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  1. Home
  2. 2. Bundesliga
  3. SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg

Result • 2. Bundesliga·SpVgg Greuther Fürth·1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga
Aug 15, 2026
11:00
low Confidence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Home
Final Score
2-4
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-4
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.06
X3.48
22.20
Stadium
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
low Confidence
WINNER
1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg

Away
Odds
13.06
X3.48
22.20
Stadium
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Win Probabilities
30%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
29%
Draw
41%
1. FC Nürnberg
Home3.0630%
Draw3.4829%
Away2.2041%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

1. FC Nürnberg are clear favourites, backed by superior form (100% win rate in last five) and a strong league position. The main risk is Fürth's unbeaten run and the evenly matched head-to-head record, which could produce a tight contest.

Our AI model analyzes this 2. Bundesliga fixture between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 30% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and 1. FC Nürnberg a 41% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. Penalty: F. Klaus (Penalty)
    22'
    Penalty: F. Klaus (Penalty)SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  2. 26'
    Goal: P. Scobel1. FC Nürnberg · Assist: J. Justvan
    Goal: P. ScobelAssist: J. Justvan
  3. 28'
    Yellow Card: J. Fernandez1. FC Nürnberg
    Yellow Card: J. Fernandez
  4. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Klaus
    39'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideSpVgg Greuther Fürth · F. Klaus
  5. Goal: F. KlausAssist: D. Srbeny
    41'
    Goal: F. KlausSpVgg Greuther Fürth · Assist: D. Srbeny
  6. 45+3'
    Goal: J. Justvan1. FC Nürnberg · Assist: P. Scobel
    Goal: J. JustvanAssist: P. Scobel
  7. 45+6'
    Yellow Card: J. Justvan1. FC Nürnberg
    Yellow Card: J. Justvan
  8. 54'
    Goal: J. Justvan1. FC Nürnberg · Assist: F. Otto
    Goal: J. JustvanAssist: F. Otto
  9. 55'
    Substitution: G. Masouras1. FC Nürnberg · Out: T. Janisch
    Substitution: G. MasourasOut: T. Janisch
  10. 61'
    Yellow Card: E. Porstner1. FC Nürnberg
    Yellow Card: E. Porstner
  11. Missed penalty: F. KlausMissed penalty
    63'
    Missed penalty: F. KlausSpVgg Greuther Fürth · Missed penalty
  12. Substitution: A. KellerOut: D. Srbeny
    67'
    Substitution: A. KellerSpVgg Greuther Fürth · Out: D. Srbeny
  13. 74'
    Goal: P. Scobel1. FC Nürnberg
    Goal: P. Scobel
  14. 75'
    Substitution: R. Ghrieb1. FC Nürnberg · Out: F. Becker
    Substitution: R. GhriebOut: F. Becker
  15. 77'
    Yellow Card: R. Ghrieb1. FC Nürnberg
    Yellow Card: R. Ghrieb
  16. 77'
    Substitution: R. Lubach1. FC Nürnberg · Out: J. Fernandez
    Substitution: R. LubachOut: J. Fernandez
  17. Substitution: L. ReichOut: J. Dehm
    77'
    Substitution: L. ReichSpVgg Greuther Fürth · Out: J. Dehm
  18. Substitution: M. WallentowitzOut: O. Pohlmann
    77'
    Substitution: M. WallentowitzSpVgg Greuther Fürth · Out: O. Pohlmann
  19. Substitution: O. SillahOut: S. Banse
    77'
    Substitution: O. SillahSpVgg Greuther Fürth · Out: S. Banse
  20. 88'
    Substitution: A. Grimaldi1. FC Nürnberg · Out: P. Scobel
    Substitution: A. GrimaldiOut: P. Scobel
  21. 88'
    Substitution: M. Kornwachs Barjuan1. FC Nürnberg · Out: J. Justvan
    Substitution: M. Kornwachs BarjuanOut: J. Justvan
  22. Yellow Card: A. Keller
    89'
    Yellow Card: A. KellerSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Florian Hellstern vs J. Justvan: Hellstern's defensive discipline will be tested by Justvan's creativity and movement in the final third.
2S. Appelkamp vs Rafael Lubach: Appelkamp's work rate in midfield must contain Lubach's forward runs and passing range.
3F. Klaus vs Can Yaha Moustfa: Klaus's defensive positioning will be crucial against Moustfa's pace and directness on the wing.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

