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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 2
  3. PAU vs Dunkerque

PAU vs Dunkerque

Result • Ligue 2·PAU·Dunkerque

Ligue 2
Ligue 2
Sep 18, 2026
18:00
low Confidence
WINNER
PAU

PAU

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.25
X3.20
22.90
Stadium
Nouste Camp
low Confidence
Dunkerque

Dunkerque

Away
Odds
12.25
X3.20
22.90
Stadium
Nouste Camp
Win Probabilities
39%
PAU
29%
Draw
32%
Dunkerque
Home2.2539%
Draw3.2029%
Away2.9032%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Dunkerque hold a narrow edge due to their dominant head-to-head record and superior attacking output, but PAU's home advantage keeps this a tight contest. The main risk is PAU's poor home form, which could see Dunkerque take all three points.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 2 fixture between PAU and Dunkerque using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns PAU a 39% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Dunkerque a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 51%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 51%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Red Card: Victor MayelaDunkerque
    Red Card: Victor Mayela
  2. Yellow Card: Anthony Briançon
    16'
    Yellow Card: Anthony BriançonPAU
  3. 17'
    Substitution: Bram LagaeDunkerque · Out: Gaëtan Robail
    Substitution: Bram LagaeOut: Gaëtan Robail
  4. Yellow Card: Abdel Hakim Abdallah
    32'
    Yellow Card: Abdel Hakim AbdallahPAU
  5. Penalty: Jessy Benet (Penalty)
    49'
    Penalty: Jessy Benet (Penalty)PAU
  6. 52'
    Yellow Card: Bram LagaeDunkerque
    Yellow Card: Bram Lagae
  7. Substitution: Axel DodoteOut: Axel Bamba
    58'
    Substitution: Axel DodotePAU · Out: Axel Bamba
  8. 63'
    Yellow Card: Albert Sánchez SauraDunkerque
    Yellow Card: Albert Sánchez Saura
  9. Substitution: Abdoulaye MbayeOut: Jeremy Sebas
    66'
    Substitution: Abdoulaye MbayePAU · Out: Jeremy Sebas
  10. Substitution: Souleymane BasseOut: Abdel Hakim Abdallah
    67'
    Substitution: Souleymane BassePAU · Out: Abdel Hakim Abdallah
  11. 67'
    Substitution: Ousmane TouréDunkerque · Out: Jordan Morel
    Substitution: Ousmane TouréOut: Jordan Morel
  12. 68'
    Substitution: Enzo MayillaDunkerque · Out: Egor Prutsev
    Substitution: Enzo MayillaOut: Egor Prutsev
  13. 77'
    Substitution: Pape DiengDunkerque · Out: Souleymane Keita
    Substitution: Pape DiengOut: Souleymane Keita
  14. 77'
    Substitution: Franck Leroy AtoenDunkerque · Out: Théna Massock
    Substitution: Franck Leroy AtoenOut: Théna Massock
  15. 81'
    Yellow Card: Enzo MayillaDunkerque
    Yellow Card: Enzo Mayilla
  16. Substitution: Lorenzo RajotOut: Tom Saettel
    83'
    Substitution: Lorenzo RajotPAU · Out: Tom Saettel
  17. Goal: Abdoulaye MbayeAssist: Lorenzo Rajot
    88'
    Goal: Abdoulaye MbayePAU · Assist: Lorenzo Rajot
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

PAU

  • Home advantage at Nouste Camp
  • Defensive resilience in spells (one clean sheet in last five)
  • Poor home record (0 wins in 3 home games)
  • Low scoring rate (0.8 goals per game in last five)

Dunkerque

  • Strong head-to-head record (6 wins in last 9)
  • Higher league position (8th vs 15th)
  • Leaky defense (1.6 goals conceded per game in last five)
  • Inconsistent form (only one win in last five)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
39%
API-Football
45%
39%
Dunkerque253739

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This Ligue 2 encounter between PAU and Dunkerque shapes up as a tight, evenly-matched contest, with the market giving PAU a narrow edge largely due to home advantage. However, Dunkerque's superior league position and strong head-to-head record suggest the visitors are well capable of taking something from the game.

Form Analysis: Both sides have struggled for consistency. PAU have taken just one win from their last five, scoring only four goals and failing to find the net in two of those matches. Dunkerque have been slightly more productive in attack, netting ten times in their last five, but they have also conceded ten, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Neither team has been able to string together a convincing run of results.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is a major factor, with Dunkerque having dominated this fixture historically, winning six of the last nine meetings. PAU's home form is a concern, as they have yet to win at Nouste Camp this season, drawing one and losing two. Additionally, Dunkerque's attacking output, led by their forward line, could exploit a PAU defense that has kept only one clean sheet in five. The weather is expected to be neutral, with patchy rain and moderate wind, which should not significantly favor either side.

