Chorley host Buxton in the National League North on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Our model makes Buxton the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 25% and Chorley at 35%.
Form and league position
Chorley sit 10th of 24 with 17 points from 11 games (18 scored, 18 conceded), recent form W-W-W-D-L. Buxton sit 11th of 24 with 17 points from 12 games (20 scored, 21 conceded), recent form W-L-L-L-D.
Head-to-head record
The two sides have met 2 times in our records: Chorley won 0, Buxton won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per meeting.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.7, about 3.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 67%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Chorley at 2.82, the draw at 3.42 and Buxton at 2.18; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Buxton to win (40%), most likely score 1-2.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
