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  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Burnley vs Mansfield Town

Burnley vs Mansfield Town

Result • FA Cup·Burnley·Mansfield Town

FA Cup
FA Cup
Feb 14, 2026
15:00
medium Confidence
Burnley

Burnley

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.40
X4.50
27.50
Stadium
Turf Moor
medium Confidence
WINNER
Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town

Away
Odds
11.40
X4.50
27.50
Stadium
Turf Moor
Win Probabilities
67%
Burnley
21%
Draw
12%
Mansfield Town
Home1.4067%
Draw4.5021%
Away7.5012%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Burnley's flame burning bright at Turf Moor, with ancient wisdom revealing a victory forged by home soil and scoring prowess, while Mansfield's shield may crack under pressure.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Burnley and Mansfield Town using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Burnley a 67% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Mansfield Town a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%

Match Events

  1. Goal: J. LaurentAssist: L. Foster
    21'
    Goal: J. LaurentBurnley · Assist: L. Foster
  2. Yellow Card: H. Ekdal
    37'
    Yellow Card: H. EkdalBurnley
  3. Yellow Card: A. Barnes
    40'
    Yellow Card: A. BarnesBurnley
  4. 53'
    Goal: R. OatesMansfield Town · Assist: K. Knoyle
    Goal: R. OatesAssist: K. Knoyle
  5. Yellow Card: J. Laurent
    56'
    Yellow Card: J. LaurentBurnley
  6. 58'
    Yellow Card: L. AkinsMansfield Town
    Yellow Card: L. Akins
  7. 59'
    Yellow Card: W. EvansMansfield Town
    Yellow Card: W. Evans
  8. 60'
    Substitution: R. HendryMansfield Town · Out: J. Russell
    Substitution: R. HendryOut: J. Russell
  9. Substitution: H. MejbriOut: J. Bruun Larsen
    66'
    Substitution: H. MejbriBurnley · Out: J. Bruun Larsen
  10. Substitution: M. EdwardsOut: L. Tchaouna
    66'
    Substitution: M. EdwardsBurnley · Out: L. Tchaouna
  11. Yellow Card: Florentino
    78'
    Yellow Card: FlorentinoBurnley
  12. 80'
    Goal: L. ReedMansfield Town
    Goal: L. Reed
  13. Substitution: L. UgochukwuOut: A. Barnes
    81'
    Substitution: L. UgochukwuBurnley · Out: A. Barnes
  14. Substitution: Z. FlemmingOut: Florentino
    81'
    Substitution: Z. FlemmingBurnley · Out: Florentino
  15. 83'
    Substitution: E. HewittMansfield Town · Out: K. Knoyle
    Substitution: E. HewittOut: K. Knoyle
  16. 84'
    Substitution: L. BoltonMansfield Town · Out: R. Oates
    Substitution: L. BoltonOut: R. Oates
  17. 84'
    Substitution: V. AdeboyejoMansfield Town · Out: W. Evans
    Substitution: V. AdeboyejoOut: W. Evans
  18. Substitution: Lucas PiresOut: J. Ward-Prowse
    90+1'
    Substitution: Lucas PiresBurnley · Out: J. Ward-Prowse
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Anthony vs Mansfield Town defense: Anthony's goal-scoring ability will test Mansfield's defensive organization.
2Z. Flemming vs Mansfield Town midfield: Flemming's attacking role could challenge Mansfield's midfield in controlling the game.
3Burnley's backline vs Mansfield Town attackers: Burnley's defense must contain Mansfield's limited offensive threat to maintain a clean sheet.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Burnley

  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Key scorers J. Anthony and Z. Flemming with 4 goals each
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Clean sheets in last 5: 0

Mansfield Town

  • No players out due to injuries or suspensions
  • Clean sheets in last 5: 2
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Current loss streak of 1
Head-to-head →Injuries · BurnleyInjuries · Mansfield Town

Statistical Context

Burnley

LDLDL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Swansea3-1
  • DSep 8, 26A · Wrexham1-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Bristol City1-2
  • DSep 2, 26H · Middlesbrough1-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Norwich4-1

Mansfield Town

DLLLW
  • DSep 12, 26H · Huddersfield0-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Bradford1-0
  • LAug 9, 26H · Sheffield Utd0-3
  • LMar 7, 26H · Arsenal1-2
  • WJan 11, 26A · Sheffield Utd3-4

Season Statistics — 2026

BurnleyMansfield Town
Played7—
Goals Scored8—
Goals Conceded16—
Avg Scored1.1—
Avg Conceded2.3—
Clean Sheets0—

Burnley vs Mansfield Town — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Burnley's flame burning bright at Turf Moor, with ancient wisdom revealing a victory forged by home soil and scoring prowess, while Mansfield's shield may crack under pressure.

Based on the structured data, Burnley is predicted to win this FA Cup match against Mansfield Town. The market probabilities show a 67% chance for a home win, aligning with the API-Football model's predicted winner of Burnley, indicating a consensus on the favorite.

Form Analysis: Burnley's recent form includes a win streak of 1, with 5 goals for and 1 against in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Mansfield Town has a loss streak of 1, with 10 goals for and 7 against, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both teams failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, suggesting potential defensive resilience or offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55 provides Burnley a slight edge. 2. Burnley has key players like J. Anthony and Z. Flemming, each with 4 goals, while Mansfield Town has no key players listed. 3. Injuries include Burnley's L. Foster and J. Bruun Larsen as doubtful, but Mansfield Town has no players out, which may not significantly alter the outcome given the odds favor Burnley.

Conclusion: The data-driven verdict supports a Burnley victory due to higher market and model probabilities, home advantage, and stronger offensive output from key players, despite some injury concerns.

Win Probabilities: Burnley: 67% · Draw: 21% · Mansfield Town: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 30%

Form (latest first): Burnley: LDLDL · Mansfield Town: DLLLW

  • J. Anthony vs Mansfield Town defense: Anthony's goal-scoring ability will test Mansfield's defensive organization.
  • Z. Flemming vs Mansfield Town midfield: Flemming's attacking role could challenge Mansfield's midfield in controlling the game.
  • Burnley's backline vs Mansfield Town attackers: Burnley's defense must contain Mansfield's limited offensive threat to maintain a clean sheet.

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