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  1. Home
  2. Czech Liga
  3. Karviná vs Mlada Boleslav

Karviná vs Mlada Boleslav

Result • Czech Liga·Karviná·Mlada Boleslav

Czech Liga
Czech Liga
Apr 25, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
Karviná

Karviná

Home
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.45
X3.50
22.50
Stadium
Městský stadion (Karviná)
medium Confidence
WINNER
Mlada Boleslav

Mlada Boleslav

Away
Odds
12.45
X3.50
22.50
Stadium
Městský stadion (Karviná)
Win Probabilities
37%
Karviná
28%
Draw
35%
Mlada Boleslav
Home2.4537%
Draw3.5028%
Away2.5035%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Karviná's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Mlada Boleslav, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Czech Liga fixture between Karviná and Mlada Boleslav using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Karviná a 37% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Mlada Boleslav a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: J. Fiala
    12'
    Yellow Card: J. FialaKarviná
  2. Yellow Card: D. Samko
    19'
    Yellow Card: D. SamkoKarviná
  3. 20'
    Goal: M. SevcikMlada Boleslav
    Goal: M. Sevcik
  4. 28'
    Yellow Card: M. SevcikMlada Boleslav
    Yellow Card: M. Sevcik
  5. 40'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideMlada Boleslav · R. Macek
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideR. Macek
  6. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: R. MacekMlada Boleslav
    Yellow Card: R. Macek
  7. Substitution: L. EzehOut: E. Ayaosi
    46'
    Substitution: L. EzehKarviná · Out: E. Ayaosi
  8. Substitution: A. TraoreOut: S. Camara
    46'
    Substitution: A. TraoreKarviná · Out: S. Camara
  9. Substitution: S. BohacOut: J. Chytry
    46'
    Substitution: S. BohacKarviná · Out: J. Chytry
  10. 63'
    Substitution: D. KostkaMlada Boleslav · Out: M. Subert
    Substitution: D. KostkaOut: M. Subert
  11. 63'
    Substitution: J. KolarikMlada Boleslav · Out: S. John
    Substitution: J. KolarikOut: S. John
  12. Substitution: F. KonateOut: Kahuan Vinicius
    64'
    Substitution: F. KonateKarviná · Out: Kahuan Vinicius
  13. 75'
    Goal: C. KabongoMlada Boleslav
    Goal: C. Kabongo
  14. 77'
    Goal: R. MacekMlada Boleslav · Assist: C. Kabongo
    Goal: R. MacekAssist: C. Kabongo
  15. Substitution: J. FleismanOut: F. Prebsl
    78'
    Substitution: J. FleismanKarviná · Out: F. Prebsl
  16. 83'
    Substitution: M. KrulichMlada Boleslav · Out: C. Kabongo
    Substitution: M. KrulichOut: C. Kabongo
  17. 83'
    Substitution: J. ZikaMlada Boleslav · Out: M. Sevcik
    Substitution: J. ZikaOut: M. Sevcik
  18. 83'
    Substitution: D. DonatMlada Boleslav · Out: O. Karafiat
    Substitution: D. DonatOut: O. Karafiat
  19. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: M. KrulichMlada Boleslav
    Yellow Card: M. Krulich
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Gning vs Mlada Boleslav defense: Gning's pace and finishing will test a defense that has kept 2 clean sheets recently.
2M. Vojta vs Karviná defense: Vojta's aerial ability could exploit Karviná's defensive vulnerabilities.
3Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so control of the midfield will be crucial for creating chances.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Karviná

  • Home advantage
  • Higher league position
  • Inconsistent form
  • Poor defense (conceded 1.6 avg)

Mlada Boleslav

  • Strong recent form (unbeaten in 5)
  • Solid defense (0.8 conceded avg)
  • Lower league position
  • Inconsistent scoring (failed to score in 2 of last 5)

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
37%
API-Football
35%
36%
Karviná363233

Moderate agreement on home win (36%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between Karviná and Mlada Boleslav is expected to be a closely contested affair, with both teams having similar chances according to the odds. The predicted outcome is a home win for Karviná, but with low confidence due to balanced probabilities.

Form Analysis: Karviná's recent form (WWLDL) shows inconsistency, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches. They have scored 1.4 goals per game but conceded 1.6, and have kept no clean sheets. Mlada Boleslav's form (DDWWD) is more stable, with 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses. They average 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded, with 2 clean sheets. However, both teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating potential defensive solidity.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history favors Mlada Boleslav with 4 wins in the last 10 meetings, compared to Karviná's 2 wins and 4 draws. However, Karviná's home advantage (rating 0.55) and higher league position (8th vs 12th) provide some edge. The API-Football model predicts a home win with 35% probability and advises a double chance on Karviná or draw. The overall team comparison is nearly even (50.3% home vs 49.7% away), reinforcing the balanced nature of the match.

