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  1. Home
  2. Czech Liga
  3. Sparta Praha vs Karviná

Sparta Praha vs Karviná

Result • Czech Liga·Sparta Praha·Karviná

Czech Liga
Czech Liga
Apr 5, 2026
16:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.27
X5.25
28.50
Stadium
epet ARENA
high Confidence
Karviná

Karviná

Away
Odds
11.27
X5.25
28.50
Stadium
epet ARENA
Win Probabilities
66%
Sparta Praha
23%
Draw
11%
Karviná
Home1.2766%
Draw5.2523%
Away8.5011%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Sparta Praha's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Karviná, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Czech Liga fixture between Sparta Praha and Karviná using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sparta Praha a 66% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Karviná a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Yellow Card: A. LabikKarviná
    Yellow Card: A. Labik
  2. Substitution: J. GrimaldoOut: J. Zeleny
    28'
    Substitution: J. GrimaldoSparta Praha · Out: J. Zeleny
  3. Goal: O. SonneAssist: J. Martinec
    43'
    Goal: O. SonneSparta Praha · Assist: J. Martinec
  4. 46'
    Substitution: Kahuan ViniciusKarviná · Out: L. Ezeh
    Substitution: Kahuan ViniciusOut: L. Ezeh
  5. Substitution: J. KuchtaOut: M. Vojta
    58'
    Substitution: J. KuchtaSparta Praha · Out: M. Vojta
  6. Substitution: P. KaderabekOut: L. Haraslin
    58'
    Substitution: P. KaderabekSparta Praha · Out: L. Haraslin
  7. 59'
    Yellow Card: R. StormanKarviná
    Yellow Card: R. Storman
  8. Goal: J. MercadoAssist: H. Sochurek
    67'
    Goal: J. MercadoSparta Praha · Assist: H. Sochurek
  9. 70'
    Substitution: J. ChytryKarviná · Out: S. Bohac
    Substitution: J. ChytryOut: S. Bohac
  10. 70'
    Substitution: A. TraoreKarviná · Out: J. Kristan
    Substitution: A. TraoreOut: J. Kristan
  11. 71'
    Yellow Card: Y. SkybaKarviná
    Yellow Card: Y. Skyba
  12. Substitution: F. PanakOut: A. Sorensen
    74'
    Substitution: F. PanakSparta Praha · Out: A. Sorensen
  13. Substitution: S. EnemeOut: A. Irving
    74'
    Substitution: S. EnemeSparta Praha · Out: A. Irving
  14. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideP. Kaderabek
    78'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideSparta Praha · P. Kaderabek
  15. 82'
    Substitution: O. CondeKarviná · Out: P. Kacor
    Substitution: O. CondeOut: P. Kacor
  16. 82'
    Substitution: N. MilicKarviná · Out: J. Fleisman
    Substitution: N. MilicOut: J. Fleisman
  17. Yellow Card: J. Kuchta
    85'
    Yellow Card: J. KuchtaSparta Praha
  18. Yellow Card: O. Sonne
    90'
    Yellow Card: O. SonneSparta Praha
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Rrahmani vs Karviná defense: Sparta Praha's top scorer will test Karviná's backline, which has conceded 1.6 avg goals.
2J. Kuchta vs Karviná midfield: Kuchta's playmaking in Sparta Praha's 4-3-3 could exploit Karviná's 3-1-4-2 midfield gaps.
3A. Gning vs Sparta Praha defense: Karviná's leading scorer faces a vulnerable defense averaging 2.6 goals conceded.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sparta Praha

  • Strong attacking output with 2.4 avg goals scored
  • High league position (2nd) and goal difference (+24)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities with 2.6 avg goals conceded
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Karviná

  • Decent goal contributions from key players like A. Gning and D. Krčík
  • One clean sheet in last 5 matches shows occasional defensive resilience
  • Poor form with 4 losses in last 5 matches
  • Low scoring rate of 1.2 avg goals and failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
Head-to-head →Injuries · Sparta PrahaInjuries · KarvináLive scores →

