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  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC

Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC

Result • Primera División·Deportivo La Guaira·Estudiantes de Merida FC

Primera División
Primera División
Aug 30, 2026
23:30
high Confidence
Deportivo La Guaira

Deportivo La Guaira

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.45
X3.75
26.75
Stadium
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
high Confidence
WINNER
Estudiantes de Merida FC

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Away
Odds
11.45
X3.75
26.75
Stadium
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Win Probabilities
64%
Deportivo La Guaira
25%
Draw
11%
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Home1.4564%
Draw3.7525%
Away6.7511%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Deportivo La Guaira are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is their recent inability to keep clean sheets, which could allow the visitors a consolation goal.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Deportivo La Guaira and Estudiantes de Merida FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Deportivo La Guaira a 64% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Estudiantes de Merida FC a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Sanchez vs E. Roberts: The home goalkeeper's shot-stopping will be tested against the visitors' attacking efforts, while Roberts will need to be alert to deny La Guaira's forwards.
2N. Hernández vs H. Acosta: The home defender's ability to contain Acosta's runs could be crucial in preventing away goals.
3R. Ibarra vs L. Caicedo: The midfield duel between Ibarra's creativity and Caicedo's defensive work rate will influence the flow of the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Deportivo La Guaira

  • Top of the league with a +9 goal difference
  • Three-match winning streak and high scoring average (3.0 goals per game)
  • No clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game recently

Estudiantes de Merida FC

  • Two clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Decent defensive record in recent games
  • Inconsistent form with only one win in five
  • Negative goal difference overall (-1)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Deportivo La Guaira543511

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Deportivo La Guaira enter this clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong recent run, and a dominant head-to-head record against Estudiantes de Merida FC. The home side sit top of the table with 12 points and a +9 goal difference, while the visitors are sixth with 8 points and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: Deportivo La Guaira have won three consecutive matches and five of their last six, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their attacking output is formidable, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings. Estudiantes de Merida FC have been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five, and they have conceded 32 goals overall compared to 28 scored. Their defensive record is slightly better in recent matches (two clean sheets), but they lack the momentum of their hosts.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Deportivo La Guaira, who have won six of the last ten meetings. Home advantage also plays a role, as they have lost only two of eleven home games this season. The visitors' away form is not specified, but their overall inconsistency and lower league standing suggest they will struggle against the league leaders.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Deportivo La Guaira's superior form, attacking strength, and historical dominance make them the clear favourites. Estudiantes de Merida FC will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Statistical ContextDeportivo La Guaira

Winner : Deportivo La Guaira

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Deportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FC
65%Strength34%
75%Attacking Potential25%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
75%Goals H2H25%
65%Wins the Game34%

Statistical Context

Deportivo La Guaira

WWWLW
  • WAug 22, 26A · Rayo Zuliano1-4
  • WAug 16, 26H · Zamora FC6-1
  • WAug 10, 26A · Caracas FC1-2
  • LAug 5, 26H · Metropolitanos FC1-2
  • WAug 1, 26A · Monagas SC1-2

Estudiantes de Merida FC

DWLWD
  • DAug 22, 26H · Puerto Cabello1-1
  • WAug 15, 26H · Anzoátegui FC1-0
  • LAug 10, 26A · Rayo Zuliano3-0
  • WAug 6, 26H · Zamora FC1-0
  • DAug 3, 26A · Caracas FC2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Deportivo La Guaira5+912WWWLW
2Deportivo Tachira FC5+512LWWWW
3Metropolitanos FC5+412WLWWW
4Puerto Cabello5+410DWWWL
5Portuguesa FC5+210DWWLW
6Estudiantes de Merida FC5-18DWLWD
7Carabobo FC5+17DWLWL

Head to Head

6
Deportivo La Guaira
2
Draws
2
Estudiantes de Merida FC
  • Mar 6, 26Estudiantes de Merida FC – Deportivo La Guaira0-1
  • Aug 24, 25Estudiantes de Merida FC – Deportivo La Guaira1-2
  • Mar 16, 25Deportivo La Guaira – Estudiantes de Merida FC2-1
  • Nov 14, 24Deportivo La Guaira – Estudiantes de Merida FC3-1
  • Oct 30, 24Estudiantes de Merida FC – Deportivo La Guaira0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Deportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FC
Played2424
Goals Scored3528
Goals Conceded1732
Avg Scored1.51.2
Avg Conceded0.71.3
Clean Sheets114