  • Unbeaten in last four matches
  • Solid defensive record with one clean sheet in five
  • Winless in last five matches (0% win rate)
  • Low scoring output (2.0 goals per game)

1. FC Nürnberg

  • Won last match 3-0 and unbeaten in five
  • High scoring average (3.0 goals per game)
  • Conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game in last five
  • Only one clean sheet in that period

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
50%
46%
1. FC Nürnberg154046

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (46%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

The data points to a clear away victory for 1. FC Nürnberg. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give the visitors a decisive edge, and the API-Football model independently reinforces this with a strong overall comparison favoring Nürnberg. While the model's win/draw probabilities are unusual (50% draw, 50% away win), its predicted winner is Nürnberg, aligning with the odds.

Form Analysis: Nürnberg are in outstanding form, having won their last match 3-0 and remaining unbeaten in five, with a 100% win rate in that span. Fürth, in contrast, have drawn their last match 1-1 and have a 0% win rate over the same period, though they are on a four-match unbeaten streak. The visitors' attacking output (3.0 goals per game) far exceeds Fürth's (2.0), and their defensive record is also superior.

Key Factors: The away side's superior form and attacking potency are decisive. Nürnberg sit 2nd in the standings with a +3 goal difference, while Fürth languish in 11th with a level goal difference. The head-to-head record is evenly balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws), but the current momentum strongly favors the visitors. No significant injuries are reported for either side, so both teams are at full strength.

Conclusion: All available data—odds, model, form, and standings—converge on a Nürnberg victory. The visitors are clear favourites and should secure the three points, though Fürth's unbeaten run suggests they will not make it easy.

Statistical Context1. FC Nürnberg

Winner : 1. FC Nürnberg

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
29%Strength70%
25%Attacking Potential75%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
31%Goals H2H69%
29%Wins the Game70%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SpVgg Greuther FürthInjuries · 1. FC NürnbergLive scores →

Statistical Context

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

DLWLD
  • DSep 12, 26A · VfL Bochum1-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · 1. FC Heidenheim0-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Energie Cottbus3-4
  • LAug 23, 26H · VfL Bochum1-2
  • DAug 9, 26A · FC St. Pauli1-1

1. FC Nürnberg

WDWDW
  • WSep 11, 26H · Hannover 962-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Holstein Kiel2-2
  • WAug 29, 26H · Arminia Bielefeld4-1
  • DAug 22, 26A · FC Viktoria Köln1-1
  • WAug 9, 26H · Dynamo Dresden3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSC5+915WWWWW
21. FC Nürnberg5+913WDWWW
31. FC Heidenheim5+212WWWLW
10VfL Osnabrück5-36LWWLL
11SpVgg Greuther Fürth5-25DLWLD
12Karlsruher SC5-55LDLDW

Head to Head

3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4
Draws
3
1. FC Nürnberg
  • May 3, 26SpVgg Greuther Fürth – 1. FC Nürnberg1-1
  • Dec 7, 251. FC Nürnberg – SpVgg Greuther Fürth2-2
  • Mar 16, 251. FC Nürnberg – SpVgg Greuther Fürth3-0
  • Oct 20, 24SpVgg Greuther Fürth – 1. FC Nürnberg0-4
  • Feb 25, 24SpVgg Greuther Furth – FC Nurnberg2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
Played45
Goals Scored715
Goals Conceded96
Avg Scored1.83.0
Avg Conceded2.31.2
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted line-ups: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg

Predicted XI

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4-4-2Formation· Coach: J. Siewert

1. FC Nürnberg

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: M. Weinzierl

  1. 13Robin Lisewski
  1. 32T. Janisch
  2. 4A. Kalogeropoulos
  3. 36K. Mandic
  4. 21G. Masouras
  1. 22F. Becker
  2. 8J. Fernandez
  1. 10J. Justvan
  2. 18Rafael Lubach
  3. 6A. Marhiev
  1. 28Can Yaha Moustfa
  1. 30F. Klaus
  2. 42O. Sillah
  1. 8S. Appelkamp
  2. 28D. Arifi
  3. 6S. Bansé
  4. 11A. Keller
  1. 5Maxim Bora Dal
  2. 23J. Dehm
  3. 22J. Heuer
  4. 27G. Itter
  1. 1Florian Hellstern