Conclusion: Given the balanced odds and model predictions, this match is too close to call with high confidence. Karviná's home advantage and slightly better league standing are offset by Mlada Boleslav's superior recent form and head-to-head record. A draw is a strong possibility, but the odds slightly favor a home win. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring affair with both teams scoring.

Statistical ContextKarviná

Double chance : Karviná or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
KarvináMlada Boleslav
50%Strength49%
47%Attacking Potential53%
38%Defensive Potential62%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
58%Goals H2H42%
50%Wins the Game49%
Head-to-head →Injuries · KarvináInjuries · Mlada BoleslavLive scores →

Statistical Context

Karviná

LLWLW
  • LMay 23, 26A · Sigma Olomouc4-0
  • LMay 16, 26H · Sigma Olomouc1-3
  • WMay 10, 26A · Pardubice1-3
  • LMay 2, 26H · Pardubice1-2
  • WApr 18, 26A · Dukla Praha1-2

Mlada Boleslav

WLWWD
  • WSep 19, 26H · Zbrojovka Brno2-0
  • LSep 12, 26A · Slovan Liberec3-0
  • WSep 6, 26H · Baník Ostrava4-0
  • WAug 22, 26H · Slovácko2-1
  • DAug 15, 26A · Pardubice1-1

Head to Head

4
Karviná
4
Draws
2
Mlada Boleslav
  • Oct 25, 25Mlada Boleslav – Karviná2-4
  • Mar 30, 25Karviná – Mlada Boleslav3-1
  • Oct 27, 24Mlada Boleslav – Karviná1-1
  • Dec 13, 23Mlada Boleslav – Karviná2-2
  • Aug 5, 23Karviná – Mlada Boleslav1-2

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

KarvináMlada Boleslav
Played337
Goals Scored4815
Goals Conceded579
Avg Scored1.42.1
Avg Conceded1.71.3
Clean Sheets32

Karviná vs Mlada Boleslav — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Karviná's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Mlada Boleslav, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

The match between Karviná and Mlada Boleslav is expected to be a closely contested affair, with both teams having similar chances according to the odds. The predicted outcome is a home win for Karviná, but with low confidence due to balanced probabilities.

Form Analysis: Karviná's recent form (WWLDL) shows inconsistency, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches. They have scored 1.4 goals per game but conceded 1.6, and have kept no clean sheets. Mlada Boleslav's form (DDWWD) is more stable, with 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses. They average 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded, with 2 clean sheets. However, both teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating potential defensive solidity.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history favors Mlada Boleslav with 4 wins in the last 10 meetings, compared to Karviná's 2 wins and 4 draws. However, Karviná's home advantage (rating 0.55) and higher league position (8th vs 12th) provide some edge. The API-Football model predicts a home win with 35% probability and advises a double chance on Karviná or draw. The overall team comparison is nearly even (50.3% home vs 49.7% away), reinforcing the balanced nature of the match.

Conclusion: Given the balanced odds and model predictions, this match is too close to call with high confidence. Karviná's home advantage and slightly better league standing are offset by Mlada Boleslav's superior recent form and head-to-head record. A draw is a strong possibility, but the odds slightly favor a home win. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring affair with both teams scoring.

Win Probabilities: Karviná: 37% · Draw: 28% · Mlada Boleslav: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Karviná wins: 4 · Draws: 4 · Mlada Boleslav wins: 2

Form (latest first): Karviná: LLWLW · Mlada Boleslav: WLWWD

  • A. Gning vs Mlada Boleslav defense: Gning's pace and finishing will test a defense that has kept 2 clean sheets recently.
  • M. Vojta vs Karviná defense: Vojta's aerial ability could exploit Karviná's defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so control of the midfield will be crucial for creating chances.

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Czech Liga

Czech Liga

Czech Republic15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Zlin
Oct 916:00
Slavia Praha
Early projection
120.005%
X8.3312%
21.2083%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Plzen
Oct 1013:00
Mlada Boleslav
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Hradec Králové
Oct 1013:00
Artis
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
Oct 1013:00
FK Jablonec
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Bohemians 1905
Oct 1016:00
Baník Ostrava
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Slovan Liberec
Oct 1111:00
Slovácko
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Teplice
Oct 1113:00
Sigma Olomouc
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Sparta Praha
Oct 1116:00
Pardubice
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Bohemians 1905
Oct 1416:00
Mlada Boleslav
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Slavia Praha
Oct 1713:00
Hradec Králové
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Mlada Boleslav
Oct 1713:00
Teplice
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
FK Jablonec
Oct 1713:00
Plzen
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Sigma Olomouc
Oct 1713:00
Slovan Liberec
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Baník Ostrava
Oct 1713:00
Sparta Praha
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Slovácko
Oct 1713:00
Zbrojovka Brno
Early projection
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%

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