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  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Cheltenham vs Leicester

Cheltenham vs Leicester

Result • FA Cup·Cheltenham·Leicester

FA Cup
FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026
12:15
medium Confidence
Cheltenham

Cheltenham

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
15.25
X4.00
21.62
Stadium
Whaddon Road
medium Confidence
WINNER
Leicester

Leicester

Away
Odds
15.25
X4.00
21.62
Stadium
Whaddon Road
Win Probabilities
18%
Cheltenham
24%
Draw
58%
Leicester
Home5.2518%
Draw4.0024%
Away1.6258%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Leicester's stars aligning at Whaddon Road, their quality shining through the cold sun. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory, as form and odds whisper of away triumph in this cup clash.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Cheltenham and Leicester using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cheltenham a 18% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Leicester a 58% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 23'
    Goal: P. DakaLeicester · Assist: S. Mavididi
    Goal: P. DakaAssist: S. Mavididi
  2. 45'
    Goal: S. MavididiLeicester · Assist: O. Skipp
    Goal: S. MavididiAssist: O. Skipp
  3. 55'
    Substitution: C. OkoliLeicester · Out: J. Vestergaard
    Substitution: C. OkoliOut: J. Vestergaard
  4. 70'
    Substitution: J. AyewLeicester · Out: P. Daka
    Substitution: J. AyewOut: P. Daka
  5. Substitution: T. TaylorOut: L. Kinsella
    70'
    Substitution: T. TaylorCheltenham · Out: L. Kinsella
  6. 70'
    Substitution: J. MongaLeicester · Out: S. Thomas
    Substitution: J. MongaOut: S. Thomas
  7. Substitution: G. HarmonOut: J. Thomas
    77'
    Substitution: G. HarmonCheltenham · Out: J. Thomas
  8. Substitution: D. PowerOut: J. Martin
    77'
    Substitution: D. PowerCheltenham · Out: J. Martin
  9. 87'
    Yellow Card: L. ThomasLeicester
    Yellow Card: L. Thomas
  10. Yellow Card: J. Tomkinson
    87'
    Yellow Card: J. TomkinsonCheltenham
  11. 89'
    Substitution: W. MarcalLeicester · Out: S. Mavididi
    Substitution: W. MarcalOut: S. Mavididi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Cheltenham's defensive line vs A. Fatawu: Leicester's top scorer and assister will test Cheltenham's back three in physical conditions.
2Midfield battle in 3-1-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1: Cheltenham's single defensive midfielder faces Leicester's double pivot, crucial for controlling tempo.
3Wide players in sunny conditions: Both teams' wingers must adapt to 2.2°C temperature and 4.7 km/h wind, affecting crossing and pace.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cheltenham

  • Defensive solidity with 2 goals conceded in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Limited offensive output with 7 goals in last 5 matches
  • Incomplete form data

Leicester

  • Higher probability of winning from bookmaker odds
  • Key player A. Fatawu with 3 goals and 5 assists
  • Inconsistent recent form with WLWLL pattern
  • No detailed goals for/against data in form
Head-to-head →Injuries · CheltenhamInjuries · Leicester

Statistical Context

Cheltenham

WDLWW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Crawley Town1-3
  • DSep 5, 26H · Grimsby2-2
  • LAug 8, 26H · Charlton1-3
  • WDec 6, 25H · Buxton6-2
  • WNov 1, 25H · Bradford1-0

Leicester

WLLWW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Stockport County3-4
  • LSep 5, 26H · Oxford United0-4
  • LAug 25, 26A · Ipswich3-1
  • WAug 8, 26H · Northampton1-0
  • WMay 2, 26A · Blackburn0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

CheltenhamLeicester
Played—1
Goals Scored—1
Goals Conceded—0
Avg Scored—1.0
Avg Conceded—0.0
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CheltenhamLeicester
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—7/10
Clean Sheets—0/10

Cheltenham vs Leicester — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Leicester's stars aligning at Whaddon Road, their quality shining through the cold sun. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory, as form and odds whisper of away triumph in this cup clash.

Based on the data, Leicester is predicted to win this FA Cup match against Cheltenham, with a 58% probability from bookmaker odds indicating a clear favorite, supported by their recent form and tactical setup.

Form Analysis: Leicester's recent form shows a WLWLL pattern, suggesting some inconsistency but with wins in their last five matches. Cheltenham's form data is incomplete, but they have scored 7 goals and conceded 2 in their last 5 matches, indicating defensive solidity but limited offensive output compared to Leicester's higher-level competition.

Key Factors: 1. Leicester's away win probability of 58% from market odds is the highest, aligning with their status as the stronger team. 2. Leicester has key players like A. Fatawu with 3 goals and 5 assists, providing offensive threat. 3. The weather favors a physical style, which may benefit Cheltenham's home advantage but Leicester's quality likely overcomes this.

Conclusion: The data-driven verdict is an away win for Leicester, as bookmaker odds strongly favor them, and no significant injuries or form issues counter this prediction.

Win Probabilities: Cheltenham: 18% · Draw: 24% · Leicester: 58%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

Form (latest first): Cheltenham: WDLWW · Leicester: WLLWW

  • Cheltenham's defensive line vs A. Fatawu: Leicester's top scorer and assister will test Cheltenham's back three in physical conditions.
  • Midfield battle in 3-1-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1: Cheltenham's single defensive midfielder faces Leicester's double pivot, crucial for controlling tempo.
  • Wide players in sunny conditions: Both teams' wingers must adapt to 2.2°C temperature and 4.7 km/h wind, affecting crossing and pace.

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