Bench

  • 43S. Prufrock
  • 29K. Keresztes
  • 17N. König
  • 2Lukas Reich
  • 10Ole Pohlmann
  • 13P. Will
  • 21M. Wallentowitz

Bench

  • 1J. Reichert
  • 20F. Otto
  • 35M. Kornwachs Barjuan
  • 41E. Porstner
  • 23M. Zoma
  • 7R. Ghrieb
  • 39A. Grimaldi

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg — Match Analysis

1. FC Nürnberg are clear favourites, backed by superior form (100% win rate in last five) and a strong league position. The main risk is Fürth's unbeaten run and the evenly matched head-to-head record, which could produce a tight contest.

The data points to a clear away victory for 1. FC Nürnberg. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give the visitors a decisive edge, and the API-Football model independently reinforces this with a strong overall comparison favoring Nürnberg. While the model's win/draw probabilities are unusual (50% draw, 50% away win), its predicted winner is Nürnberg, aligning with the odds.

Form Analysis: Nürnberg are in outstanding form, having won their last match 3-0 and remaining unbeaten in five, with a 100% win rate in that span. Fürth, in contrast, have drawn their last match 1-1 and have a 0% win rate over the same period, though they are on a four-match unbeaten streak. The visitors' attacking output (3.0 goals per game) far exceeds Fürth's (2.0), and their defensive record is also superior.

Key Factors: The away side's superior form and attacking potency are decisive. Nürnberg sit 2nd in the standings with a +3 goal difference, while Fürth languish in 11th with a level goal difference. The head-to-head record is evenly balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws), but the current momentum strongly favors the visitors. No significant injuries are reported for either side, so both teams are at full strength.

Conclusion: All available data—odds, model, form, and standings—converge on a Nürnberg victory. The visitors are clear favourites and should secure the three points, though Fürth's unbeaten run suggests they will not make it easy.

Win Probabilities: SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 30% · Draw: 29% · 1. FC Nürnberg: 41%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 66% · Under 2.5: 34% · BTTS: 68%

H2H: SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · 1. FC Nürnberg wins: 3

Form (latest first): SpVgg Greuther Fürth: DLWLD · 1. FC Nürnberg: WDWDW

  • Florian Hellstern vs J. Justvan: Hellstern's defensive discipline will be tested by Justvan's creativity and movement in the final third.
  • S. Appelkamp vs Rafael Lubach: Appelkamp's work rate in midfield must contain Lubach's forward runs and passing range.
  • F. Klaus vs Can Yaha Moustfa: Klaus's defensive positioning will be crucial against Moustfa's pace and directness on the wing.

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2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
2. BundesligaGermany
Holstein Kiel
Sep 1911:00
VfL Osnabrück
11.8953%
X3.8526%
24.7621%
2. BundesligaGermany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Sep 1911:00
Eintracht Braunschweig
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
2. BundesligaGermany
Karlsruher SC
Sep 1911:00
1. FC Nürnberg
13.1332%
X3.7027%
22.4441%
2. BundesligaGermany
Dynamo Dresden
Sep 1918:30
Hertha BSC
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
2. BundesligaGermany
Hannover 96
Sep 2011:30
VfL Bochum
12.1347%
X3.8526%
23.7027%
2. BundesligaGermany
Arminia Bielefeld
Sep 2011:30
1. FC Heidenheim
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
2. BundesligaGermany
Energie Cottbus
Sep 2011:30
FC St. Pauli
13.2331%
X3.7027%
22.3842%
2. BundesligaGermany
Hertha BSC
Oct 1011:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
2. BundesligaGermany
1. FC Nürnberg
Oct 1011:30
VfL Wolfsburg
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
2. BundesligaGermany
VfL Bochum
Oct 1011:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
2. BundesligaGermany
1. FC Magdeburg
Oct 1011:30
Hannover 96
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
2. BundesligaGermany
1. FC Heidenheim
Oct 1011:30
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
2. BundesligaGermany
SV Darmstadt 98
Oct 1011:30
Energie Cottbus
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
2. BundesligaGermany
FC St. Pauli
Oct 1011:30
Karlsruher SC
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
2. BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Braunschweig
Oct 1011:30
Holstein Kiel
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%

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