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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes

Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes

Result • Ligue 1·Paris Saint Germain·Nantes

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Apr 22, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.18
X7.50
213.00
Stadium
Parc des Princes
high Confidence
Nantes

Nantes

Away
Odds
11.18
X7.50
213.00
Stadium
Parc des Princes
Win Probabilities
73%
Paris Saint Germain
19%
Draw
8%
Nantes
Home1.1873%
Draw7.5019%
Away13.008%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a dominant force at Parc des Princes, where past victories and current strength converge. Ancient wisdom reveals a shield too strong for the visitors to breach, pointing to a clear home triumph.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris Saint Germain and Nantes using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris Saint Germain a 73% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Nantes a 8% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%

Match Events

  1. Penalty: K. Kvaratskhelia (Penalty)
    13'
    Penalty: K. Kvaratskhelia (Penalty)Paris Saint Germain
  2. 22'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideNantes · L. Leroux
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Leroux
  3. Yellow Card: W. Zaire-Emery
    35'
    Yellow Card: W. Zaire-EmeryParis Saint Germain
  4. Goal: D. DoueAssist: A. Hakimi
    37'
    Goal: D. DoueParis Saint Germain · Assist: A. Hakimi
  5. Yellow Card: I. Zabarnyi
    41'
    Yellow Card: I. ZabarnyiParis Saint Germain
  6. 46'
    Yellow Card: F. GuilbertNantes
    Yellow Card: F. Guilbert
  7. Goal: K. KvaratskheliaAssist: O. Dembele
    50'
    Goal: K. KvaratskheliaParis Saint Germain · Assist: O. Dembele
  8. Substitution: F. RuizOut: J. Neves
    60'
    Substitution: F. RuizParis Saint Germain · Out: J. Neves
  9. Substitution: L. HernandezOut: A. Hakimi
    60'
    Substitution: L. HernandezParis Saint Germain · Out: A. Hakimi
  10. Substitution: S. MayuluOut: W. Zaire-Emery
    60'
    Substitution: S. MayuluParis Saint Germain · Out: W. Zaire-Emery
  11. 65'
    Substitution: D. TabibouNantes · Out: L. Leroux
    Substitution: D. TabibouOut: L. Leroux
  12. 65'
    Substitution: I. GanagoNantes · Out: Mostafa Mohamed
    Substitution: I. GanagoOut: Mostafa Mohamed
  13. Substitution: I. MbayeOut: K. Kvaratskhelia
    65'
    Substitution: I. MbayeParis Saint Germain · Out: K. Kvaratskhelia
  14. Substitution: B. BarcolaOut: O. Dembele
    65'
    Substitution: B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain · Out: O. Dembele
  15. 73'
    Substitution: B. DeuffNantes · Out: J. Lepenant
    Substitution: B. DeuffOut: J. Lepenant
  16. 79'
    Substitution: C. AwaziemNantes · Out: M. Acapandie
    Substitution: C. AwaziemOut: M. Acapandie
  17. 80'
    Substitution: Y. El ArabiNantes · Out: M. Abline
    Substitution: Y. El ArabiOut: M. Abline
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Vitinha vs Nantes midfield: Vitinha's creative play and high rating will test Nantes' defensive midfield organization.
2B. Barcola vs Nantes defense: Barcola's goal-scoring ability poses a significant challenge to Nantes' backline, which has shown vulnerability.
3C. Awaziem vs Paris Saint Germain defense: Awaziem, as Nantes' top scorer, will need to break through Paris Saint Germain's strong defense to create scoring chances.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris Saint Germain

  • Strong attack with high goal-scoring average
  • Excellent defensive record with multiple clean sheets
  • Recent loss streak of 1 game
  • Doubtful injuries to F. Ruiz and D. Doué

Nantes

  • Decent defensive organization with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Recent draw streak showing resilience
  • Poor attacking form with low goal-scoring average
  • Relegation playoff status indicating overall struggle

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
73%
API-Football
45%
59%
Paris Saint Germain59329

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (59%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities show an 80% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model also predicts Paris Saint Germain as the winner, reinforcing this outcome. The data indicates a significant disparity in team strength, with Paris Saint Germain leading the league and Nantes struggling near relegation.