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Deportivo La Guaira

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 12GJ. Sanchez
  2. 33DN. Hernández
  3. 13DR. Ibarra
  4. 39DM. Orihuela
  5. 24DG. Ortiz
  6. 10MJ. Castellanos
  7. 27MJ. Correa
  8. 14MC. Da Silva
  9. 11AJ. Gonzalez
  10. 36AF. Londoño
  11. 9AA. Uribe

Coach: J. Tolisano

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 12GE. Roberts
  2. 25DH. Acosta
  3. 44DL. Caicedo
  4. 2DJ. Gutierez
  5. 13DM. Maldonado
  6. 7ME. Albarran
  7. 23MY. Lacruz
  8. 16MJ. Lobo
  9. 77AC. Caicedo
  10. 9AJ. Hernández
  11. 14AR. Ivey

Coach: F. Moreno

Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC — Match Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira are clear favourites, backed by their top-of-the-table form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is their recent inability to keep clean sheets, which could allow the visitors a consolation goal.

Deportivo La Guaira enter this clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong recent run, and a dominant head-to-head record against Estudiantes de Merida FC. The home side sit top of the table with 12 points and a +9 goal difference, while the visitors are sixth with 8 points and a negative goal difference.

Form Analysis: Deportivo La Guaira have won three consecutive matches and five of their last six, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their attacking output is formidable, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings. Estudiantes de Merida FC have been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five, and they have conceded 32 goals overall compared to 28 scored. Their defensive record is slightly better in recent matches (two clean sheets), but they lack the momentum of their hosts.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Deportivo La Guaira, who have won six of the last ten meetings. Home advantage also plays a role, as they have lost only two of eleven home games this season. The visitors' away form is not specified, but their overall inconsistency and lower league standing suggest they will struggle against the league leaders.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Deportivo La Guaira's superior form, attacking strength, and historical dominance make them the clear favourites. Estudiantes de Merida FC will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Win Probabilities: Deportivo La Guaira: 64% · Draw: 25% · Estudiantes de Merida FC: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 62% · Under 2.5: 38% · BTTS: 63%

H2H: Deportivo La Guaira wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Estudiantes de Merida FC wins: 2

Form (latest first): Deportivo La Guaira: WWWLW · Estudiantes de Merida FC: DWLWD

  • J. Sanchez vs E. Roberts: The home goalkeeper's shot-stopping will be tested against the visitors' attacking efforts, while Roberts will need to be alert to deny La Guaira's forwards.
  • N. Hernández vs H. Acosta: The home defender's ability to contain Acosta's runs could be crucial in preventing away goals.
  • R. Ibarra vs L. Caicedo: The midfield duel between Ibarra's creativity and Caicedo's defensive work rate will influence the flow of the game.

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Primera División

Primera División

Chile15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónChile
UCV
Aug 3122:30
Rayo Zuliano
11.6760%
X3.8526%
27.1414%
Primera DivisiónChile
Puerto Cabello
Aug 3123:30
Anzoátegui FC
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Primera DivisiónChile
Deportivo Tachira FC
Sep 220:00
Rayo Zuliano
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Primera DivisiónChile
Carabobo FC
Sep 220:00
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Primera DivisiónChile
Monagas SC
Sep 220:00
Metropolitanos FC
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
Primera DivisiónChile
Deportivo La Guaira
Sep 220:00
Anzoátegui FC
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Primera DivisiónChile
Portuguesa FC
Sep 220:00
Zamora FC
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Primera DivisiónChile
Trujillanos FC
Sep 220:00
Caracas FC
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Primera DivisiónChile
UCV
Sep 220:00
Puerto Cabello
Early projection
16.2516%
X6.2516%
21.4768%
Primera DivisiónChile
Zamora FC
Sep 620:00
Trujillanos FC
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Primera DivisiónChile
Caracas FC
Sep 620:00
Monagas SC
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Primera DivisiónChile
Deportivo La Guaira
Sep 620:00
UCV
Early projection
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
Primera DivisiónChile
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Sep 620:00
Deportivo Tachira FC
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Primera DivisiónChile
Puerto Cabello
Sep 620:00
Carabobo FC
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Primera DivisiónChile
Rayo Zuliano
Sep 620:00
Portuguesa FC
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%