Conclusion: While PAU hold a slight advantage according to the market, the data points to a balanced affair. Dunkerque's head-to-head dominance and better attacking numbers give them a solid chance of avoiding defeat, but PAU's need for points at home could drive them forward. A draw or a narrow away win appears the most plausible outcome, with both teams likely to score.

Statistical ContextDunkerque

Double chance : draw or Dunkerque

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PAUDunkerque
36%Strength63%
40%Attacking Potential60%
62%Defensive Potential38%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
27%Goals H2H73%
36%Wins the Game63%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PAUInjuries · DunkerqueLive scores →

Statistical Context

PAU

WLDDL
  • WOct 9, 26H · Laval3-2
  • LSep 11, 26A · Montpellier1-0
  • DSep 4, 26H · Sochaux1-1
  • DAug 28, 26A · Rodez2-2
  • LAug 21, 26H · Nancy0-1

Dunkerque

LWDLL
  • LOct 9, 26H · Annecy0-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Saint Etienne2-1
  • DSep 4, 26H · Clermont Foot1-1
  • LAug 28, 26A · Nancy2-0
  • LAug 21, 26H · Montpellier0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Dijon8+212WWWDL
8PAU8+111WWLDD
9Sochaux8-111DDWDD
10Metz8+110LDLWD
11Guingamp8-38LLWDD
12Dunkerque8-38LLWDL
13Nantes8-48DWLWD

Head to Head

1
PAU
3
Draws
6
Dunkerque
  • Jan 16, 26Dunkerque – PAU3-1
  • Oct 24, 25PAU – Dunkerque0-3
  • Jan 10, 25PAU – Dunkerque1-1
  • Sep 20, 24Dunkerque – PAU3-2
  • Mar 9, 24Dunkerque – PAU1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

PAUDunkerque
Played77
Goals Scored610
Goals Conceded612
Avg Scored0.91.4
Avg Conceded0.91.7
Clean Sheets20

PAU vs Dunkerque — Match Analysis

Dunkerque hold a narrow edge due to their dominant head-to-head record and superior attacking output, but PAU's home advantage keeps this a tight contest. The main risk is PAU's poor home form, which could see Dunkerque take all three points.

This Ligue 2 encounter between PAU and Dunkerque shapes up as a tight, evenly-matched contest, with the market giving PAU a narrow edge largely due to home advantage. However, Dunkerque's superior league position and strong head-to-head record suggest the visitors are well capable of taking something from the game.

Form Analysis: Both sides have struggled for consistency. PAU have taken just one win from their last five, scoring only four goals and failing to find the net in two of those matches. Dunkerque have been slightly more productive in attack, netting ten times in their last five, but they have also conceded ten, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Neither team has been able to string together a convincing run of results.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is a major factor, with Dunkerque having dominated this fixture historically, winning six of the last nine meetings. PAU's home form is a concern, as they have yet to win at Nouste Camp this season, drawing one and losing two. Additionally, Dunkerque's attacking output, led by their forward line, could exploit a PAU defense that has kept only one clean sheet in five. The weather is expected to be neutral, with patchy rain and moderate wind, which should not significantly favor either side.

Conclusion: While PAU hold a slight advantage according to the market, the data points to a balanced affair. Dunkerque's head-to-head dominance and better attacking numbers give them a solid chance of avoiding defeat, but PAU's need for points at home could drive them forward. A draw or a narrow away win appears the most plausible outcome, with both teams likely to score.

Win Probabilities: PAU: 39% · Draw: 29% · Dunkerque: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (9.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 44% · Under 2.5: 56% · BTTS: 51%

H2H: PAU wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Dunkerque wins: 6

Form (latest first): PAU: WLDDL · Dunkerque: LWDLL

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Ligue 2

Ligue 2

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 2France
Guingamp
Oct 1618:00
PAU
12.0848%
X4.0025%
23.7027%
Ligue 2France
Reims
Oct 1618:00
Dijon
11.6959%
X4.5522%
25.2619%
Ligue 2France
Grenoble
Oct 1618:00
Boulogne
13.1332%
X3.2331%
22.7037%
Ligue 2France
Laval
Oct 1618:00
Clermont Foot
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
Ligue 2France
Annecy
Oct 1618:00
Nancy
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Ligue 2France
Nantes
Oct 1712:00
Dunkerque
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
Ligue 2France
Metz
Oct 1712:00
Sochaux
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Ligue 2France
RED Star FC 93
Oct 1718:00
Saint Etienne
14.5522%
X3.4529%
22.0449%
Ligue 2France
Rodez
Oct 1918:45
Montpellier
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Ligue 2France
Clermont Foot
Oct 2318:00
Guingamp
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
Ligue 2France
Nancy
Oct 2318:00
Laval
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 2France
Sochaux
Oct 2318:00
Annecy
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Ligue 2France
PAU
Oct 2318:00
Grenoble
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Ligue 2France
Dunkerque
Oct 2318:00
Metz
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Ligue 2France
Montpellier
Oct 2412:00
RED Star FC 93
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

Betting Tips

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