Form Analysis: Paris Saint Germain's recent form of LWWLW includes 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, highlighting strong defense, while Nantes' form of DDDLL shows they have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches. Paris Saint Germain averages 2.4 goals scored per game compared to Nantes' 0.6, and they have a superior goal difference of +37 versus -21 for Nantes.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head dominance: Paris Saint Germain has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) League standings: Paris Saint Germain is 1st with 63 points, while Nantes is 17th with 20 points, indicating a vast quality gap. 3) Injuries: Both teams have doubtful players, but no confirmed key absences that significantly alter the balance.

Conclusion: The combination of odds, statistical models, form, and historical data strongly supports a Paris Saint Germain victory, with a draw as a secondary possibility given Nantes' recent draw streak.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Winner : Paris Saint Germain

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris Saint GermainNantes
72%Strength27%
77%Attacking Potential23%
45%Defensive Potential55%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
70%Goals H2H30%
72%Wins the Game27%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Paris Saint GermainInjuries · Nantes

Statistical Context

Paris Saint Germain

WWLDD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Stade Brestois 290-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Slovan Bratislava6-1
  • LSep 4, 26H · Monaco1-2
  • DAug 28, 26A · Lille2-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Rennes2-2

Nantes

LWDLL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Sochaux1-0
  • WSep 7, 26H · Nancy1-0
  • DAug 29, 26A · Guingamp3-3
  • LAug 22, 26H · Rodez2-5
  • LAug 14, 26A · Laval2-1

Head to Head

7
Paris Saint Germain
2
Draws
1
Nantes
  • Aug 17, 25Nantes – Paris Saint Germain0-1
  • Apr 22, 25Nantes – Paris Saint Germain1-1
  • Nov 30, 24Paris Saint Germain – Nantes1-1
  • Feb 17, 24Nantes – Paris Saint Germain0-2
  • Dec 9, 23Paris Saint Germain – Nantes2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris Saint GermainNantes
Played35
Goals Scored57
Goals Conceded611
Avg Scored1.71.4
Avg Conceded2.02.2
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris Saint GermainNantes
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a dominant force at Parc des Princes, where past victories and current strength converge. Ancient wisdom reveals a shield too strong for the visitors to breach, pointing to a clear home triumph.

Based on the structured data, Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities show an 80% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model also predicts Paris Saint Germain as the winner, reinforcing this outcome. The data indicates a significant disparity in team strength, with Paris Saint Germain leading the league and Nantes struggling near relegation.

Form Analysis: Paris Saint Germain's recent form of LWWLW includes 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, highlighting strong defense, while Nantes' form of DDDLL shows they have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches. Paris Saint Germain averages 2.4 goals scored per game compared to Nantes' 0.6, and they have a superior goal difference of +37 versus -21 for Nantes.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head dominance: Paris Saint Germain has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) League standings: Paris Saint Germain is 1st with 63 points, while Nantes is 17th with 20 points, indicating a vast quality gap. 3) Injuries: Both teams have doubtful players, but no confirmed key absences that significantly alter the balance.

Conclusion: The combination of odds, statistical models, form, and historical data strongly supports a Paris Saint Germain victory, with a draw as a secondary possibility given Nantes' recent draw streak.

Win Probabilities: Paris Saint Germain: 73% · Draw: 19% · Nantes: 8%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 30%

H2H: Paris Saint Germain wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Nantes wins: 1

Form (latest first): Paris Saint Germain: WWLDD · Nantes: LWDLL

  • Vitinha vs Nantes midfield: Vitinha's creative play and high rating will test Nantes' defensive midfield organization.
  • B. Barcola vs Nantes defense: Barcola's goal-scoring ability poses a significant challenge to Nantes' backline, which has shown vulnerability.
  • C. Awaziem vs Paris Saint Germain defense: Awaziem, as Nantes' top scorer, will need to break through Paris Saint Germain's strong defense to create scoring chances.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Sep 1818:45
Lens
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

Betting Tips

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