WDWWD
3Ludogorets10+1426WWWDD
4CSKA 194812+1225WLWWL
5Botev Plovdiv12-119LWWWW
6Arda Kardzhali11-217LDLLW
7Spartak Varna12-613LWLDD

Season Statistics — 2026

CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
Played1—
Goals Scored1—
Goals Conceded2—
Avg Scored1.0—
Avg Conceded2.0—
Clean Sheets0—

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali — Match Analysis

CSKA Sofia are favoured at 58%; our projected score is 2-1.

CSKA Sofia host Arda Kardzhali in the First League on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 58%, with the draw at 26% and Arda Kardzhali at 16%.

Form and league position

CSKA Sofia sit 3rd of 14 with 17 points from 7 games (17 scored, 5 conceded), recent form W-L-L-L-D. Arda Kardzhali sit 5th of 14 with 16 points from 8 games (13 scored, 7 conceded), recent form L-W-W-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.2, about 2.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price CSKA Sofia at 1.72, the draw at 3.05 and Arda Kardzhali at 5.80; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

CSKA Sofia to win (58%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: CSKA Sofia: 52% · Draw: 26% · Arda Kardzhali: 22%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (9.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 54% · Under 2.5: 46% · BTTS: 58%

Form (latest first): CSKA Sofia: DLWDW · Arda Kardzhali: LD

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First League

First League

Bulgaria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Oct 2615:00
Slavia Sofia
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA Sofia
Oct 2617:30
Ludogorets
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Oct 2715:00
Septemvri Sofia
11.8953%
X3.8526%
24.7621%
First LeagueBulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Oct 2717:30
Levski Sofia
15.2619%
X4.1724%
21.7557%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Oct 3116:00
CSKA 1948
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Oct 3116:00
Dunav Ruse
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Oct 3116:00
CSKA Sofia
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Oct 3116:00
Cherno More Varna
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Oct 3116:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Oct 3116:00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Oct 3116:00
Arda Kardzhali
13.3330%
X4.3523%
22.1347%
First LeagueBulgaria
Dunav Ruse
Nov 716:00
Levski Sofia
114.297%
X8.3312%
21.2381%
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Nov 716:00
Botev Vratsa
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA Sofia
Nov 716:00
Slavia Sofia
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Nov 716:00
Ludogorets
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%

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