Statistical Context

Sparta Praha

WWWLL
  • WSep 20, 26A · Sigma Olomouc0-3
  • WSep 16, 26A · Ararat-Armenia1-4
  • WSep 12, 26H · FK Jablonec2-0
  • LSep 6, 26A · Hradec Králové2-1
  • LAug 30, 26H · Slavia Praha0-3

Karviná

LLWLL
  • LMay 23, 26A · Sigma Olomouc4-0
  • LMay 16, 26H · Sigma Olomouc1-3
  • WMay 10, 26A · Pardubice1-3
  • LMay 2, 26H · Pardubice1-2
  • LApr 25, 26H · Mlada Boleslav0-3

Head to Head

9
Sparta Praha
0
Draws
1
Karviná
  • Nov 2, 25Karviná – Sparta Praha2-1
  • Feb 15, 25Karviná – Sparta Praha2-3
  • Dec 3, 24Sparta Praha – Karviná4-1
  • Feb 10, 24Karviná – Sparta Praha0-3
  • Aug 27, 23Sparta Praha – Karviná3-1

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

Sparta PrahaKarviná
Played833
Goals Scored1548
Goals Conceded1257
Avg Scored1.91.4
Avg Conceded1.51.7
Clean Sheets23

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sparta PrahaKarviná
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Sparta Praha vs Karviná — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Sparta Praha's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Karviná, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Sparta Praha is predicted to win this match, with a high probability reflecting their superior form, standings, and historical dominance over Karviná.

Form Analysis: Sparta Praha's recent form of WLWDW shows consistency with 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game, though conceding 2.6 indicates defensive vulnerabilities. Karviná's form of DLLLL is poor, with 4 losses in the last 5, scoring only 1.2 goals on average and failing to score in 2 of those games, highlighting offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1. Sparta Praha holds a significant advantage in league standings (2nd vs 8th, 21-point gap) and head-to-head record (9 wins in last 10 meetings). 2. Karviná's poor form and low scoring rate reduce their threat. 3. No significant injuries for either team, maintaining Sparta Praha's strength.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports Sparta Praha as favorites, with adjustments from market probabilities due to form and H2H dominance, while a draw is plausible given Sparta Praha's defensive issues but less likely.

Win Probabilities: Sparta Praha: 66% · Draw: 23% · Karviná: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Sparta Praha wins: 9 · Draws: 0 · Karviná wins: 1

Form (latest first): Sparta Praha: WWWLL · Karviná: LLWLL

  • A. Rrahmani vs Karviná defense: Sparta Praha's top scorer will test Karviná's backline, which has conceded 1.6 avg goals.
  • J. Kuchta vs Karviná midfield: Kuchta's playmaking in Sparta Praha's 4-3-3 could exploit Karviná's 3-1-4-2 midfield gaps.
  • A. Gning vs Sparta Praha defense: Karviná's leading scorer faces a vulnerable defense averaging 2.6 goals conceded.

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Czech Liga

Czech Liga

Czech Republic15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Zlin
Oct 916:00
Slavia Praha
Early projection
120.005%
X8.3312%
21.2083%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Plzen
Oct 1013:00
Mlada Boleslav
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Hradec Králové
Oct 1013:00
Artis
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
Oct 1013:00
FK Jablonec
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Bohemians 1905
Oct 1016:00
Baník Ostrava
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Slovan Liberec
Oct 1111:00
Slovácko
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Teplice
Oct 1113:00
Sigma Olomouc
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Sparta Praha
Oct 1116:00
Pardubice
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Bohemians 1905
Oct 1416:00
Mlada Boleslav
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Slavia Praha
Oct 1713:00
Hradec Králové
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Mlada Boleslav
Oct 1713:00
Teplice
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
FK Jablonec
Oct 1713:00
Plzen
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Sigma Olomouc
Oct 1713:00
Slovan Liberec
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Baník Ostrava
Oct 1713:00
Sparta Praha
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
Czech LigaCzech Republic
Slovácko
Oct 1713:00
Zbrojovka Brno
Early projection
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%

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